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Mankind's Inhumanity to Man and Woman - As natural as human goodness?
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rshowalter
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Started by rshowalter at 06:08pm Nov 12, 2000 BST

I'm trying to float and idea here - and that's something these forums are good for.

Looking at the world, there are so many cases of "unthinkable" and "unexplainable" evil and negligence, that the mind and heart recoils. People recall such behavior among the Nazis, and recoil, as well they might. How could "civilized, aesthetically sensitive, cultured people" ALSO act so monstrously, and with such clear and sophisticated murderous intent.

But is this behavior so strange? Or is it the NATURAL s


rshowalter - 06:11pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#1 of 138)  | 

But is this behavior so strange? Or is it the NATURAL state of people, dealing with outsiders, outsiders who they naturally dehumanize, and deal with as heartless, exploitive predators? Is it civilization and mercy that are the "unnatural" things - the things that have to be taught, and negotiated into being, and strived for?

I'm coming to think that it is just as natural for people to act "inhumanly" - that is cruelly, and in a dehumanizing way, towards OUTSIDERS, as it is natural for people to act warmly, and with accommodation and mutual support, for people WITHIN their group.

I'm coming to the view that, just as there is an instinct for language, and an instinct for becoming a part of a group, inborn in humans, there is an instinct to exclude outsiders, to dehumanize them, to withhold cooperation from them, and to treat them as animals, subject to manipulation an predation. I'm coming to believe that this treatment of outsiders is an instinctive species characteristic, evolved over the millions of years when people lived as gatherers and team hunters.

If this is true, we all have the basic instincts to be kind, sensitive, and good, within our groups, but at the same time are naturally "monsters" in our behavior toward outsiders.

If this is right, the role of civilization is to find ways of peace and effective cooperation where isolation, conflict, duplicity, and merciless manipulation, including murder, might otherwise occur.


rshowalter - 06:16pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#2 of 138)  | 

Some human behaviors, supported by whole societies, involve what seems to me to be an unbelievable degradation and oppression of women - rape, exploitation, and passive consent to terrible acts in countless places.

Two examples are in papers today - in The New York Times an editorial objects to "Honor Killings" where a woman is murdered by her father or brothers for acts that are seen as besmirching the family's honor, including committing adultery, defying a parental order to marry, being seen in public with a man or becoming the victim of rape. Only by dehumanizing women can this happen. And yet it is common, and even widespread.

Another story, one of a number about involuntary prostitution, is Russians launch crackdown on 'sex slave' traffickers By Amelia Gentleman Special report: Russia http://www.guardianunlimited.co.uk/russia/article/0,2763,396402,00.html This horror could only go on if MANY people let it happen, as they have, and if MANY men are prepared to exploit prostitutes who are obviously unwilling - if men are willing to pay to rape women on a routine basis, as they apparently are.

Gutwrenching behavior. And looking at the Middle East, on both sides, and looking at nuclear weapons, and looking at much, much else, there is plenty of such "gutwrenching" behavior.

Is this sort of thing the Hobbsain state of nature, the natural way people deal with each OUTSIDERS?.

It seems to me that it is, and that the needs of complex cooperation and peace take morally informed, careful building of more decent patterns. If this is so, degradation is the natural thing - decency is a matter of culture, that may depend on the insistence of groups of people on humanly decent conduct.

This idea isn't quite the same as the notion of "original sin", but it seems right to me. I'd like to pursue it. I'd be most grateful for comments here.

What I'm saying makes human ugliness unsurprising, but may make it more understandable, so we can deal with it better, and make the world a less savage, warmer place.


xpat - 07:53pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#3 of 138)

Hobbsianism wins out in societies that lack equilibrium in gender power balance.

One of the countries off Yugoslavia has a problem re mass enslavement and raping of women, a loophole in legislation permitted the deterioration which is now being addressed.

In Thailand there are now more prostitutes (many children for the tourist trade) than monks.

Australia has determined that Australians abroad must maintain Australian (Home) standards.

Some get prosecuted ... many won't!


rshowalter - 08:05pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#4 of 138)  | 

Much to be said for law and power. Indeed, the more I look, the more important power, and arguments for civilization are. And in the oppressive relations that so often exist between the sexes, people, (in my view, mostly males) can be seen at their very worst. It seems that lots of males find rape very comfortable.

The thing that strikes me is NOT that indignation isn't appropriate, and not that imposition of rules isn't appropriate.

The thing that strikes me is that SURPRISE, which seems so natural a response, is inappropriate. The horror is that so many terrible things get done by "normal human beings" who are, in the main, unscarred by what they have done.

Power relations between human groups that are decent, and efficient, and nonexploitive, seem, almost always, to take "unnatural" civilizing arrangements. "The golden rule" being perhaps the most powerful of these.

"Do unto others, as you would have them do unto you." isn't problematic when it is interpreted to mean "Do unto others within your group as you would have them do unto you."

But when the Golden Rule is taken further, to mean

"Do unto others outside your group as you would have them do unto you."

the Golden Rule becomes a radical, behaviorally and intellectually challenging admonition, a key piece of advice for fashioning complex cooperation, for productivity and peace, rather than leaving "nature to take its course" - the course of cruelty, conflict, and squalor.


rshowalter - 08:08pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#5 of 138)  | 

Men are physically more powerful than women, and women necessarily carry reproductive burdens men do not face. Decent power relations cannot be "natural" in the Hobbesian sense - they have to be based on conventions and the conventions should be chosen so that they fit the needs of the people involved.

With the coming of an ideal of female equality in the workplace, these conventions must be carefully rethought, and negotiated into being.


rshowalter - 08:27pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#6 of 138)  | 

A point about human murderousness being unsurprising. It is a hard thing to remember, that the SAME person can be horrific mercilessly brutal, and at the same time sensitive, aesthetically warm, supportive, tender - but tender to "insiders" while treating "outsiders" as a professional hunter instinctively treats animals- with no regard or mercy at all, indeed with pleasure in inflicting pain and killing.

In the Middle East, it is easy to paint people and groups as "murderous war criminals" - perhaps with perfect justice. These same people regard themselves, and are regarded by members of their group, as fine, sensitive, warm people.

There is no contradiction here. But there is a challenge. For peace, or higher levels of complex cooperation, people have to somehow internalize the Golden Rule, and deal even with outsiders as people. People with complex needs, with which accommodations may be reached by negotiation and convention.

Natural instincts are against these accomodations, and impasses are unsurprising. But the things necessary so that common humanity can be recognized, in a common enough reality for cooperation when it is necessary, have to be worked out.

That working out is at once an act of morality, an act of intellect, and an act of discipline. Without that working out, there may be no limit to the ugliness man can inflict on man (or woman.)


tethys2 - 08:39pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#7 of 138)

Knowing on a personal level v the impersonality of acts against a mass of people surely has an influence.

Being able to transfer an appreciation of ones actions on a personal level to their effects on an impersonal level ( i.e. empathy )is something that I believe there have been some interesting studies on.


rshowalter - 08:47pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#8 of 138)  | 

tethys2 no question empathy is a terribly important part of being fully human in a cultured sense - and it is connected with the Golden Rule - connected with being able, and willing to think of OTHERS as human.

But it is gruesome, and a major problem, that people, and especially people who have been in some conflict (have lied to each other, for instance) can deal with OTHERS with no empathy at all, with no more warmth than a professional hunter, or a killer in a slaughter house.

It seems men often deal with women in this way - even women who are their sisters or their wives.

My sense is that, terrible as this may be, the absense of empathy for OUTSIDERS is natural, just as empathy for members of one's own group is natural, a part of human instinctual equipment.

To think of OUTSIDERS as people, and not dehumanize them, takes teaching - and a kind of teaching that doesn't always take. But to avoid wars and opressions, and to permit the complex cooperations of civilization, people MUST learn, and must be expected, to deal with OUTSIDERS as human beings.

The most basic human instincts, I fear, go against this. Dealing with an "outsider" the instinct-based reflexes are to dehumanize, to exclude, to withold information from, and to misinform - just the proper things in dealing with an enemy who is a military threat, so that threat can be minimized.

But this pattern of dehumanization and misinformation is also just the thing to make the outsider into either a victim, or a real threat, when more humane responses could have done much better.


hayate - 09:01pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#9 of 138)

I don't believe humans have a natural brutal streak. I think this is learned behaviour. Most of the "uncivilized" societies I've read about were not very warlike or violent. This hatred of outsiders I believe comes from areas where resources are scarce and people begin to fight over them. In such cultures I've noticed that the immediate familly is central, while others are considered 2nd rate or worse depending how distantly related, with foreigners at the bottom. These people tend to be fighters and take over the other cultures near them, so spreading this philosophy further. People left to themselves with enough to be comfortable would become more gentle with each generation that passes as the need for violence disapears.


rshowalter - 09:46pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#10 of 138)  | 

hayate I wish I believed, with you, that

"People left to themselves with enough to be comfortable would become more gentle with each generation that passes as the need for violence disapears."

At any rate, if brutality is learned behavior, looking around, it seems to be EASILY learned behavior. And very widely distributed behavior.

I think your "noble savage" view falls down, if you look at the circumstances our ancestors lived in, as gathererss and big game hunters, for something over a million years. How does it make sense to deal with an outsider, if that outsider might be a physical threat?

One would want to withold from this outsider (or outsider group) the means to effectively attack your group. The imperatives would be the imperatives that intelligence agencies have to this day. You'd wish to exclude the outsider - hold him at a distance. You'd want to withhold sympathy from the outsider, lest you might listen to him, and he might misinform you, and set you up for physical destruction. You'd want to withhold information about your group from the outsider, or limit that information, or make that information obscure. You'd want to mislead (lie to) the outsider.

Very young children do all these things, and have to be taught not to. The performances surely seem natural.

Well, if ousiders are excluded, misled, and kept from information in this way, complex cooperation is essentially impossible, but conflict, or war, or the most gross sorts of exploitation can easily happen.

I'm saying that these exclusionary patterns, which made perfect sense in paleolithic times, are instictive now, and that civilization needs to build on, and modify the effects of, these instincts. And when civilization fails, brutality happens.

You don't think people have a natural brutal streak, and I'm saying that they do at the level of instinct. One could check data in sociology, and construct experiments. It seems to me that brutal performances, in situations where civilized accomodations don't exist, happen with monotonous regularity. And that the level of brutality that occurs can be gut-wrenching, and all too often is.


hayate - 10:17pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#11 of 138)

With the Native Americans of the N. Am. plains, war did not really exist. They had conflicts alright, but killing the opponent en mass was very, very unusual if ever practiced before contact with whites. Counting coup ( touching an opponent ) rather than killing was considered more important when fighting. Inter-nation marriage was very common. People lived in clans which crossed inter-national boundries. Rape of women was also unusual, women had a greater say in operation of the national affairs local and internationally, elected leaders or were the leaders in many N.Am. nations. The evidence for inate brutality is just not there with "pre-civilized" societies who did not live in areas of scarcity. They had to learn this from the "civilized" which contacted them.


KromeLizard - 10:19pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#12 of 138)

Violent expansionistic cultures are the kind that have the vitality to survive, without these tendencies we would all have gone the way of the dodo very quickly.


hayate - 10:59pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#13 of 138)

We Are.


KromeLizard - 11:04pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#14 of 138)

No just you.


KromeLizard - 11:05pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#15 of 138)

I'm gonna go find someplace new to conquer.


rshowalter - 11:41pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#16 of 138)  | 

havate perhaps I need a better word than "civilized." The Plains Indians didn't act on the basis of culturally unconstrained instincts - but on the basis of conventions that guided and shaped their basic biological responses.

So the indians did not live in a simple "war of all against all." They lived within patterns of complex cooperation - and within conventional arrangements, evolved among the tribes, they found ways to limit conflict. (Counting coup, a nonlethal form of competition substituted for more all-out war, is a good example.)

Indian brutality happened, even so. There are hair-raising stories of the Indians. (Roger Williams describes some Rhode Island Indians in the early 18th century as "Wolves with the minds of men" -- a phrase that fits a lot of human behavior, alas.)

There ARE no human cultures that are so "precivilized" that they lack conventions constraining conflict, and providing for complex cooperation.

But when those conventions break down, and they often do in wars, and as they sometimes do in other circumstances, including the academic circumstance of paradigm conflict, responses can be gruesome indeed. (See the Semmelweis story in b Paradigm Shift - whose getting there in the Science thread.)

Human "instincts for exclusion" must be, if they exist as I believe, as subject to cultural control as "instincts for language" are constrained by particular language usages. I think group exclusion instincts must exist, and believe I've described the basic brutality of them.

I'm afraid I do believe that humans have a natural brutal streak, when cultural conventions do not control it.


Thorfenris - 11:50pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#17 of 138)

hayate you seem to have a rather dated noble savage view of native americans.there was extreme brutality especially to prisoners and the apache were particuolarly known for their brutality to women.Unfortunately liberals assume that native americans share thier views for some reason but this is not so.

expat: we have far more prostitutes than monks in england too I guess australia as well.


rshowalter - 12:04am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#18 of 138)  | 

Because people are so warm, sensitive, and accomodating to people WITHIN their groups, one can look at them, and put together a "noble" picture.

These same people may be utterly merciless to outsiders.

A big point I'm trying to make (that doesn't hinge on the question of what's instinctive, so long as brutal group exclusion is widely and easily taught) is that horrifically immoral, gruesome, behavior, that can easily and rightly be called "evil" from a distance, can be entirely natural behavior of normal, healthy human beings.

We have every reason to want to change that sort of behavior, and find ways to avoid it having free play.

We may have a better chance of doing that, if we aren't surprised by it.


rshowalter - 12:16am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#19 of 138)  | 

I've cited this poem before, but want to do so again. Man is (putting it gently) "a little lower than the angels" - and a recounting of how military training goes, says something about how special the training is, and yet also how the training connects to assumptions about human instinct that work reliably enough for armies.

Here is a recounting, not at all sentimental, about military training.

THE 'EATHEN by Rudyard Kipling

The 'eathen in 'is blindness bows down to wood an' stone
'E don't obey no orders unless they is 'is own
'E keeps 'is side-arms awful: 'e leaves 'em all about
An' then comes up the Regiment an' pokes the 'eathen out.

All along o' dirtiness, all along o' mess
All along o' doin' things rather-more-or-less
All along of abby-nay, kul, and hazar-ho
............ (Not now, tomorrow, wait a bit)
Mind you keep your rifle 'an yourself jus' so!

The young recruit is 'aughty - 'e draf's from Gawd knows where
They bid 'im show 'is stockin's an lay 'is matress square
'E calls it blooming nonsense - 'e doesn't know no more --
An' then up comes 'is Company an' kicks 'im round the floor !

The young recruit is 'ammered - 'e takes it very hard
'E 'angs 'is 'ead an' mutters - 'e sulks about the yard
'E talks o' "cruel tyrants" which 'e'll swing for by-an'-by
An' the others 'ears and mocks 'im, and the boy goes oerf to cry.

The young recruit is silly - 'e thinks o' suicide
'E's lost 'is gutter-devil; 'e 'asn't got his pride
But day by day they kicks him, which 'elps 'im on a bit
Till 'e finds 'isself one mornin' with a full and proper kit.

Gettin' clear o' dirtiness, gettin' done with mess
Gettin' shut of doin' things rather-more-or-less
Not so fond of abby-nay, kul, and hazar-ho
Learns to keep 'is rifle 'an 'isself jus' so!

The young recruit is 'appy - 'e throws a chest to suit
You see 'im grow mustaches, you 'ear 'im slap 'is boot.
'E learns to drop the "bloodies" from every word he slings
An 'e shows an 'ealthy brisket when 'e strips for bars and rings.

The cruel-tyrant-sergeants they watch 'im 'arf a year
They watch 'im with 'is comrades, they watch 'im with 'is beer
They watch 'im with the women at the regimental dance
And the cruel-tyrant-sergeants send 'is name along for "Lance."

An' now 'e's 'arf o' nothin', and all a private yet
'Is room they up an' rags 'im to see what they will get.
They rags 'im low an' cunnin', each dirty trick they can
But 'e learns to sweat 'is temper, and 'e learns to sweat 'is man.

An', last. a Colour-Sergeant, as such to be obeyed
'E schools 'is men at cricket, 'e tells 'em on parade
They see's im quick an 'andy, uncommon set an' smart
An' so 'e talks to orficers which have the corps at 'eart.

'E learns to do 'is watchin' without it showin' plain
'E learns to save a dummy, an' shove 'im straight again
'E learns to check a ranker that's buyin' leave to shirk
An 'e learns to make men like 'im, so they'll learn to like their work.

An' when it comes to marchin', he'll see their socks are right,
An' when it comes to action 'e shows 'em how to sight.
'E knows their ways of thinkin' and just what's on their mind;
'E knows when they are takin' on an' when they've fell be'ind.

'E knows each talkin' corp'ral taht leads a squad astray;
'E feels 'is innards 'eavin', 'is bowels givin' way;
'E sees the blue-white faces all tryin 'ard to grin,
An' 'e stands an' waits an' suffers till it's time to cap' em in.

An' now the hugly bullets come peckin' through the dust
An' no one wants to face them, but every beggar must
So like a man in irons, which isn't glad to go,
They moves 'em off by companies uncommon stiff an' slow.

Of all 'is five years schoolin' they don't remember much
Excep' the not retreating, the step an' keepin' touch.
It looks like teachin' wasted when they duck an' spread and hop -
But if 'e 'andn't learned 'em they'd be all about the shop.

An now it's "Oo goes backward?" an' now it's "Ooo comes on?"
An' now it's "Get the doolies," an' now the Captain's gone
An now it's bloody murder, but all the while they 'ear
'Is voice, the same as barrick-drill, a-shepherdin' the rear.

'E's just as sick as they are, 'is 'eart is like to split,
But 'e works 'em, works 'em, works 'em till he feels 'em take the bit,
The rest is 'oldin steady till the watchful bugles play,
An' he lifts 'em, lifts 'em, lifts 'em lifts 'em
through the charge that wins the day!

The 'Eathen in his blindness bows down to wood and stone
'E don't obey no orders unless they is 'is own.
The 'eathen in 'is blindness must end where 'e began,
But the backbone of the army is the Non-commissioned Man!

Keep away from dirtiness - keep away from mess,
Don't get into doin' things rather-more-or-less!
Let's ha' done with abby-nay, kul, and hazar-ho
Mind you keep your rifle and yourself jus' so!


rshowalter - 12:22am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#20 of 138)  | 

Well trained soldiers, in Julius Ceasar's day, and in ours, are trained in this fashion. The needs for affiliation coerce the soldier into group patterns,- nonconformity is punished severely by group exclusion reflexes that evoke emotions as strong as the desire for suicide. And in the end, soldiers are trained who will kill "others" efficiently on command, and risk death to do so. The Nazis had extremely good training at this level - and so does the United States Marine Corps, and so do the Israelis. Such soldiering is a matter of culture - it isn't raw untrained instinct. But instinctive responses, including the deep human need for affiliation, and group exclusion reflexes, too, go into the shaping of that training.


rshowalter - 12:28am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#21 of 138)  | 

Is there any limit to the brutality such soldiers are capable of - any limit to the damage they will do, on command, or on their own initiative, and with pleasure, to "others."

The limit is whatever limit is imposed by moral teachings and effective conventions. Without such limits, the willingness to kill may be limitless. In cultures where it is permitted, such as the culture that trained the Japanese troops who ran amok at Nanking, the willingness to rape, mutilate and kill for fun may be limitless. There would seem to be no apparent limits at all, except when some convention says "this is forbidden."

That is, to my mind, a strong argument for conventions, and yet also a strong argument for being unsurprised when people do their ugly worst.

An ugly worst that gets done with some regularity. For example, at the worst of the Balkan brutality. Or the very much worse horror that would occur if some of our well trained Air Force personnel do what they are so well trained to do, and murder millions of people by pushing a few buttons.


rshowalter - 12:31am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#22 of 138)  | 

Is there any limit to the damage that untrained people will do to "others?" Perhaps no more limit than the limit for the soldiers.

The limit is whatever limit is imposed by moral teachings and effective conventions.

The golden rule, unnatural as it may be when it is used to apply to "outsiders," is a saving grace that human decency very much requires.


bNice - 12:48am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#23 of 138)

So, quality of life, relates to our existing in a complex environment that has a woven webs/safetynets that keep us from falling into 'hell' ?


hayate - 01:08am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#24 of 138)

Rshowalter

That is what I've been saying. People are not naturally brutal-THEY HAVE TO BE PUSHED TO IT.

By the 18th century, the Indians of Rhode Is. had about 100 yrs. of contact with the colonists. The Apache were in conflict with the Spanish and Mexicans from the 16th century on. These are examples of the brutal behaviours after contact with whites. I have seen no evidence that suggests they were as violent before this contact, in fact everything I've seen points them being much less violent. This is not belief in some noble savage concept, I've just not seen any evidence showing otherwise. Also the Apache lived in an area scarcity which would impose more competition amoung people, which pushes people to be more violent.

Something else to look at is religion. The typical Christian/Jewish/Moslem exclusionary believe this or you are evil style of view did not exist. Native American religion is very inclusive and tolerant of different beliefs. War based on religion did not exist.

If anyone can show any evidence to contrary, I'd love to see it.


bNice - 01:48am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#25 of 138)

So, quality of life, relates to our existing in a complex environment that has a woven webs/safetynets that keep us from falling into 'hell' ?


bNice - 01:52am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#26 of 138)

I've read accounts re AmIndians in which depicted a lot of intentional cruel behaviour - one towards another - unbelievable!

- - - - - - - -

Cruel behaviour arises when communities have high crime rates ...

The crimes are most often happening to community members ... theft, beatings, rape, car theft ... the list goes on ...


rshowalter - 02:04am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#27 of 138)  | 

I like bNice's formulation, and think it basically right.

I think, with bNice (and it would be nice to know her) that "quality of life, relates to our existing in a complex environment that has a woven webs/safetynets that keep us from falling into 'hell' ?"

That sounds right to me. Decency, kindness, and efficiency in complicated circumstances aren't "natural" in the sense of spontaneous. They are the result of careful crafting, and negotiation of standards, based on both intellect and the aesthetics and disciplines of the heart. If you look at the jobs involved in teaching young children, in wise mothering, in careful early childhood teaching, there is a great deal of this setting up of standards.

You don't have to teach children to lie, or to exclude, or to hurt "others" - you have to work to teach them to do better than that (and, I'd say, this is especially true of little boys.)

Whenever new complex cooperation is needed, and especially when intergroup connections are degenerating into hostility and war, there are webs of convention, and connection, that must be woven, to keep decent life ongoing - to keep people from going to "hell."

War, conflict, chaos, and hostility aren't surprises - they are human failures. When complicated cooperation works for the people involved - there you see triumphs of human social crafting. And when outcomes are not good, there is more social crafting to do.

Lest hell on earth descend.


bNice - 08:56am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#28 of 138)

From DailyMirror UK

JOHN NICHOL - BACK TO MY CELL RAF hero John Nichol's emotional return to Iraq

WITH trembling hands, John Nichol touches the graffiti scrawled on the four walls which once imprisoned him.

When he was last here, the former RAF navigator was a prisoner of war, suffering torture and interrogation at the hands of his Iraqi captors and afraid that he would never see his family again.

Now he has gone back to revisit the horrific past and try to make sense of what happened to him there.

"There were times I thought my life might have ended," he says. "I truly believed I was going to meet my maker. Words can't describe how I feel. Emotionally drained... my heart is pounding."

John was a 27-year-old flight lieutenant when his Tornado was shot down by a missile over the Iraqi desert during his first airborne mission of the Gulf war in 1991.

He and pilot John Peters ejected safely from the blazing jet, only to be captured and tortured until they agreed to appear on television and denounce their actions.

Their battered faces were flashed across the world - lasting images of the horrors of war.

Blindfolded and handcuffed, John was kicked, punched and whipped. Cigarette ends were extinguished on his face, tissue paper stuffed down his back and set alight.

Days after the humiliating TV appearance, John was brought here, to the Military Police HQ in the capital, Baghdad.

Today, returning with The Mirror and the BBC breakfast news, he crouches in the dust, examining the empty 9ft-square cell in minute detail.

The smell of decay is unbearable, but John doesn't notice as he slowly works his way around the discoloured, flaking walls.

Amid the Arabic graffiti left by other prisoners, pictures of women cut from newspapers have been glued to the plaster. He runs his hand over the rusting steel door - and jumps visibly at the sound of doors banging shut in the corridors.

The stone floor is covered with pieces of rubble and rags and the beige walls are pitted with holes which he used to fear were left by bullets.

Locked up for nearly 24 hours a day, he was allowed just 10 minutes' exercise every couple of days. His bed was a piece of foam and his one meal a day was bread, watery soup and occasionally meat or beans.

"I was terrified for my life. I was the most scared human in the world," he recalls. "In the middle of the night I was kicked awake and brought here. When they took the blindfold off, I was standing in front of a group of Iraqi military policemen."

The Iraqi military police who greet him today are smiling and shaking hands and offering tea.

The prison commander, Brigadier Sa'ad Minim, has offered to help find his old cell.

John's face flickers as his memory is triggered by a simple band of red, painted on the white walls.

"There was a small barred window high up in my cell," he explains. "If I jumped up, I could just make out this red band running around the tops of the buildings."

Then he stares through a tiny window and turns round, smiling. "Oh, my God! This is definitely it," he says.

The block has been empty for seven years and the key has long been lost. The brigadier orders his men to force their way in with sledgehammers.

Then the armed guards watch in amazement as John races around the corridors and finds his own cell.

Despite his ordeal as a PoW, his stay here was bearable, he says.

"I'm glad we came back to this prison, because I was treated with respect here," he tells the brigadier. "I wanted to come back and meet the Iraqi people as real people. It's amazing how friendly they've been.

"I'm pleased I've made myself do this, but I won't be sorry to leave. Seeing the prison again took me back to some of my darkest days. I don't think I could have faced revisiting the bad places."

There were a few lighter moments even then. He remembers being summoned by the guards to play football with them.

"We came out here into the courtyard and they put me in goal," he says. "They kept shouting: 'Gascoigne' and 'Kevin Keegan' at me, and I'd nod and say: 'Yes, they are good footballers.' It was bizarre."

Now the brigadier calls his guards - and another impromptu game begins.

It is a bizarre but emotional scene. John, in jeans and a shirt, kicks the ball to the guards, who throw themselves vigorously into the game despite the blistering heat and their heavy uniforms.

The courtyard echoes to shouts and laughter and dozens of other officers crowd in to cheer them on.

Afterwards. the guards hug and kiss John on both cheeks and ask to have their photograph taken with the curious British airman who was once their prisoner.

When we are invited to stay for lunch, John jokes: "If we say No, will you allow us to leave?"

"Of course," smiles the brigadier. "You are free to go."

The last time, John heard those words was on March 5, 1991. He remembers: "A guard came into the cell one morning and said: 'The war is over. You will be going home in 20 minutes.'

"I literally got down on my knees and said a prayer of thanks. I couldn't believe that I had survived. "

John has co-written an account of his ordeal and has left the RAF to write thrillers.

As he leaves his old prison, he says: "I encountered some very evil people when I was a prisoner who did some terrible things to me. But I never believed that all Iraqis were like that."

b.davies@mirror.co.uk

John Nichol's book Decisive Measure is out now (Hodder & Stoughton, pounds 16.99,).


infodogg - 09:18am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#29 of 138)

Arthur Koestler had some pretty strong views on this. Personally, I think it's a question of context, and all concepts of "good", "wrong" "evil" and so on, are absolutely relative.

As regards authority, see this:

http://www.cba.uri.edu/Faculty/dellabitta/mr415s98/EthicEtcLinks/Milgram.htm


stevegreaves - 09:46am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#30 of 138)

Did you ever consider that the difference between kindness and cruelty of the magnitude discussed in this thread may be God's grace?


infodogg - 10:01am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#31 of 138)

No.


xpat - 11:31am Nov 13, 2000 BST (#32 of 138)

http://www.cba.uri.edu/Faculty/dellabitta/mr415s98/EthicEtcLinks/Milgram.htm

This classic raises the question --- could this happen today? Or, would modern people be 'individual' rather than herd thinkers ?


rshowalter - 12:27pm Nov 13, 2000 BST (#33 of 138)  | 

Superb posts. And supportive of the basic idea of this thread. People, who are so kind to people who, by actuality or convention are "members of their group", can be MONSTERS with respect to OUTSIDERS. Kind and moral human beings, in the first context, can be monsters in the second, unless morality and convention keep the second kind of behavior from happening.

bNice - (#25) Said it well: "So, quality of life, relates to our existing in a complex environment that has a woven webs/safetynets that keep us from falling into 'hell' ?

I agreed and went on:

" Whenever new complex cooperation is needed, and especially when intergroup connections are degenerating into hostility and war, there are webs of convention, and connection, that must be woven, to keep decent life ongoing

. . . .

"Lest hell on earth descend.

  • *********

    Then bNice posted a superb piece, exactly on the point (#28)

    JOHN NICHOL - BACK TO MY CELL RAF hero John Nichol's emotional return to Iraq Daily Mirror, UK

    The jailers who had tortured Nichol were the same people who were so decent to him when he returned. The difference was that in one case he was "the outsider" - manipulated as an object, and with hate, and in the case of the return, he was treated, by convention, as a human being - by convention, "one of us."

    It would be hard to find a more direct example of the dichotomy between human cruelty to outsiders, and kindness to "insiders" than this passage, but it would be straightforward to find MANY such examples, all over the world. In one sense, they are horrific.

    These cases are morally bracing. They also show how, against logic, and abstract notions of justice, peace between old enemies has often proved possible. The key is that they have to find ways to treat each other as human beings.

    stevegreaves -(#30) asks: "Did you ever consider that the difference between kindness and cruelty of the magnitude discussed in this thread may be God's grace?"

    Perhaps that difference is what we mean, very often, when we speak of "God's grace." But this "web of convention and decency" is a grace that we, as human beings, in dialog together, must work to maintain.

    The question "could these horrors happen again" has a bracing but definite answer -- these horrors happen all the time, and always have. The Milgram experiment, http://www.cba.uri.edu/Faculty/dellabitta/mr415s98/EthicEtcLinks/Milgram.htm shows that MOST individual, put in a role where obedience to authority follows, will act monstrously.

    If we value peace, justice and complex cooperation, as we all do and as, for survival, we must, we must work to craft, and maintain, ways of dealing with each other as people, that permit complex cooperation between groups. We must do so, knowing that cruelty and bad conduct between groups is otherwise to be expected.

    A major point that my life experience has forced upon me is this -- for peace to be possible, basic facts, that connect to the interface relations between groups, have to be established so that these groups do not erect lying patterns of fiction, that make it impossible for them to communicate, and that cause them to dehumanize each other in intractable ways.


    infodogg - 03:17pm Nov 13, 2000 BST (#34 of 138)

    I kind of feel you're not getting to the root of the question, rshowalter.

    When people are forced into a situation where they are required to act in contradiction to what they think is morally right (for example, extermination camp guard), they may be obliged to choose between death or honour. What would make someone choose death in these circumstances?

    All I can think of with sufficient force is the peer pressure exercised by one's own tribe , which would ostracise anyone who did not follow the rules.

    Nevertheless, this kind of blind faith in one's own standards probably requires the existence of forces working in opposition to them.

    Leading me directly to the conclusion that the dream of eliminating the (subjective) cruelty and suffering perpetrated by man on his fellow man (and woman) is a chimera.


    rshowalter - 08:15pm Nov 13, 2000 BST (#35 of 138)  | 

    infodogg as I understand it, participants in the Nazi mass murders were mostly volunteers, or people given many chances to opt out (though the alternatives might have been the same combat other soldiers faced.) There seems little support for the idea that the German guards were FORCED to do any of the evil they did.

    When you say that "the dream of eliminating cruelty and suffering perpetrated by man on his fellow man (and woman) is a chemera" you're surely right.

    But the more we understand, and the less surprised we are by what people actually do, the better we can cope. If cruelty to outsiders is natural human behavior, there will always be some of it in the world. We can hope to arrange things, with work and care, so that the amount of it is reduced, and the damage done is reduced, as well.


    andy87 - 12:27am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#36 of 138)

    I'm not convinced cruelty to outsiders is instinctive in humans but I'm certain suspicion of outsiders is. All it then takes for savage cruelty to become a possibility is for some authority figure to identify them as being responsible for some ill of society.

    Humans can be very cruel to members of their own tribe as well. I'm thinking here of child abuse and domestic violence. Are these behaviours that are somehow "natural"? They have been around throughout human history and are not purely modern phenomena.

    I recently saw a documentary in which a group of chimpanzees viscously attacked another group which had intruded into their territory. Their human-like behaviour was truly striking. Perhaps violence is in our genes. Perhaps our only real hope of reducing such behaviour lies in the slow process of evolution. Any one for genetic engineering?


    rshowalter - 12:51am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#37 of 138)  | 

    As you say, the jump from suspicion to cruelty may be a short one - and given suspicion, it may not even take a leader to trigger cruelty, after suspiscion becomes fear.

    Suppose the suspected one persists in hanging around? And suppose, when someone tries to push him out, he resists. You have a fight right there. And if the "suspected one" happens to win that fight, and the next, and the fight after that, just watch suspicion change to fear. If the suspeced one loses, on the other hand, just watch the dehumanization proceed.

    Could I have the name of the documentary? I'd be interested.

    You can find more examples of violence, and hateful action than you have time or stomach for - plenty within families (who SAYS family members don't sometimes dehumanize each other?)

    All the same, the amount of human behavior that is kind, friendly, sensitive and helpful is enormous as well. If people didn't do a lot of things, just to be nice, just to be cooperative, most of the complex cooperations that do work in the world, would not.

    If violence is natural, the inclination to be kind and decent is natural as well.

    We need to find ways to emphasize to kind and efficient, and minimize the angry and destructive.

    We DO find ways to do so, very often.

    From any of OUR perspectives, there isn't TIME for anything else.


    xpat - 02:10am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#38 of 138)

    A story caught my eye this morning,

    a korean woman had a child to an American Serice Man in the Fifties. The Womans family determined to kill her - they hung her - the child watching, was torchured, then sent to an orphanage. Eventually taken by an American couple she had no identity, no birthdate, and was not allowed to grieve, nor was she given a socialworker 'friend' to ensure she was ok. At sixteen she was married off to a person who abused her. Here is a case of a child/woman who lived without being allowed to relate to herself, establish identiy, or be accepted for herself. The book may be called 'Ten Thousand Sorrows.'


    rshowalter - 02:27am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#39 of 138)  | 

    There must be countless stories like that.

    At many places, and at many times, a woman seems to be entirely subordinated to her sexual function - to sexual rules - and her death or torture seems less important than those rules.

    The feminists have plenty to fight about - plenty that is worth fighting for, both for decent lives for women, and for decency for men.

    There are reports, based on brain visualization, about how complicated, how ornate, how intimate, how compete human love, when it is real and warm, actually is. And how much a work in progress it is -- how much COURTSHIP and attention it takes.

    How can men, and societies, that treat women so, hope for real love?


    xpat - 04:07am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#40 of 138)

    Isn't it happening in the 'in group' yet they reject the 'outer group' especially where this involves taking a measure of respon$ibility.


    xpat - 06:52am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#41 of 138)

    Family & Political Correctness: http://www.jannah.org/sisters/redriding.html


    xpat - 07:24am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#42 of 138)

    http://www.cs.rice.edu/~ssiyer/minstrels/poems/104.html

    That's my last Duchess painted on the wall, Looking as if she were alive. I call That piece a wonder, now: Frà Pandolf's hands Worked busily a day, and there she stands. Will 't please you sit and look at her? I said "Frà Pandolf" by design, for never read Strangers like you that pictured countenance, The depth and passion of its earnest glance, But to myself they turned (since none puts by The curtain I have drawn for you, but I) And seemed as they would ask me, if they durst, How such a glance came there; so, not the first Are you to turn and ask thus. Sir, 'twas not Her husband's presence only, called that spot Of joy into the Duchess' cheek: perhaps Frà Pandolf chanced to say, "Her mantle laps Over my Lady's wrist too much," or "Paint Must never hope to reproduce the faint Half-flush that dies along her throat"; such stuff Was courtesy, she thought, and cause enough For calling up that spot of joy. She had A heart . . . how shall I say? . . . too soon made glad, Too easily impressed; she liked whate'er She looked on, and her looks went everywhere. Sir, 'twas all one! My favour at her breast, The dropping of the daylight in the West, The bough of cherries some officious fool Broke in the orchard for her, the white mule She rode with round the terrace--all and each Would draw from her alike the approving speech, Or blush, at least. She thanked men,--good; but thanked Somehow . . . I know not how . . . as if she ranked My gift of a nine-hundred-years-old name With anybody's gift. Who'd stoop to blame This sort of trifling? Even had you skill In speech--(which I have not)--to make your will Quite clear to such an one, and say, "Just this Or that in you disgusts me; here you miss, Or there exceed the mark"--and if she let Herself be lessoned so, nor plainly set Her wits to yours, forsooth, and made excuse, --E'en then would be some stooping; and I chuse Never to stoop. Oh, sir, she smiled, no doubt, Whene'er I passed her; but who passed without Much the same smile? This grew; I gave commands; Then all smiles stopped together. There she stands As if alive. Will 't please you rise? We'll meet The company below, then. I repeat, The Count your Master's known munificence Is ample warrant that no just pretence Of mine for dowry will be disallowed; Though his fair daughter's self, as I avowed At starting, is my object. Nay, we'll go Together down, Sir! Notice Neptune, though, Taming a sea-horse, thought a rarity, Which Claus of Innsbruck cast in bronze for me.

    -- Robert Browning

    I think this one is Great. A dramatic monologue and also the aristocratic, unapologetic explanation of a poikilothermic murderer. You read this poem as partial victim of the Duke's chillingly warped sense of reality. This is not Evil revelling in itself- but Evil masquerading as Righteousness... Deliciously creepy. The brutal arrogance of the supremely egotistical Duke and his veneer of consummate refinement are brought out masterfully in that telling line- "..and I choose/ Never to stoop." The 'inconclusive-ness' of the piece leaves the reader in horrified suspense (a pretty innovative decision on Browning's part- the use of open-endings as a technique had yet to catch on). A virtuoso performance by a fascinating character,an exquisitely handled script, and a title that is a dangerous revelation in itself.

    Pavithra Krishnan

    From: Rosanna.KING@dfee.gov.uk


    Thew2000 - 07:41am Nov 14, 2000 BST (#43 of 138)

    The debate about lowering the concent age seems to have these concercerns at its heart. To protect the rights of the younger generation from abuse I believe a minimum concent age of 18 for hetero and homo people should be established. And a 21 year age limited for exploitation in so called industries of rape tutuiion, or porn which ever term you prefer.


    xpat - 09:07pm Nov 14, 2000 BST (#44 of 138)

    Possibly from the BBC (radio) i part heard docco re China. In China there has been no recognition of homosexuality. The western term 'gay' is being introduced re men. Yet for women their is no equivalent word for Lesbian. Raises a question regarding the timelyness of labels in relation to other social aspects. simmilar to the English usage 'confirmed bachelor' not having an equivalent re spinster.


    xpat - 09:28pm Nov 14, 2000 BST (#45 of 138)

    The decline and fall of the Roman Empire.

    The sucess of Empire Expansionism was to integrate the second generation into the 'inner-group', whilst their slave parents were generally 'outer-group'.

    If this is so, then, via ONE generation there was transition from an old cultural set of values, to recognition and acceptance of, a new set of values.


    xpat - 09:33pm Nov 14, 2000 BST (#46 of 138)

    East Germany.

    The minds of some young Nazi East Germans are said to contain a WALL.

    [A wall divided Berlin]

    Their value system of the 1930's has been fanned.

    They see migrants into East Germany as a 'threat', whereas a female German politician said they should be seeing the migrants as enhancement.

    A trial is current, reflecting the death of a black man beaten to death in a park by three NeoNatziSkinHeads. http://europe.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/europe/08/24/germany.trial/

    The exact spot has been marked, and the German Chancellor laid a wreath.

    The East Germans were never 'educated' out of the negative propaganda of the 1930's. This has still to be done. http://www.wsws.org/articles/2000/sep2000/germ-s13.shtml http://www.wsws.org/articles/2000/aug2000/nazi-a30.shtml


    xpat - 09:45pm Nov 14, 2000 BST (#47 of 138)

    Ownership is an issue in industry/commerce.

    The acceptance of 'change' via the use of workers to determine problem(s) and devise solution(s), rather than appeal to an outside authority (time&motionExpert) is now regarded as a best approach. A business co. may be brought in to reveal the problems of a company via questions to : TopManagement, Employees, and Customers. The revelation of triangulated view points assists in devising new directions and repairing 'holes' in their systems process. http://ccs.mit.edu/papers/CCSWP189/ccswp189.html


    Possumdag - 08:05pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#48 of 138)

    The Australian President of the Medical Association for Prevention of War, Dr. Susan Wareham, talks about the the suffering the Iraqi sanctions inflict on the Iraqi population, particularly the children. http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/stories/s207626.htm


    Callidice - 08:18pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#49 of 138)

    Murder, rape and other "atrocities" make complete biological sense.


    wilsontown - 08:22pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#50 of 138)

    Hm, OK. So what?


    Callidice - 08:24pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#51 of 138)

    Exactly.


    rshowalter - 08:24pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#52 of 138)  | 

    Re: 45-47 - GREAT POSTS !

    The conversion of people from group "outsiders" to "insiders" makes all the difference - in the difference between seeing new workers as sources of enhancement, compared to threats, and in all sort of socio-technical negotiations in business.

    Plenty of engineering, and the "social engineering" of business looks best optimized in terms of dehumanized, stark abstrarctions that put the proposer in the position of the "power" and put many who would have to implement in the role of "outsider." And such schemes, that may "look optimal" very often fail - because they violate basic patterns of human feeling. The efforts required to humanize, and find ways of conection and inclusion, are very often essential for function. If the effort to implement change is done by "outsiders" or "enemies" of the people who have to learn and participate in the change, the technical arguments aren't likely to be listened to, and aren't likely to succeed.

    The tasks of fitting things to human associations, and human institutions, is a very different task from the task of optimizing a logical or mathematical problem. Both are often absolutely essential. For difficult innovations, connections between the two patterns may be difficult, delicate, and crucial for success.

    And inventor who was trained and self trained to produce the starkest possible definitions of abstract optimality, and work from them, may therefore produce work that looks "technically perfect" and "wonderfully promising" and yet that work may be sterile, unless the jobs needed to take the starkness, and fit it to the perceptions of real human beings, can be done. I have been such an inventor, and have had some difficulties that trace to just that cause. How easy it is to elicit a fight with a suggestion for radical change - even a radical change in something small - even if the suggestion is in some sense "perfect !"


    rshowalter - 08:29pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#53 of 138)  | 

    Re: 48- 51 - More GREAT posts.

    Murder, rape and other "atrocities" make complete biological sense.

    Acts that produce grave damage (for instance, the Iraq sanctions) may make complete "logical" sense.

    So, for decency, and if people care for moral and aesthetic values, people have many jobs, that must engage both heads and hearts, finding ways to fashion social arrangements so that people are dealt with, and deal with each other, as human beings.


    rshowalter - 08:31pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#54 of 138)  | 

    And the question "are people being dealt with inclusively, as human beings rather than objects?" occurs again and again.

    There are costs of dealing with people as human beings, of course.

    But the costs of NOT doing so, though the may be hidden, may be much larger, not only aesthetically, but operationally, as well.


    hoib - 08:32pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#55 of 138)

    Hayate I believe you make the mistake of attributing to aboriginal cultures a level of equanamity they no more had than any other cultures.

    Tell a Lakota the Anishanabe are his "brothers" or the Cheyenne that Crows and Apache were kindred and you'd surely get some interesting answers.

    You excuse Apache and Commanche violence by blaming their contact with the Conquistadores. The main thing they got from them, I'd argue, was the horse. They already knew about rapine and slaughter from the Aztecs.

    Roger Williams was long dead in 18th C BTW. He left plymouth colony to start Rhode Island because of the Puritans obsession with religion. That was in roughly the 1640s.

    Cultures can and do evolve, devolve, wax and wane it's true. Blaming everything bad that befalls less evolved cultures on the more advanced is a bit more than simplistic. Your posts are often sparkling but your Caucasiophobia often blinds you to more apparent explainations.

    There's nothing really good or bad...tis thinking makes it so."


    rshowalter - 08:32pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#56 of 138)  | 

    And folks you've dehumanized may turn around and hurt you !


    rshowalter - 08:36pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#57 of 138)  | 

    There's plenty that's really good, or really bad, so long as you have a way of keeping score that you're sticking to.

    Some approaches generate fights, and the necessity of inflicting pain. Other approaches generate complex cooperation, often both pleasurable and productive.

    The approaches that generate fights are, by and large, bad . The approaches that generate peace are, by and large, good.


    Callidice - 09:31pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#58 of 138)

    >>The approaches that generate fights are, by and large, bad . The approaches that generate peace are, by and large, good.<<

    Care to expand? Funny how "fights" on a species level are so commonplace. Could they be "good"?


    rshowalter - 10:22pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#59 of 138)  | 

    Callidice , fights can be good, if they answer questions in a "biologically useful" way, and if they are cheap enough, in context.

    For example, in selective breeding, eggs are expensive, sperm is cheap. And so, in very many animals, there is sexual competition by males, with winners and losers. Some of this winning and losing is resolved with fights, some with conventional, nonviolent competitions.

    From an evolutionary point of view, the conflicts are "good" and the costs are what they happen to be.

    But the "good" from fighting comes with a definite biological cost. And the requirements of fighting sometimes drive evolution in directions that seem inefficient.

    In human affairs, there are conflicts, too, and sometimes they are solved in some sort of "fight"- generally fights according to conventional rules.

    Most interactions aren't this way - most human interactions that work are cooperative and peaceful.

    But at a few nodes in the logic, fights may be forcing.

    I'd never call fights "good" in any absolute sense, but they can be necessary expenses in some contexts. When that happens, it is important, and I'd say, wholly good, to limit the magnitude of the fights, so that the damage, always finite, is fairly small.

    For example, in paradigm conflict, when questions of fact need to be established, there may have to be "fights." They should be little and conventional fights, set up to minimize the damage to combatants, and to get right anwers.


    Callidice - 10:46pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#60 of 138)

    >>I'd never call fights "good" in any absolute sense,<<

    What "fights" what "good"? Would you not describe the cutthroat existence of bacteria in a Petri-dish as a "fight"? Would you deny that the human animal has more than a few connections biologically with the world of creatures with less cells?

    "fights" are "wrong" are they?


    Possumdag - 10:59pm Nov 15, 2000 BST (#61 of 138)

    Nepotism - Employing the in/inner group

    http://www.rochester.edu/FacultyHandbook/UniversityPolicies/Conflict.html http://www.rochester.edu/FacultyHandbook/UniversityPolicies/Conflict.html


    rshowalter - 11:38am Nov 16, 2000 BST (#62 of 138)  | 

    Callidice asks "What "fights" what "good"?"

    That depends on how people choose (and we're social animals, so that means, choose together) to keep score. It is in a sense arbitrary to say that death is bad, that pain is bad, that effort intended to a achieve a purpose, that fails, is unfortunate.

    But in that sense all human ethical beliefs are arbitrary. Somehow, as people make sense of the world, patterns of ideas converge in our heads - and, for most people within a culture, with a common experience, these ideas usually converge in ways that permit consensus.

    I was using "good" and "bad" in this arbitrary sense - a sense I can use, and others often choose to use, to guide choice.

    Callidice asks ..... "Would you deny that the human animal has more than a few connections biologically with the world of creatures with less cells?"

    No, of course not. But human beings are complex, and heirarchically structured, and at the level at which our minds work, there are aspects of us hat go above and go beyond what is to be found in "creatures with less cells."


    rshowalter - 11:44am Nov 16, 2000 BST (#63 of 138)  | 

    Possumdag's post on Nepotism shows that human beings, heirarchically structured and complex beings as single animals, live in a larger, and perhaps even more structured society -- in the cited example, a social structure where institutions issue guidelines and rules - to guide conduct, so that bad results, that might occur in "a state of nature" do not occur, or are less likely.

    I'd argue that most, or all, of the arrangements that permit complex cooperation between people who are "outsiders" to each other require the guidance of rules, implicit or explicit, from such social structures, and that when rules fail, human results may be bad, even horrific.


    Possumdag - 01:58pm Nov 16, 2000 BST (#64 of 138)

    An observation re nepotism is that many jobs are given to those known to the inner circle of those with power to appoint, either family members, friends of the appointee or people who fit the culture of the inner group.

    The fact that guidelines are developed re nepotism are an acknowledgement of it's existence. A question is - even with guidelines and policies - do people prefer to appoint from the inner rather than outer groups. Most job appointees assist a supervisor or manager with a set process.

    In 'monitored' appointments the guidelines may be deferred to, and 'the best and most appropriately qualifed and experienced person' may be allocated the position .. but ... does this ideal actally happen?


    Possumdag - 02:02pm Nov 16, 2000 BST (#65 of 138)

    Zimbabwean problems re the economy. The shift or distractor is the removal of the farms from white farmers who provide the country with exports and income, to the populus who may return to 'gardening' the land. http://www.africa.com/news/?aid=hfu741ma Is this shift a temporary distractor to enable Mugabe to maintain dictatorial power. Inflation is currently 60%, and the country is recovering from a wartime engagement. Truth has been a casualty of dictatorial policy.


    Possumdag - 09:11am Nov 18, 2000 BST (#66 of 138)

    inner inbetween outer

    differences ?


    rshowalter - 10:58am Nov 18, 2000 BST (#67 of 138)  | 

    That's a huge question. How do people learn to percieve another as "one of the group" or "an outsider?"

    That could merit a LOT of study, from a lot of careful academics, that could be useful, for human feelings, for business, and for peacemaking.

    One thought I have is that affiliation may come fairly hard, and may, in its most "natural state" come from "shared and important things" and the animal inclination may be to turn away from people who don't "share something important" especially if they "disgree" about something important.

    Tolerance of difference comes hard. It must be learned, and nurtured. It can easily be suppressed.

    Intolerances of difference can be passionate and heartfelt. Pretty early in a child's life.

    I've spent a good deal of time watching kids, a lot of them between 4 and 7 years old. When they have a difference about what a word means, or what "the right thing to do" is about something they are invested about, how fast a fight can flare!

    A tremendous effort, teaching young children, goes into teaching open mindedness. Teaching kids to get along, and share. Teaching kids not to fight. Enormous effort goes into setting up situations where kids are expected to play together, and get along, so that the kids learn to. The people involved have to worry about this, and care about this, and exercise their minds and hearts about this, because this socialization of children comes hard.

    But it is essential for civilization.

    Tolerance for difference isn't easy for people, and maybe the neurological reasons are basic.

    The idea patterns in our heads are hard won - people in social groups jabber at each other, thousand of words a day, talking about "this and that" getting the furniture of their minds the same. And that means, in uncountable ways, they can cooperate easily.

    For someone who has NOT been included in all that "social construction of reality" communication is harder, and involves unforseen "bumps" where misunderstandings stop communication, and discomfort an confusion must be sorted out in the minds of the different people involved. That takes both more imagination, more disciplined knowledge, and a more open minded stance about one's own "reality" than people show spontaneously.

    And if a person is part of a group that values "rigor" -- a military group, an academic group, an academic training system, such as a graduate school, --- rigidity to tight standards may be valued, and insisted on, in ways that exclude people who are different, either in their person, or in their systems of ideas.

    Look at a business, as a social group. How rigidly any busines group can draw the line between "them" and "us." And for lots of function, anything else would be unworkable, even unthinkable.

    But complex cooperation requires cooperation between "outsiders" who are still, somehow, in ways that work, treated as "insiders." Treated as "insiders for a particular purpose" in the sense of treated as valid, full, human beings, at an interface, enough for cooperation.

    The skills, and feelings needed for this don't seem to be natural at all, but cultural. And sometimes, these feelings break down, or (in the case of Nazi Germany, or many other "rigorous" groups, in many other times and places, these feelings and patterns are suppressed, so that a group takes the stance of predator with respect to the other groups it interacts with.


    rshowalter - 11:11am Nov 18, 2000 BST (#68 of 138)  | 

    "Nice" comes hard.

    And sometimes "nice" is not the objective of a group. Military traing takes in "ousiders" treats them brutally (the first day of military training is sometimes as brutal as the people in charge can make it) to "whip them into shape" as a homogenous group of "insiders" for a specific, often warlike purpose, to the exclusion of all who are in any "significant" way different.

    Academic training can be similar. Especially when the idea of "rigor" is valued. If you go to a dictionary, and look up "rigor" many of the definitions are not only about discipline, but about cruelty.

    Inflexibility, too.

    Committments that produce the ability for complex dealmaking, complex cooperation, and peace, have to stand against patterns that are set up strongly for exclusion and rigidity.


    Tolstoy - 11:33am Nov 18, 2000 BST (#69 of 138)

    Rshowalter:

    Cheers for the interesting thread. Anyway, all these problems could be relatively easily overcome if people were to accept the basic spiritual (NOT institutionalised religious) message promoted by all the great teachers of history - that there is an eternal dimension to life, and the speed of our progression to a condition of absolute bliss is dependent on our manifestation of the qualities of love, non-violence, tolerance etc. In other words, the rejection of all concepts of 'insiders' and 'outsiders' (and the abolition of all military and other violence-based institutions).

    This model combines self-interest with altruism, a win-win situation for everyone. It is also possible to argue the same case from a purely materialistic (i.e. non-spiritual) basis: at the end of the day, what we all really crave more than anything is companionship, respect and love from our fellow human beings - and common sense should tell us that what we want for ourselves we should give to others.

    On the fundamental question in the thread title - I believe that EVERYBODY is essentially good (indeed, perfect), but we all make lots of mistakes on our journeys towards ultimate enlightenment.

    Just some thoughts, hope they don't across as too pompous!


    Possumdag - 11:53am Nov 18, 2000 BST (#70 of 138)

    " ... at the end of the day, what we all really crave more than anything is companionship, respect and love from our fellow human beings - and common sense should tell us that what we want for ourselves we should give to others. ... "

    So, you're saying that everyone wants to belong to the ingroup. Yet when ideas that challenge the redundant knowlege of the ingroup arise, then, the messenger is shot, along with the message!

    It seems 'strange' that science people, ingoups, don't welcome 'new knowledge' when it more perfectly fits and assists their needs in relation to problem solving.

    Back to Plimsole: the company had sailors on contracts which they could not break. That ships went down, was the factor that eventually encouraged the company to think about 'not loosing them' ... insurance may have increased contract prices. That people were lost and died was of no consequence to the Shipping Companies .... a sunken ship was evenually recognised as bad planning rather than misfortune.

    (That lives were lost when ships sunk was of no consequence to Commerce.)

    Failure to adopt new paradigms may be a failure to contain loss of life .... but ... again ... this may be put down to luck and misfortune rather than planning and quality performances.

    Is there an 'inbetween' land, between the inner and outer groupings. Who lurks in the nether regions and when are they either accepted into the fold or cast to the wolves.

    The scienists in NSW (Australia) are in netherland and outerland. Their response has been to group. To determine to seek publicity. To use media. To continue to promote and voice their ideas. They felt the current method of gaining professional acceptance was out moded and a sham.

    A further matter to explore is the power of redundant knowledge and its empowerment. People who fade and die take with them their knowledge both useful (wisdom) and the redundant. Death in one way clears the decks of old knowledge to make way for the NEW and appropriate knowledge. Death in relation to this concept is Spring Cleaning. The old giving way (literally) to the new.


    rshowalter - 12:20pm Nov 18, 2000 BST (#71 of 138)  | 

    Tolstoy , I agree with the thrust of your ideals, though I've been a pugnacious person myself, on some occasions.

    But if peace and comity are the ideals , we better look clearly at how to get them in the world as it is, with real people.

    If essentially instinctual responses can easily lead to discord, exclusion, lies and wars (and I can't see the evidence any other way) then we'd best know it, and find the discipline and the wisdom to find ways, cultural ways, ways of both mind and heart, to get to complex cooperation and peace.

    The joy and love in the world are perfectly real, and powerful.

    But the horror and avoidable loss is, too, and I don't think looking away from that is the best way to reduce these things.


    rshowalter - 12:22pm Nov 18, 2000 BST (#72 of 138)  | 

    Right on, possumdag.


    Tolstoy - 12:23pm Nov 18, 2000 BST (#73 of 138)

    Possumbag - "So, you're saying that everyone wants to belong to the ingroup. Yet when ideas that challenge the redundant knowlege of the ingroup arise, then, the messenger is shot, along with the message"

    NO - I am saying that everyone ultimately wants to belong to the 'whole' group ('the family of man') - and that all intolerant, messenger-shooting 'ingroups' should be abolished.

    I accepted the down-side of (temporary) human nature in my posting, and am just trying to point a way forward.

    Cheers.

    PS - Rshowalter, just saw your reply to me, thanks for that. Anyway, I hope my positing didn't give the wrong impression, I am certainly not advocating a turning away from the horrors of life - just, again, a possible way to overcome them.


    rshowalter - 06:47pm Nov 19, 2000 BST (#74 of 138)  | 

    Tolstoy, like your namesake, you're great!


    Tolstoy - 07:17pm Nov 19, 2000 BST (#75 of 138)

    Rshowalter, cheers for that, the compliment is reciprocated. I'm going through a bit of a gloomy time just now, so all kind words gratefully accepted!


    rshowalter - 10:49pm Nov 19, 2000 BST (#76 of 138)  | 

    Tolstoy, I hope you feel better. I DO think you're great, and represent a kind of tough, inclusive hopefulness the world needs, and that I find beautiful. And I DO think you're beautiful.

    I worry about making your fine and good ideals fit, gracefully, with some other needs. We need a sense of wholeness, a sense of oneness. But we also need a world small enough and simple enough to be our size. And not very threatening. So we need to be perceptive, to find ways to work out ways of having multiply structured, multiple level committments, so that, for a lot of purposes, we're both "outsiders" and "insiders" in various ways, and for various reasons. Negotiating that, so it works for head and heart, on an everyday basis, takes social perception, heart, and social inventions coming up with new conventions that work.

    For example, in #70, Possumdag cites some socially inventive, creative people

    "The scienists in NSW (Australia) are in netherland and outerland. Their response has been to group. To determine to seek publicity. To use media. To continue to promote and voice their ideas. They felt the current method of gaining professional acceptance was out moded and a sham."

    That's a creative response, though the last line is hostile, though the argument for an alternative is good. They're fashioning, bringing into focus, a system of social invention-accomodations that make for new possibilities, new kinds of hope.

    Seems to me, that with the world complicated, and people still "hunting animals" full of instincts that can misfire in ugly ways, finding hope, grace, peace, and prosperity takes plenty of heart, some guts, and a great deal of head. There's plenty of need for social inventiveness.

    Some people with astounding gifts of both head and heart (and plenty of guts) are around on these Guardian threads. And they can write, too! A creative place.

    Tolstoy, I hope your gloom lifts. I'll be thinking of you (and your namesake) and trying myself, to be more a person Tolstoy would approve of, and less of a reflex fighter.


    Tolstoy - 08:42am Nov 20, 2000 BST (#77 of 138)

    RSO, what can I say apart from many thanks again, and a big hug - you have singlehandedly blown away the blues! This is not just because of your (over) kind words, but also your thoughtful and incisive points re. the world's problems and the means to overcome them.

    Incidentally, I have no problem at all with people coming together in groups and associations, it is only the historically divisive, intolerant, and ultimately pro-violence ones (such as nations, 'races', most institutionalised religions etc.) which I was querying.

    Also re. the last sentence in your Possumdag quote - I have always felt that it was perfectly all right to use strongly critical language re. ideas, just not about actual people; I accept I could be wrong here, and that I should maybe moderate my tone across the board. On the other hand, perhaps being ideologically 'pugnacious' (and you are being far to hard on yourself there) is the way to go after all....?

    I also totally agree with you about the quality of gifts of a lot of the contributors to these Guardian talk sites (and I absolutely include yourself in this); in general I think that the Internet is already proving to be a force for enormous good (though with a few downsides) - pointing the way forward to a properly integrated, compassionate, barrier-free world.

    Anyway, many, many thanks again, your comments really couldn't have come at a better time.


    rshowalter - 11:33am Nov 29, 2000 BST (#78 of 138)  | 

    If human decency, and safety, in complex societies depends on cultural inventions and conventions acting against some basic dehumanizing influences with respect to "others" -there are many human consequences.

    Here is one. Academic output that is "obscure" from the point of view of outsiders may be made so because of ordinary human instinctive responses to exclude others, and the obscurity may NOT be due to logical necessity. Outsiders asking for clarity may have a right to ask for it, and in the asking may cleanse and sharpen the intellectual output of the academic group.

    If an academic group puts out painfully obscure intellectual product, descriptions after the manner of H.L. Menken may be fully justified. Painful obscurity, and pleasure in "difficulty" may be no more than ways to hide inadequacy from all concerned.

    That's one more reason why the literary and writerly virtues are important.


    rshowalter - 12:02am Dec 1, 2000 BST (#79 of 138)  | 

    from THE NEW YORK TIMES November 30, 2000 Horrors Behind Rebel Lines in Sierra Leone By NORIMITSU ONISHI

    UMBUNA, Sierra Leone — The villagers crept out of the bush on a recent morning, and although the soil here is among Africa's richest, some arrived with hollow cheeks and shrunken limbs.

    They were temporarily safe here in Bumbuna, a small town that offers a tiny haven in the heart of an area ruled by one of Africa's most brutal rebel groups. The tales they told offered some inkling of what life is like behind rebel lines, a peek into a broad region of thousands of square miles that is one of the grimmest and least accessible parts of the globe.

    A brother and sister, William and Sirah Kargbo, said rebels in their village had taken 10 young women as sex slaves, forced the village men to work and give them food and, until earlier this year, chopped off the hands of those who disobeyed.

    "If we don't contribute, they will take everything or kill you," said William Kargbo, 30, who taps palm trees for wine and has often been forced to carry goods for the rebels.

    A woman, Jemilatu Bangura, 30, arrived with her son, Samba Diallo, who was 4 years old but looked maybe 2. Her village, like the Kargbos', is only 15 miles from here. But so isolated was Ms. Bangura that she did not know whether Sierra Leone was at peace or at war. She did not know that such a thing as the United Nations existed, much less that it now had 12,500 troops in her country.

    &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&& &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&& &&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&&

    Horrors like this are probably as old as history, and the inhumanity may be as natural as human goodness.

    There are too many of them to be aberrations. But they remain horrors.

    Culture, and the disciplines of culture, are essential for us to avoid Hell on earth, and offer hope, in some times and places, for human experiences approaching the heavenly. For all the horror, beauty is possible and real, as well.

    An essential requirement is information, transferred effectively and quickly, among people. Without it, the possibilities for decency get rapidly less.


    Tolstoy - 02:47pm Dec 1, 2000 BST (#80 of 138)

    Rsho,

    Hello again, hope you saw my thank you note above - still feeling much better!

    In any case, I liked your paragraph "Culture, and the disciplines of culture, are essential for us to avoid Hell on earth, and offer hope, in some times and places, for human experiences approaching the heavenly. For all the horror, beauty is possible and real, as well."

    As well as cultural and other interchanges, I think that it is important to counter and ultimately defeat ideological myths - such as the one which says that violence (always 'defensive' when it is being advocated) is sometimes necessary to make the world a better place. It is this illusion which is directly leading to tragedies such as the one in Sierre Leone (as well as similar conflicts in Chechnya, Serbia, Iraq etc,) you so graphically outlined.

    All the best.


    rshowalter - 08:34am Dec 2, 2000 BST (#81 of 138)  | 

    I hope sometime the world will have gotten entirely past violence.

    There are plenty of cases where oppression so severe that it must be enforced and reinforced by violence dominates and makes hell of human lives. http://www.channel4.com/slavery/

    There are 27 million slaves today.


    xpat - 09:51pm Dec 2, 2000 BST (#82 of 138)

    The misuse and brutalisation of people as slaves or surfs has been a factor of past centuries to present.

    I heard an interesting talk by a guy who's written a book on the 'Enlightenment...' that outlined the progress of thinking. England and Holland in the early 1700's were the places to be. In 1695 the political procedure of all printed matter in England having to have Royal approval lapsed and the use and availability of printed matter was cp to the use of the internet today enabling free discussion.

    Voltaire, freed from the Bastille, went to London and interacted with the intellectuals in the Coffee and Chocolate houses. Ideas were discussed and papers written to advance knowledge and ideas. Voltaire wrote a book re his impressions 'letters from England' and was influenced by them.

    The Bogey today is the clamps placed on free thinking and discussion by 'institutions' ... New Zealand has free thought, whereas Australia demands that all publically said by Academics are mediated via their Media controls.

    That Academics be free to talk and discuss and push new ideas, or comment on community happenings, is imperative. The move from Tenure to Contracts is another means of 'undoing' freedom of expression.

    Institutional 'inhumanity to man' stagnates progress. The Academic regime might be compared to a political dictatorship ... how does a multi-headed institution 'think'?


    xpat - 10:00pm Dec 2, 2000 BST (#83 of 138)

    English historian ROY PORTER on his book ENLIGHTENMENT: BRITAIN AND THE CREATION OF THE MODERN WORLD.

    The 18th century European Enlightenment has long been regarded as the domain of French thinkers such as Voltaire, Rousseau, Montesquieu, Diderot - rather than earlier British thinkers such as Newton, Locke and Hume.

    After the French Revolution, few in Britain would have wanted to claim that the Enlightenment originated there. Edmund Burke's conviction that the ideas of the Enlightenment had led directly to the violent overthrow of the established order in France was widely shared.

    ROY PORTER believes that this prejudice, coupled with a national distrust of intellectuals, has meant that the role of the British Enlightenment in the creation of the modern world has gone largely unrecognised... as he explained at the recent CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL OF LITERATURE.

    Publications: Enlightenment: Britain and the Creation of the Modern World. Author: ROY PORTER Price: $60 Publisher: Allen Lane The Penguin Press. http://www.abc.net.au/rn/arts/booktalk/stories/s218994.htm + this also looks interesting http://www.abc.net.au/rn/arts/booktalk/stories/s170502.htm


    rshowalter - 09:28pm Dec 3, 2000 BST (#84 of 138)  | 

    The needs of institutions housing "communities of practice" to fit the needs of these communities of practice are real. For academic institutions, which compete intensely for academic reputation (decided on the basis of something like votes or surveys by members of the "communities of practice" itself) to ignore the strong prejudices and interests of communities of practice is too much to ask.

    A university, confronted with a threat to its reputation, must be expected to respond vigorously.

    So, for similar reasons, can a government institution, or a private foundation.

    That can stultify debate, and institutionalize false answers for decades, if the university is the ONLY arbiter of academic status, under all conditions.

    A key question is procedural - what do the "invisible colleges" owe to other invisible colleges that depend on their results, and what do they owe to the public at large, that pays for their maintenance and trusts their results? Currently, the operational answer seems to be "nothing" - at least whenever a question is raised that REALLY disrupts some established interest of the "invisible college."

    Disruptive questions, including ones which carry the seeds of great progress, aren't adressed. The questioner of status quo is branded as an outcast. The practical effect of the shunning is attribution of insanity. The case that needs to be made is never made in a way that can stand.

    This is in line with the thesis of this thread - it fits the patterns of natural "insiders" dealing with "outsiders" as enemies in an essentially military sense, on the basis of sponteneous responses that may be instictual for humans.

    The solution, as in the case of other circumstances where more effective complex competition is needed, than a "state of nature" permits, is the establishment of conventions, and/or institutions, that can deal with situations that produce bad results in the "natural state of man."


    rshowalter - 09:33pm Dec 3, 2000 BST (#85 of 138)  | 

    The issue matters most under conditons discussed in "Paradigm Shift - whose getting there? <xpat "Paradigm Shift .... whose getting there?" Fri 28/07/2000 21:55>

    Here are #242 and #243 from that thread:

    When progress is delayed due to paradigm conflicts, the loss, in retrospect, are often huge. In the case of Semmelweis, millions died horribly and much sooner than they might have. Other cases are almost as bad. Sometimes progress is delayed for generations. Sometimes the human dramas involve very ugly behavior, and real tragedies.

    But though the stakes can be high, and acceptance of correct answers can be long delayed, the questions involved in paradigm conflicts are starkly simple. In the cases of Semmelwies, and McCully, the questions were:

    1. When going from patient to patient, does sanitation matter, or not? (It matters.)

    2.Does homocysteine relate causally to artheriosclerosis, or not? (It does.)

    In the recent revolution in fluid mechanics, the question was

    3. When a flow becomes turbulent, are the laws of Newtonian physics adjourned, so that only statistics applies, or does causality continue? (It continues.)

    In my case, the key question is

    4. Do the axioms of pure math have a domain of definition, or not? If they do, and you are outside that domain of definition, can you do experiments (symbolic and model-physical system matching) or not? (This isn’t settled in the profession - but YES YOU CAN.)

    These questions are simple, and have simple answers. But these questions are not simple in human terms, for the people most concerned with them.

    When these questions are nested in a mass of cultural-social-emotional construction, they may be invisible, or emotionally charged to a prohibitive degree, and resolution of them may be humanly impossible.

    For example, to see Semmelweis’s point, doctors had to rethink what they were doing, and admit that they were inadvertently killing patients.

    To see McCully’s point, a team of cardiologists who had organized themselves around one research subject (chloresterol) had to admit that another issue might matter as well.

    In my case, procedures that have become embedded in three centuries of mathematical physics practice have to be re-examined.

    My late partner, S.J. Kline, one of the few people who successfully worked through a paradigm shift (in fluid mechanics, after a fifteen year fight) put it this way:

    "One cannot reasonably expect successful peer review of a proposition, or acceptance of it later, if people in the profession wince at the ideas in it so much that they look away. ..... Ideas, to work, have to fit in people's heads, and in their institutions."

    Here’s another statement of the “abstractly easy” but “humanly hard” point that’s taken me and Steve so much time and effort. The key point, the “showstopper” point, is at least as much a matter of recognition as of formality. The measurable world and the axiomatic "world" of math are DIFFERENT. Mathematical models represent physical circumstances by a kind of ANALOGY. The arithmetical mechanics by which we form these analogies CAN BE TESTED FOR SYMBOLIC CONSISTENCY and CAN BE TESTED BY PHYSICAL EXPERIMENT. The analogy formation mechanism, itself, is entirely beyond the axioms of formal math as it is now taught. It is EXPERIMENTAL tests, not proof by axiomatic usages, that must be applied to evaluate the completeness and correctness of the analogy-forming procedures.

    There’s a “territorial” issue that arises. At the stage where the analogy is being formed as a good representation, is “formal math” in the professional sense being done, or not? I put it this way”

    The point isn't that I'm doing formal math. The point is that I'm not doing formal math, and for where I'm working, and what I'm doing, that's all right.

    My objective has never been to short circuit peer review, but to get checking done, prior to peer review, that gets people past the wincing stage, so that our arguments, right or wrong, can stand on their own.

    In abstract terms, the issues are easy. For the community of practice involved, this time, mathematicians, and people who have math as part of their conceptual equipment, the issue is not easy, because three centuries of practice and doctrine are called into question. Sometimes the issues are “only conceptual” - and quantitative implications are negligible. Other times, in neurophysiology, turbulent fluid mechanics, and some other complex coupled problems, the quantitative implications are huge, and explain the failures of past approaches.


    tethys2 - 09:40pm Dec 3, 2000 BST (#86 of 138)

    You are very difficult to read for the layperson rso and maybe the people you have to try to convince are lacking in the lateral thinking required purely by the nature of the beast they are involved in, is it not unusual to find persons at that level who function in such detail in several disciplines and therefore the easiest way to protect themselves from something which requires a dimension of thought they are incapable of is to ignore it?

    (just some nonsense from someone functioning on a lower intellectual level here :O)


    rshowalter - 09:42pm Dec 3, 2000 BST (#87 of 138)  | 

    #243: Questions of value of the results, questions of “who objects” are very interesting questions.

    In the past, HUGE amounts of money, and values people would value in money, have been at stake, and that's true in the S-K case, as well.

    It is worth remembering something very easy to forget. The core questions on which paradigm conflict hinge are SIMPLE . It is the human relations, and the psychology, and the social usages, that are hard.

    Here’s an essential reason why they are hard.

    Under paradigm conflict, new ideas, that are right, are “obviously wrong” to the working group of professionals who judge them.

    “Obviously wrong” , for most people, means something like i--- “in tension with the current body of socially (and logically) constructed ideas and “working knowledge.” That tension can cause extreme emotional and territorial responses, including blindness to evidence, and enough tension to produce tics, shaking body parts, and generally averse, angry responses.

    When that happens, abstractly simple questions aren’t practically simple for real people. And answering these "simple" questions is problematic for real societies.

    (end of quote from Paradigm Shift - whose getting there )

  • *******

    Under a "state of nature" - responses to the "boat rocker" in the paradigm conflict case can be ugly indeed -- the treatment of Semmelweis set out in BIOGRAPHICAL DICTIONARY OF MEDICINE (J.E.Bendiner and E. Bendiner -- Facts of File, NY and Oxford) is as ugly as many of the worst atrocity stories I've encountered.

    At the same time, the very same people, facing the same logical situation under conventions that required them to deal with the questioner as a provisional "insider by convention" or subject to umpiring, might behave in much better fashion.

    In the Semmelweis case, the doctors who hounded Semmelweis to his death, and caused so many millions of unnecessary deaths because they could not listen, really were concerned with the preservation of life. If there had been a way to communicate key ideas to them, how much would have been saved!

    Here, as elsewhere where man's inhumanity to man occurs, it is conventions and institutions on which our hope must rest. A blind faith in "human nature" can be sadly misguided otherwise.

    I think I'm beginning to see evidence of the formation of conventions and institutional adjustments that will get my case a technically competent hearing, which, given the billions of dollars and many lives at stake, it deserves.

    In the course of this, the very same people who in the past might have behaved comparably to Semmelweis' tormenters may - I'm beginning to think, will, behave in public spirited fashion, with concern for technical truth. If my hope here turns out to be real, I'll owe a substantial debt of thanks to the Guardian, to the fora of the NYT, and to collaborators who have posted with me here.


    rshowalter - 09:57pm Dec 3, 2000 BST (#88 of 138)  | 

    tethys2 you might be right, but I don't think so. We haven't seen problems with clarity in such a simple sense. Steve and I have often enough gotten technical people (not laypersons) to understand what we're discussing - and sometimes to look at results.

    There's a well documented and extensive history that bears this out.

    Nobody's found counterexamples. Objections to the logic haven't been prominant or problematic either. Some people have plainly looked hard, and have understood.

    The difficulty has been that the CONSEQUENCES of the results have been held to be horrifying. Uniformly and intensely horrifying to members of the invisible colleges effected. We've seen truly violent and intense averse responses.

    Identification of a 350 year old oversight, even one that faces no counterexamples and solves big problems, is methodologically horrifying (as it would not be to "laypersons") to people who fear that their own intellectual furniture will have to be changed. That response is entirely reasonable - one reason I know that is that Steve and I had similar responses to the result ourselves - it scared us very thoroughly, simple as it is.

    The position taken in the "Paradigm Shift" thread is that, for such impasses, one needs umpires, or some set of conventions, that make checking morally forcing even when the results are distasteful to specialists, once there is sufficient good evidence that the impasse involves real and important issues.

    I think that adjustments are being made so that the checking occurs in my case. I wish Steve Kline were still alive to see the progress. We'll see how things progress.


    xpat - 01:46pm Dec 12, 2000 BST (#89 of 138)

    I think there's a chance that people we're connected to do hang around after death .... if we 'call' them. They sometimes 'walk over and through us' at significant junctures in our progress, even when we don't 'call them' !


    xpat - 01:51pm Dec 12, 2000 BST (#90 of 138)

    Inhumanity to man .... perhaps the American expectation that 'an other' should prepare and kill prisoners http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/2726


    tethys2 - 06:22pm Dec 12, 2000 BST (#91 of 138)

    #89 xpat

    I believe special people haven't left us. All that is important is what one believes personally, it doesn't matter if no one else agrees.


    rshowalter - 04:31pm Dec 13, 2000 BST (#92 of 138)  | 

    thethys2 , it matters if we have to live in the world, and if we are to hope to make the world better.


    tethys2 - 08:49pm Dec 13, 2000 BST (#93 of 138)

    I was just referring to whether one believes that people can still be with you after they have died...... that was all rso

    ( & the name's not got a "th" at the start)


    xpat - 08:52pm Dec 13, 2000 BST (#94 of 138)

    Interesting name The Thys .... very hip!


    tethys2 - 08:53pm Dec 13, 2000 BST (#95 of 138)

    oh lol xpat.......don't you start!


    infodogg - 08:37am Dec 14, 2000 BST (#96 of 138)

    rshowalter - Have you read Koestler? I know he had some fairly questionable ideas, but for me, his essay Ad Majorem Gloriam deals with this subject in an admirably straight, lucid way.


    rshowalter - 08:40am Dec 14, 2000 BST (#97 of 138)  | 

    No. I'll look. Thanks!


    rshowalter - 07:05pm Dec 17, 2000 BST (#98 of 138)  | 

    Art and Sexual Selection by Denis Dutton http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/philosophy_and_literature/v024/24.2dutton02.html an essay discussing Geoffrey Miller's The Mating Mind discusses the use of evolutionary psychology as a way of looking at human nature.

    This thread deals with whether "mankind's inhumanity to man is as natural as human goodness, while The Mating Mind deals with evolution of the mind, and especially aesthetics from a sexual selection perspective. But the connections to evolutionary psychology make the piece worth reading for reference to this thread.

    Dutton's essay starts:

    "Followers of evolutionary psychology have marveled in the last few years on the capacity of this discipline to throw new light on aspects of human life, both the obvious and the curious. The Swiss Army Knife metaphor of the mind as a multipurpose instrument fitted by evolution to solve Pleistocene problems with natural ease has great attractiveness. It offers a significantly more powerful way to view our specialized mental capacities than the older model that tries to see us as creatures with general abilities to learn whatever parents or society teach us. We're not usually as motivated to learn the calculus, or as adept at it, as we are in figuring out who's sleeping with whom in the neighborhood, and these differential interests and capacities are not socially constructed. Striking empirical findings, such as the statistic that a small child or infant is roughly a hundred times more likely to die at the hands of a stepfather than at the hands of a biological father, defy explanation in terms cultural imperatives but are consistent with evolutionary psychology and explained by it. And persistent average sex differences, like the superior detail noticing capacities of women and the better map-reading abilities of men, nicely fit with evolutionary psychology's account of Pleistocene adaptations. "

    In Natalie Angier's Woman: An intimate Geography there's an interesting counterpoint in Chapter 18 "Hoggamus and Hogwash: Putting Evolutionary Psychology on the Couch"

    Here's one of her lines: i"Evolutionary psychology professes to have discovered the fundamental modules of human nature .. " Of course, this is more than evolutionary psychology can reliably claim.

    The thought patterns of evolutionary psychology may be fine sources of inspiration - but they are suggestive, not self checking.

    We've used them to be suggestive, and to fit patterns in this thread. The suggestions seem to fit a good deal, and have broad applicability, but they could, and should, be subject to further testing of various sorts.


    rshowalter - 01:52pm Dec 21, 2000 BST (#99 of 138)  | 

    December 21, 2000 Japanese Veteran Testifies in War Atrocity Lawsuit By HOWARD W. FRENCH http://www.nytimes.com/2000/12/21/world/21JAPA.html

    excerpts:

    TOKYO, Dec. 20 — Under the code of his secret wartime army unit, which experimented with chemical weapons on live prisoners and dropped bombs to spread plague bacteria through northern China, Yoshio Shinozuka should not be alive today.

    ..........

    As a member of the Japanese Army youth corps, it was his duty to wash the victims with a hose and a deck brush before the operations began. "When I finished, the surgeon applied a stethoscope to his chest and listened to his heartbeat," he said, describing his first experience of such an experiment. "As soon as he lifted the stethoscope, the dissection began."

    Mr. Shinozuka was the first of several veterans of the unit who in the last month have described their actions. They also testified that some prisoners had been deliberately frozen to death and some had been injected with lethal chemicals and germs to study the efficacy of those agents as weapons.

  • * * * *

    Last week in Tokyo, private Japanese and international organizations convened a war tribunal that found Japan's military leaders, including Emperor Hirohito, guilty of crimes against humanity for the sexual slavery imposed on tens of thousands of women in countries controlled by Japan during World War II.

    The tribunal has no legal power to exact reparations for the survivors among these so-called comfort women. But with its judges and lawyers drawn from official international tribunals for the countries that once were part of Yugoslavia and for Rwanda, it brought unparalleled moral authority to an issue scarcely discussed or taught about in Japan.

  • * * * *

    . "During the cold war situation, Japan just didn't have to face the issues of the past," said Hiroshi Tanaka, a professor of history at Ryukoku University. "We could always get by just ignoring it. Japan was under the umbrella of the United States, and America settled Japan's Asian issues."

    Others, meanwhile, are focusing on the "comfort woman" issue, saying that since war crimes against women were not even taken into consideration by the international tribunal that tried Japan's leaders after the war, they should not be covered by the San Francisco Treaty.

    Yuan Zhulin, 78, a Chinese woman who was one of several former sex slaves to testify, explained that she had been kidnapped at age 16 after being told she would be given a job washing dishes at a hotel.

    "Every day there was a line of soldiers, with ticket in hand, waiting to have sex with me," she said. "All of the soldiers were simply inhumane. I used to hurt so badly that I couldn't sit down, or even sleep."

    Gabrielle Kirk McDonald, a former leader of the international Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia, said the San Francisco Treaty "was designed to resolve property issues." She said Japan's leaders, including Emperor Hirohito, knew of the "comfort stations" for Japanese soldiers, which involved the effective sexual slavery of 200,000 or more women, by some estimates.

    "The notion of command responsibility was established at the Nuremberg Trials and holds commanders responsible either when they knew of, or should have known of, atrocities being committed," she said.

    Asked why he had wanted to cooperate with the continuing trial involving Unit 731, Mr. Shinozuka delivered a long and highly personal meditation on guilt and forgiveness. "The government made no apology at the time," he said, "and has kept the same attitude ever since. They remain silent.

    "But all these years I've thought about who received the germs I created, and how much they must have suffered. I thought about the bereaved, and about the survivors, people whose lives were forever damaged. I thought about the victims of vivisection, and I felt these acts must not be buried away, or else we are condemned to go from darkness to darkness."


    rshowalter - 01:56pm Dec 21, 2000 BST (#100 of 138)  | 

    These things were done by ordinary people, organized in ordinary ways in ordinary organizations, by societies that were humane, competent and perceptive to the "insiders" in their societies in many ways. It is too comforting to think of these things as done by "monsters." Once people become "outsiders" -- man's inhumanity to man may, indeed, be as "natural as human goodness."

    Cultural conventions, and insight, may be the only defense we have against horror. If we know that, we can strenthen the conventions, and concentrate on them. And concentrate on the moral need to imagine human consequence of what is done. If that happens, people may learn to avoid much of the horror and inefficiency in the world.


    Possumdag - 04:49pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#101 of 138)

    I don't understand the 'misnomer' usage of the word 'comfort' in relation to the rape, abuse, and KILLINGS of women .... a japanese guy on radio, interviewed only this month said (wrongly) that the women were 'recruited' from the 'lower ranks of prostitutes' ..... he still would not admit to the 'serious nature' of this war crime.

    These women have lived with the 'shame' of their torture for up to sixty years, and have never been adequately acknowledged nor compensated.

    The BIG MOVIE on this is yet to be made ?


    Possumdag - 04:50pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#102 of 138)

    In the light of POST ONE:

    " rshowalter - 06:11pm Nov 12, 2000 BST (#1 of 101)

    But is this behavior so strange? Or is it the NATURAL state of people, dealing with outsiders, outsiders who they naturally dehumanize, and deal with as heartless, exploitive predators? Is it civilization and mercy that are the "unnatural" things - the things that have to be taught, and negotiated into being, and strived for?

    I'm coming to think that it is just as natural for people to act "inhumanly" - that is cruelly, and in a dehumanizing way, towards OUTSIDERS, as it is natural for people to act warmly, and with accommodation and mutual support, for people WITHIN their group.

    I'm coming to the view that, just as there is an instinct for language, and an instinct for becoming a part of a group, inborn in humans, there is an instinct to exclude outsiders, to dehumanize them, to withhold cooperation from them, and to treat them as animals, subject to manipulation an predation. I'm coming to believe that this treatment of outsiders is an instinctive species characteristic, evolved over the millions of years when people lived as gatherers and team hunters.

    If this is true, we all have the basic instincts to be kind, sensitive, and good, within our groups, but at the same time are naturally "monsters" in our behavior toward outsiders.

    If this is right, the role of civilization is to find ways of peace and effective cooperation where isolation, conflict, duplicity, and merciless manipulation, including murder, might otherwise occur. "


    Possumdag - 04:55pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#103 of 138)

    I'd comment here that the Japanese culture was a cruel one.

    Lifting the Japanese from the preWWII perception of themselves - as against others - has still not been done ... especially with regard to the Of-Korean-Origin peoples who are 3generations Japanese. This is why the Koreans beating the Japanese on the Sports' field is so welcomed by the Koreans. It is a means of 'showing the Japanese' who is (sporting) master.

    The women who were mal-treated, have never had the opportunity to do this, excepting a MOCK court case was held Dec2000 that condemned and found the war-time Emperor GUILTY of a war crime - with respected to the multi-raped women.


    cyclist - 05:06pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#104 of 138)

    Possumdag

    "I'd comment here that the Japanese culture was a cruel one."

    As the recent TV documentary showed, the cruelty we associate with WW2 Japanese militarism was very recent - German prisoners of the Japanese in WWI commented on how well they were treated by the Japanese.

    The needs of Japanese capitalism to compete with the western colonialisation of SE Asia led to the growth of a very cruel military regime, which dehumanised its own troops in preparation for the coming war.

    It took only 10 years or so to turn Japanese soldiers from reasonable humans to monsters.

    I think that can be achieved with any nation given the appropriate social conditions and training.

    I am still amazed by how fast Yugoslavia degenerated from the holiday destination of the late 70s, full of friendly people, to what we have seen in the last decade.


    rshowalter - 05:51pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#105 of 138)  | 

    That means we need to be suspiscious of HUMAN nature, and carefully concerned for the cultural patterns, both in terms of ideals and human arrangement, on which kindness, decency, and tolerable decency depend. What happenen in Nanking at the beginning of WWII should be remembered, and especially when people consider the (very great deal) that there is to admired about Japanese culture.

    Similar things can be said about people in other cultures. If man's inhumanity is as natural as human goodness, and the evidence suggests so, it is safer if we know it.


    paulq1 - 05:53pm Dec 22, 2000 BST (#106 of 138)

    Anyone remember the old psych study carried out years ago in which the subjects thought they were giving people electric shocks? The results were quite surprising in that a significant number of the subjects were prepared to go on delivering painful and near lethal shocks (or so they thought)to the actors. They did it on direction but no one had to hold guns to their heads to continue. I think it showed that a significant number of people will do anything if directed to by a higher authority. Or understood another way, a significant proportion of the population have no real moral priciples.


    rshowalter - 12:35am Dec 31, 2000 BST (#107 of 138)  | 

    Erica Goode wrote an article, connected to that study, and I reacted to it in the NYT Science in the News thread, relating it to a question people often ask.

    rshowalter - 07:26am Aug 29, 2000 EST (#1422 of 2535) http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1689

    It starts:

    Erica Goode's IDEAS AND TRENDS piece Hey, What if Contestants Give Each Other Shocks? deals with issues of concern to most people I know, and shows a case where scientific information can give evidence on an issue about humanity, and one particularly troubling. During WWII, what did the Germans know, and when did they know it?

    I key the argument to a great Rudyard Kipling poem http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1693

    and ended with a discussion of military and civilian responsibility and knowledge, keyed to the Germans, that I was proud to write. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1696

    Shortly afterward, there followed posts, written indirectly but usefully for their purpose, that meant a great deal to me, and were of practical help, in a circumstance where my humanity had been called into question.

    That posting sequence represented something of a turning point in my life.


    rshowalter - 12:49am Dec 31, 2000 BST (#108 of 138)  | 

    ERICA GOODE's article was Hey, What if Contestants Give Each Other Shocks? August 27, 2000, NYT

    It includes the following passages:

    "... psychologists, who carried out a variety of experiments at prestigious universities from the 1950's and into the 1970's, were fascinated by the power of situations to influence people's behavior, sometimes even overriding individual personality traits and the dictates of personal conscience.

    "The experiments were compelling, and still enthrall undergraduates when they are taught in introductory psychology courses. In perhaps the most famous, Dr. Stanley Milgram's study of obedience to authority, the subjects meekly delivered what they believed were potentially fatal electric shocks to another person when ordered to do so by an experimenter in a white coat.

    "In another, student volunteers at Stanford University who were randomly assigned to play prisoners or guards for a two-week stay in a simulated prison became so caught up in their roles that the study had to be halted after a week.

    . . . . . . .

    "By the late 1970's, ethical guidelines discouraged the use of most deception in psychological research, and required thorough debriefing of subjects. As a result, neither the Milgram study nor the Stanford prison experiment could be carried out today.

    Ugly as these results are, it is good that we know them. It is very easy for human beings to behave monstrously, and very common.


    rshowalter - 01:06am Dec 31, 2000 BST (#109 of 138)  | 

    We can "easily" think about Nazi responsibility. It is harder to think of our own. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1847

    Here's a key question, that I have come to think more and more important. The Russians agree about the basic importance of this question:

    How do you make people properly appalled and ashamed of people willing to use nuclear weapons?

    If this is an "unnatural" question, we have to arrange social patterns, and explanations, that make it a common question. If this question was as widely asked, and as clearly faced, as it should be, full nuclear disarmament would be a practical proposition.


    rshowalter - 12:07am Jan 1, 2001 BST (#110 of 138)  | 

    ". In perhaps the most famous, Dr. Stanley Milgram's study of obedience to authority, the subjects meekly delivered what they believed were potentially fatal electric shocks to another person when ordered to do so by an experimenter in a white coat."

    That's an ORDER! Milgram (1963) - the classic study that showed that people would follow orders, even if it inflicted damage, or even death, on an innocent, pleading human being: http://www.fsu.umd.edu/dept/psyc/southerl/prism/bill.htm http://www.usafa.af.mil/dfpfa/CVs/Bertha/Psyhero.html http://www.uwinnipeg.ca/~epritch1/social98a.html http://www.abacon.com/baronbyrne/chapter9.html http://www.psychology.org/links/People_and_History/

    Thanks to Lunarchick of the NYT forums.


    rshowalter - 03:01pm Jan 1, 2001 BST (#111 of 138)  | 

    In the Science in the News forum of the The New York Times I posted this, and I think it fits here http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1935

    Here it is in part:

    "rshowalt - 05:00am Sep 27, 2000 EST (#1648 of 2549)

    "As a mathematician, I've used a pattern, that is as old as the perfection of scientific instruments, that may be called the "loop test." Things are supposed to add up. Proportionalities are supposed to yeild consistent results . . . . . . .

    "How about "getting things to add up" in moral conduct? Isn't it necessary to our function as social animals, in practical ways?

    "Nobody can say "it is all right, under some circumstances, to make a first strike with nuclear weapons" and have things add up, according to any SELF CONSISTENT ethical standard at all. Try it, and try sequences of reasoning, and you'll find that the consistency of your moral universe self destructs.

    "In some of the literary forums, people talk about the death of culture, the death of any standards at all. I think it starts here, and think that it is profoundly important. Our culture has been corroding, degrading, eating into itself, and making the moral instruction of children foundationless, by staying committed to the proposition - a basic stance of our national policy, that the U.S. President can, and will, use nuclear weapons when he chooses, and that "morality is not applicable to the actions of nation states."

    "Americans insist on that in international conferences and negotiations.

    "It is a horrific stance. If morality doesn't apply to nation states, how does one object to Adolph Hitler, or Eichmann, or their like? Logically, one cannot. Even so, to justify the use of first strikes with nuclear weapons, one logically has to take this stance. The United States Government that we'd like to be so proud of does this.

    "I feel that, even if the dangers with nucs were small (and they are HUGE) this would be too high a price for us to pay for keeping them.

    ". . . . . . . the United States of America insists that it has the right to use nuclear weapons when it chooses, and it has coerced silence on the point from the Russians and the rest of the world.

    "If we're trying to get even rough senses of proportionality in morality, and if we presume to make moral judgements of others, how can we make this stick?

    "And if we want to comfortably do the complex negotiating that our society needs to work, don't we need some moral common ground amongst ourselves, that people can agree on?

    "We're paying far too high a price for keeping nuclear weapons, and for justifying our past actions, which may have been necessary during the Cold War, but are surely not justified now. We should get rid of them, and admit the obvious fact that they are reprehensible, shameful, weapons - the ultimate no-nos by reasonable moral standards. Things to be forbidden.

  • ** The thread continues, with some interesting contributions by Lunarchick .

    Moral questions are practical questions. Moral beliefs shape human action.

    The arguments for outlawing nuclear weapons have been set out by many people -- it is worth noting that some very careful consideration of them has been given by a number of Islamic clerics. The moral justification of terrorism depends, in large part, on comparisons with the "moral justification" of nuclear weapons.

    Then there's another issue. What, from a totally "morals-free" point of view, are nuclear weapons good for? As bTony50 points out above, they are worse than useless in "limited" engagements -- they are good for the extermination of nation states (with all the allies those nation states may happen to have) -- and nothing more. Such extermination is not a practical policy, even for terrorists or monsters.

    The confusion about the morality of nuclear weapons, which is now almost solely the responsibility of the United States, is the greatest barrier to nuclear disarmament. Breach that, and set out clearly that the U.S. is not justified in acting as if first strikes with nuclear weapons are workable, and widespread nuclear disarmament becomes a practical proposition -- far more practical than missile defense, for example, which cannot work, and has absorbed huge amounts of resources.

    I'll be back on the issue of "threat." Confusions about what threat is good for, confusions that concern questions of fact, are central to discussions of the practicality of nuclear disarmament.

    Pakistan and India can't use the nuclear weapons they have, or could reasonably be expected to build. If they understood that, getting rid of these holocaust makers would be doable.


    Jenny28 - 12:17am Jan 6, 2001 BST (#112 of 138)

    Fear and the desire for self-preservation are what makes it impossible at the moment, IMO, to put this particular genie completely back in the bottle. For example, it is said that Iraq is on track to build a nuclear weapon. Would you care for Saddam Hussein to be the only world leader with a functioning nuclear weapon?

    Nuclear weapons are certainly deadly, but a functioning weapon would not have to be world-destroying to be a sufficient threat. The bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki only affected Japan. A determined dictator would only have to have the power to destroy a couple of cities to wield power out of all proportion to the size of his country.

    I absolutely agree about the useless missile defence programme, but I'm not convinced that unilateral disarmament on the part of the current nuclear powers is wise, though a 'no first strike' policy should be a given.


    rshowalter - 12:38am Jan 6, 2001 BST (#113 of 138)  | 

    There have to be EFFECTIVE ways to outlaw nuclear weapons, for complete disarmament to work. I think there are.

    A central issue is establishing a more sensible sense of what nuclear weapons are "good for". They work as extermination weapons, and they are good for nothing else. It would do Saddam, or any other dictator, no good at all to use "a few" nuclear weapons. If a nuclear attack is not successful at exterminating and enemy, and that enemies effective allies, it does the agressor no good, unless the agressor already has the victim at SUCH a disadvantage the the nuclear explosions are entirely irrelevant.

    That's a fact, and if that fact were widely understood, the world would be far safer.

    But there's a way to go before FULL disarmament. If the superpowers had only "a few hundred" nukes, instead of the thousands, then control would be far better - and the world would survive.

    That's worthwhile.


    Possumdag - 12:42am Jan 8, 2001 BST (#114 of 138)

    Balkan Syndrome: the uranium scattered around from the war: is causing problems affecting the EC civillian population - Lukemia. For 'peacekeepers' are often civillians who went to work in a war zone to aid peace.

    The use of uranium on bullets has effected 'Shooting Ranges' in the Uk.

    "There are no ill effects" is the official line!

    Common Sense - says there are effects. Yet logic seems to be lost when war-thinking-caps are worn.

    The moral is ... don't get into a war situation the first place.


    rshowalter - 12:51am Jan 8, 2001 BST (#115 of 138)  | 

    Another moral is CHECK what military people say.

    Deception is essential for any reasonably effective attack -- that is an unchangeable fact of war.

    It means that disciplined patterns of deception are inextricably linked to military organizations and cultures.

    Soldiers lie. To be effective soldiers, they have to.

    When things are inconvenient, or when careful accounting is in some sense embarrassing, military people, in both war and peace, decieve.

    I don't think anyone can hold it against them, or call it "dishonorable" - but when a soldier looks you straight in the eye, and tells you something is true, where deception might hold a tactical advantage, it is not reasonable to believe her totally.

    That means that outrageous lies get told, and propagated, and often grow and mestastisize in the retelling. Obvious stupidities such as "there are no ill effects from depleted uranium rounds" get perpetrated.

    When journalists believe what senior military officers tell them, without reservation, as they do with monotonous regularity, shame on them.


    Jenny28 - 08:21am Jan 8, 2001 BST (#116 of 138)

    Until you can outlaw fear, or find a way of making it unnecessary, there will be conflict. 'Perfect love casts out fear' we know - and in the ideal world we'd no doubt all like to see, that's what would happen.

    But until then, we have to recognise that that is the basis from which people and nations operate. Along with greed, it's at the root of all conflict.


    Possumdag - 07:52am Jan 11, 2001 BST (#117 of 138)

    The chickens have come home to roost ... with lukemia and cancer ... and the Europeans don't like it, that is, don't like being lied to by the military .... but they did little about the same problem now a decade old http://www.independent.co.uk/news/World/Middle_East/2001-01/fisk100101.shtml


    rshowalter - 06:46pm Jan 17, 2001 BST (#118 of 138)  | 

    No one needs to doubt the primal, fundamental fact of human fear, and human fear of "outsiders." Nor is that fear irrational. But the better our conceptual abilities, the more we can apply "the golden rule", even to our enemies, the more complex cooperation is possible, and the fewer horrors are inevitable.

    The fewer "enemies" there need to be, and the more limited the conflicts can be.


    Tolstoy - 06:59pm Jan 17, 2001 BST (#119 of 138)

    Rso - Hi there, and a very happy New Year to you (and everyone else)! Anyway, I am not sure why you think that dishonesty on the part of the military is not dishonourable (or, indeed, the mass murder which is their stock in trade).

    It is only through a process of deep, millennia-old indoctrination that the violent agencies of nation-states have somehow managed to persuade people that they are exempt from normal moral codes. They are not (in my opinion, anyway).

    Jenny, like RSHO, very good points well expressed. I can only say that (again, in my opinion) love is ultimately MUCH stronger than fear - and that is why I am a complete optimist! It is only a matter of time before mankind spiritually evolves out of its current, confused, partially pro-violence state. Let's just make it as soon as possible!

    All the best


    rshowalter - 10:48pm Jan 24, 2001 BST (#120 of 138)  | 

    I've been looking at a number of citations involving the Semmelweis case. Amazingly rough story. And yet, the same doctors who were so inhumane in that case, were surely paragons of kindness and consideration in many others. I'll be posting more on this.


    rshowalter - 11:21am Jan 26, 2001 BST (#121 of 138)  | 

    In the Is there such a thing as truth, and if so, how can we find a new Spiritual Path for our era? thread, Boog, in Re #192 quoted a full Newsweek article Searching For the God Within: The way our brains are wired may explain the origin and power of religious beliefs

    By Sharon Begley

    A wonderful article.

    Begley ends with -

    "If brain wiring explains the feelings believers get from prayer and ritual, are spiritual experiences mere creations of our neurons? Neuro-theology at least suggests that spiritual experiences are no more meaningful than, say, the fear the brain is hard-wired to feel in response to a strange noise at night. Believers, of course, have a retort: the brain’s wiring may explain religious feelings—but who do you think was the master electrician?

    © 2001 Newsweek, Inc.

    Well, whether the "master electrician" is God, or a VERY FANCY evolution, far more sophisticated than the current reductinist model, there are emergent properties involved that DO provide MEANING to human beings, and without which, humanity would be impossible. For a God, working with physical materials, how else could you do it? And if there is no God, mankind still exists, and insight into how the brain embodies and generates these collective yet intensely personal feelings might make it more possible for us to cooperate, both because we are the same, and because we are different.

    If the question of religious feelings as natural brain function makes sense, then the question raised by the title of this thread, and discussed here, is an emotionally and practically important one.


    rshowalter - 07:52pm Jan 30, 2001 BST (#122 of 138)  | 

    THE UNIVERSALITY OF INCEST by Lloyd DeMause at http://www.psychohistory.com/

    makes bracing reading, but if it is as credible as it seems to be, ought to give people sentimental about the "inherent goodness or mankind" pause.


    rshowalter - 12:18pm Feb 2, 2001 BST (#123 of 138)  | 

    When I read DeMause, I thought this --- if what he says is true, the catalepsy of some countries and cultures - their inability to show the economic growth one would expect, may be in large part due to having such a huge framework of lies and brutal usages, that there is just not the common ground, and respect for truth, that the complex cooperation of modern economic life takes.


    Jenny28 - 01:34pm Feb 2, 2001 BST (#124 of 138)

    Bracing indeed rshowalter. I had to go away and recover from that one.

    I'm not sentimental about the 'inherent goodness of mankind', but I do think most of its evils spring from ignorance and a lack of love. This is an excellent illustration of both those. Nobody can wave a magic wand and make the whole world better, but if those who have that level of awareness in their own hearts take it upon themselves to decrease ignorance and increase love in what they do and how they interact with the world, things will slowly get better - slowly, as in generation upon generation, being the operative word.


    rshowalter - 06:44pm Feb 2, 2001 BST (#125 of 138)  | 

    Maybe, if people get better at persuasion, and with better ways at getting truth to be morally forcing when it really matters enough, we can get progress faster than that.

    I'm with you at the level of the heart. I've come to feel, however, that practical morality can reasonably repay some careful study, and improvement, at the level of mechanics.


    Jenny28 - 07:01pm Feb 2, 2001 BST (#126 of 138)

    Good point.


    bNice2NoU - 06:22am Feb 4, 2001 BST (#127 of 138)

    right-on!


    rshowalter - 08:16pm Feb 5, 2001 BST (#128 of 138)  | 

    I posted this on There's Poetry -and I'm posting it here. It comes from the "hypothesis ...." thread in Europe, started by Beckvaa . It represents, we believe, a reframing of the notion of scientific theory, that, if it were adopted, might much reduce the probablility and seriousness of paradigm conflict impasses. In it, I refer to "my beloved partner." She, under a number of pseudonyms, has been my main co-author in this thread. We fell in love with each other (platonically so far - we have never so much as touched hands ) in the writing of this thread, and the basic idea in this thread was an idea that came to us, together, working as partners.

    rshowalter - 09:44am Feb 4, 2001 BST (#95 )

    My beloved parter and I dance together in our work as partners.

    Here is something we did as partners. And it shows reasons why I love her as a partner, adore her as a partner, long for her as a partner, and think she's beautiful as a partner.

    WE did this.

    I couldn't have done it without her.

    She couldn't have done it without me.

    I'm proud of it, and think it is is important.


    rshowalter - 08:17pm Feb 5, 2001 BST (#129 of 138)  | 

    rshowalter - 09:44am Feb 4, 2001 BST (#96 )

    I'll call it, for now:

    An operational definition of Good Theory in real sciences for real people. "Partnership output of a beloved lady partner, not yet named, and Robert Showalter.

    In "Beauty" http://www.everreader.com/beauty.htm Mark Anderson quotes Heisenberg's definition of beauty in the exact sciences:

    "Beauty is the proper conformity of the parts to one another and to the whole."

    SUGGESTED DEFINITION: Good theory is an attempt to produce beauty in Heisenberg's sense in a SPECIFIC context of assumption and data.

    Goodness can be judged in terms of that context,

    and also the fit with other contexts
    that, for logical reasons,
    have to fit together.

    The beauty, and ugliness, of a theory can be judged,

    in terms of the context it was built for, and other contexts, including
    the context provided by data not previously considered.

    Words, pictures
    and math have to fit together
    comfortably and workably,

    both

    as far as
    internal consistency goes,

    and in terms of fit
    to what the theory
    is supposed to describe.

    Theories that are useful work comfortably in people's heads.

    Both the "beauty" and "ugliness" of theory are
    INTERESTING.

    Both notions are contextual, and cultural.

    Ugliness is an especially interesting notion.

    To make theory better,
    you have to look for ways
    that the theory is ugly,
    study these, and fix them.

    The ugly parts are where new beauty is to be found.

    ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

    ( Note: my beloved thinks "dissonant" is nicer than "ugly", and she's right, and I think that "ugly" is sharper, and closer to the human interest, and that seems right, too. So we're weighing word choices here. )

    (footnote):

    A lot of people think Bob Showalter is ugly. He's always pointing out weaknesses, uglinesses, of other people's theories.

    But the reason Bob gives (which is maybe, from some perspectives, a rationalization, but may be right in onther ways) is that the ugly parts provide clues to new progress -- hope that new, more powerful kinds of theoretical and practical beauty can be found.

    THIS IS A WORK IN PROGRESS OF OUR PARTNERSHIP. I think it is beautiful.

    And I think by beloved partner is beautiful, something I first felt, thinking of her as a partner.


    rshowalter - 08:19pm Feb 5, 2001 BST (#130 of 138)  | 

    rshowalter - 09:58am Feb 4, 2001 BST (#97)

    Here's a part were I did more work than she, though she was indispensible:

    To make good theory, in complex circumstances, beauty coming into focus must be judged, and shaped, in a priority ordering - and even though the priorities may be shifted for different attempts at beauty, the priorities need to be remembered, and questions of "what is beautiful" and "what ugly" have to be asked in terms of these priorities.

    She has been completely indispensible, and mostly responsible, here, and has been a world intellectual leader, here, for years:

    Intellectual work, and scientific work, is an effort to find previously hidden beauty , and this is what moves people, and warms people. This need for beauty must be remembered, and not stripped away.

  • * * * * * *

    For a long time, I loved her as a partner, and only really thought of her as a partner. When I thought of her, I mostly compared her to Steve Kline, my old partner, and friend, who died three years ago. ( How beautiful she was viewed in that light ! Though Steve was beautiful and special too. )

    And then, with overwhelming force, I found myself in love with her as a woman ... a beautiful woman in all the ways that mattered most to me.

    We feel that, if people paid more attention to aesthetics, and paid especial attention to the notion of ugliness set out here, we might have improved guidance for crafting a world of social relations where "man's inhumanity to man and woman" was less in evidence.


    rshowalter - 11:42pm Feb 7, 2001 BST (#131 of 138)  | 

    In the Europe folder, there is a thread

    "We need an international missile system now - Why "son of Star Wars" is a good idea."

    started by Beckvaa that discusses nuclear dangers, and refers to this thread. Especially insert #9.


    rshowalter - 11:45pm Feb 7, 2001 BST (#132 of 138)  | 

    In the History folder, there's another thread, also started by Beckvaa , If Jesus were alive today . . .

    That refers, extensively, to this thread, and the expanded notions of "the golden rule" that it contains.


    rshowalter - 08:11am Feb 10, 2001 BST (#133 of 138)  | 

    Some of the harshist, but perhaps most hopeful, insights my partner and I have come to are on this thread.

    When we wrote the first and most essential part of it, the notion of "disciplined beauty" that we've come to was not yet focused, though we were moving that way.

    Getting the ideas here more clearly expressed, more widely understood, might go a long way towards making complex cooperation more likely, and cruelty and ugliness less likely, for real people in the real world.

    But I think the expression here, though improvable is pretty clear.

    Comments on how the ideas might be clarified, or better connected to existing notions, would be welcome.


    xpat - 08:22am Feb 10, 2001 BST (#134 of 138)

    The same 'ugly' mistakes are repeated generation after generation, handed down so to speak, the victim becomes the perpertrator.

    BREAKING THE CYCLE

    Which are the successful frameworks that do break cycles ... which don't.


    rshowalter - 06:37pm Feb 12, 2001 BST (#135 of 138)  | 

    In the last few days, the Missile Defense thread of New York Times on the Web Forums ,,, Science has had interesting, hopeful discussions. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/727

    I believe these discussions have been noticed by government officials.

    This thread has been referenced.


    SeekerOfTruth - 11:27pm Feb 13, 2001 BST (#136 of 138)

    China has about a thousand bactrian camels that live on the Mongolia-china borders where nuclear testing events happened. Were there to be an escalation of nuclear arms these unique animals would be under severe threat in relation to the furhter pollution of their habitat.

    ""The wild camels in the Gashun Gobi are members of the first stock of camels that were domesticated 4,000 years ago, and have been proven to be genetically distinct from the common domestic Bactrian camel. "" http://english.zhaodaola.com/travel/cruise/wan200616.html

    ON inhumanity to man, the situation in China is of interest to me. There is the bid for 'The Games 2008' and additionally the safety of people in China - working and visiting later.

    China is keen get the games, and sign any necessary international treaties regarding humanity. The reality is though that it sanctions torture of individuals via allowing police to detain and torture people ... in order to extract false confessions and dollars!! If China is incapable of setting 'quality standards' from the top regarding behaviour of the inhumaine variety ... then travellers into China have reason to fear .. especially with regard to 'The Games'.


    rshowalter - 01:00am Feb 14, 2001 BST (#137 of 138)  | 

    Seeker, you're right. Rule of law is very important.

    Beckvaa set up a thread, titled Men are naturally good in The Haven.

    I've referred to this thread there, and rephrased some of my arguments.

    I think this thread may have some of the most interesting ideas that have come from my partnership with Dawn Riley -- who knows a lot about sociobiology, evolutionary psychology, and such things.

    Were certain kinds of ugly behavior towards outsiders adaptive for our ancestors? Are these patterns built into human instincts that can cause trouble now?

    We argue yes. And also argue that, once this is known, social conventions, and applications of the Golden Rule that deal with complexity, and show a search for disciplined beauty, may make it possible to avoid, and reduce, some ugly, dangerous, expensive patterns that cause difficulties now.

    Perhaps the most interesting single thing that comes from this argument is that it implies that ..

    Lying to outsiders is natural.

    Deception of outsiders is natural.

    That might explain a lot, pretty compactly.


    rshowalter - 01:04am Feb 14, 2001 BST (#138 of 138)  | 

    If lies are to be expected between adversaries, if we were to become less puritanical about the notion that "everybody lies" .... then it might be possible to sort out a lot of things in the world that are only partly "honest mistakes" -- things that are, in some significant part, the product of inclinations to decieve that are natural to human beings.


    rshowalter - 01:04am Feb 14, 2001 GMT (#138 of 256)  | 

    If lies are to be expected between adversaries, if we were to become less puritanical about the notion that "everybody lies" .... then it might be possible to sort out a lot of things in the world that are only partly "honest mistakes" -- things that are, in some significant part, the product of inclinations to decieve that are natural to human beings.


    rshowalter - 01:10pm Feb 14, 2001 GMT (#139 of 256)  | 

    A point essential to complex applications of the Golden Rule .

    Honesty is better than deception, and honesty, with careful thought and a few conventions, can be safer than people think. In nuclear arms negotiations, we need more honesty, more openness, and fewer lies.

    Generally: To live to together, in peace and prosperity, and comfort, we need more honesty, more openness, and fewer lies. We can all stay well defended, and even become better defended, if we are more open, in ways consistent with disciplined beauty as we see it, and as we expect others to see it. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f1983fb/407

    I referred to these things, in a place where I believe some people concerned with nuclear arms may be looking. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/750


    wildorchid - 11:48am Feb 16, 2001 GMT (#140 of 256)

    Black and white is really not a issue for me with you. It is a big issue in the world, because of the way things are. Or if other people other want to see it that way.


    rshowalter - 03:38pm Feb 16, 2001 GMT (#141 of 256)  | 

    Sometimes, at the change of an assumption (or the turning off or on of a deception) black turns to white - beautiful to ugly - moral to immoral - right to wrong. I think it helps to be able to see that switching, to savor it, and to question one's judgements of "black" or "white" on the basis of the aesthetics of outcomes.

    If results (or matches to reality) are ugly - something's wrong. When we see ugly results in human interactions, we should look for wrong switching.

    Lies are much more common than people are often willing to think. Including our own.

    Helps to be able to see the yin and yang of things, both at once, as a matter of discipline, and the choose "the good" with a sense of what one means when one does the valuing, and the choosing.


    captainz - 03:44pm Feb 16, 2001 GMT (#142 of 256)

    The Golden Rule is a last resort. Sensitivity is more useful generally. I am not offended by the use of the left hand, but others are.


    rshowalter - 04:05pm Feb 16, 2001 GMT (#143 of 256)  | 

    Given sensitivity, one knows how to apply the golden rule. Without it, one cannot.

    As far as deception is concerned, --- it is a standard part of the grammar of conversation -- want to terminate a string of logic, an area of dialog? As a matter of grammar, say something evasive, something off point, something counterfactual. People do it, they do it all the time, and it is often very graceful. The "social lie" can, and usually does, mean no more than "Let's not talk about that."

    There is a problem, though, when the deception is passed off, not as logical termination (something we'd be paralyzed without) but as TRUTH. -- then we may be leading people, quite intentionally, to conclusions that will HURT them.


    rshowalter - 04:08pm Feb 16, 2001 GMT (#144 of 256)  | 

    If I were to pick a wrenching, damaging fiction - the one I'd pick would be the notion that

    "I never lie .... "

    and its close relative

    "Liars are subhuman -- liars are the other."

    The idea seems pathetic, amazingly counterfactual - yet people feel that, to call someone a "liar" is to dismiss him completely.

    We are all liars - very frequently and unavoidably in the grammatical sense, and sometimes in the agressive, harmful sense, as well.


    rshowalter - 02:09pm Feb 17, 2001 GMT (#145 of 256)  | 

    Notes on deception, and primate characteristics that make "mankind's inhumanity to man and woman" possible -- and understandable -- and might make ways of reducing that inhumanity more clear. We need social interactions that permit complex cooperation -- not mutual destruction.

    New York Times on the Web Forums Science ...... Missile Defense http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f0ce57b

    "Stanley Milgrams experiment ought to be required reading for all trying to form judgements about the probable "rationality" of our current nuclear arrangements. ........ Here are other references relevant to how willing we ought to be to say

    ...."the authorities say trust us so we should surely trust them. "

    The (11) references below (more, available through a hotkey) were gathered by Dawn Riley and posted on this (NYT MD) thread #317-322


    bNice2NoU - 12:35pm Feb 20, 2001 GMT (#146 of 256)

    Black and White; true or false; are dyadactic viewpoints. Sometimes arriving at truth is via an incremental process.


    bNice2NoU - 12:51pm Feb 20, 2001 GMT (#147 of 256)

    Looking at inhumanity there is often a 'commercial_gain' aspect. To designate minorities as 'other' offers the thought or actuality of gain to the 'in crowd'.


    rshowalter - 02:58pm Feb 20, 2001 GMT (#148 of 256)  | 

    But the gains from complex cooperation can be greater, if people can actually find the sophistication and decency that make the cooperation possible.


    bNice2NoU - 02:57am Feb 21, 2001 GMT (#149 of 256)

    Falun Gong

    I'm surprised the Chinese Government haven't thought to set up a similar mass movement to the Cult Falun Gong ... giving outlet for spiritual needs and exercise to maintain the temple of the spirit. This would be strategically-logical and collect revenue.

    The cult Falun Gong undoubtedly makes the organiser extremely rich ... and cult leaders with excessive bank accounts can and do propergate evil (if they so desire).

    The methods employed by China to dissuade are examples of inhumanity to man ... excesses of torture and designation to psychiatric hospital-prisons.

    Perhaps there's an official move to clean China up ... in an effort to make a clean bid for the Games in 2008.


    rshowalter - 04:22pm Feb 22, 2001 GMT (#150 of 256)  | 

    This kind of inhumanity has been all-too common hisorically:

    U.N. War Crimes Court Convicts Bosnian Serbs in Rape Case By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Filed at 9:38 a.m. ET .....February 22, 2001 http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/world/AP-War-Crimes-Rape-Camps.html

    "THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP) -- A U.N. war crimes tribunal Thursday convicted three Bosnian Serbs standing trial on charges of rape and torture, the first case of wartime sexual enslavement to come before an international court.

    "The tribunal convicted Dragoljub Kunarac and Radomir Kovac of sexually assaulting and torturing Muslim women at rape camps during the Bosnian war. Kunaric was sentenced to 28 years imprisonment, and Kovac got 20 years.

    "The court said Kunarac was involved in a ``nightmarish scheme of sexual exploitation'' that was ``especially repugnant.''

    ".....``You abused and ravaged Muslim women because of their ethnicity, and from among their number you picked whomsoever you fancied,'' said the presiding judge, reading the first verdict.

    "The third defendant, Zoran Vukovic, was convicted of raping and torturing a 15-year-old girl -- who was about the same age as his own daughter -- but acquitted him of most other charges for lack of evidence. He was sentenced to 12 years imprisonment.

    "Presiding judge Florence Mumba went through the testimony of woman after woman who had given horrendous accounts of rape and torture in the Bosnian town of Foca, a city southeast of Sarajevo, after it was overrun in April 1992, when Muslims were herded into separate prison camps for men and women.

    "The women, both in their testimony and in the verdict, were identified by numbers rather than names to avoid further shame.

    "The defendants stood in silence, wearing headphones as the judgment was read in somber tones.

    "Dirk Ryneveld, the lead prosecutor in the case, welcomed the verdicts and commended ``the bravery of the victims who came forward to tell their stories.'' Peggy Kuo, another prosecutor, said ``the length of the sentences shows that the court takes these kinds of crimes seriously.''

    "Mumba said the defendants carried out their rape in full knowledge of the systematic attack against the Muslim population ordered by the Bosnian Serb leadership.

    "They were not ``political or military masterminds behind the conflicts and atrocities,'' she said. ``However, they thrived in the dark atmosphere of the dehumanization of those believed to be enemies.''

    I "The verdict in the Foca case follows months of testimony from dozens of witnesses, including 16 former rape victims who came to The Hague to confront their alleged former tormentors. The trial began March 20.

    "The women told how Bosnian Serb paramilitary soldiers entered detention centers and selected women and girls as young as 12 for nightly gang-rapes and sexual torture.

    "They were charged with about 50 counts of war crimes and crimes against humanity, including rape, torture, enslavement and outrages upon personal dignity. The crimes carried maximum life sentences.

    "The tribunal was established by the U.N. Security Council in 1993 to go after the alleged architects of the Bosnian war's bloody ``ethnic cleansing'' campaigns, including the former Bosnian Serb president, Radovan Karadzic, and his military chief, Ratko Mladic, who remain at large.

    "However, prosecutors indicted the three irregular soldiers to spotlight the widespread use of rape as a weapon throughout the 1992-1995 war.

    "Human rights groups have estimated that tens of thousands of people, mainly Muslim woman and girls, were raped in the war. The sexual assaults were designed to intimidate Muslim families into flight and force women to bear Serb babies.

    "In their testimony, some witnesses sobbed and others shrieked with rage as they recalled being assaulted by up to 10 soldiers at a time in classrooms of the high school where they were detained, or in soldiers' private apartments -- so-called ``rape camps.''

    "The women attested to the long-lasting gynecological damage and other injuries that resulted, in many cases, in permanent infertility.

    . . . . " ``I remember he was very forceful. He wanted to hurt me,'' one witness said, referring to Kunarac. ``But he could never hurt me as much as my soul was hurting me.''

    ".....``I think that for the whole of my life, all my life, I will feel the pain that I felt then,'' said another woman, who was 15 at the time.

    "Last July, Bosnian Serb lawyers opened their defense, seeking unsuccessfully to get the torture counts thrown out. They did not deny the occurrence of widespread rapes in Foca, but maintained the women who testified had been willing partners.

    "The case has been followed closely by women's rights groups, who contrast the tribunal's progressiveness on sex crimes to other omissions, in particular Japan's reluctance to fully recognize the suffering of the ``comfort women'' who were forced to serve as prostitutes for Japanese soldiers in World War II.

    Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company

    _____

    Perhaps, slowly, the world is getting more decent. This behavior should be punished, and acknowledged, more often --- so that ways can be found to make it MUCH less likely.

    The hardest thing, to many, is to acknowledge that these rapists were "normal human beings."

    But they were.


    rshowalter - 08:38pm Feb 26, 2001 GMT (#151 of 256)  | 

    Initiation of nuclear war must be, realistically considered, the ultimate war crime - the ultimate example of man's irrationality, and inhumanity to man. And man's recklessness.

    I have the priviledge of posting a sermon, When the Foundations are Shaking by Dr. James Slatton of the River Road Church (Baptist) in Richmond, Va. - a church I grew up in, a church where my parents have both been deacons, and active in other ways. This church is much like the one Jimmy Carter goes to, theologically, though it is much richer, and more republican, and perhaps basically more conservative. River Road Church has resigned from the Southern Baptist Convention, for various reasons, but is well within the conservative Protestant tradition. I have deep intellectual, moral, and personal respect for the people at River Road Church.

    I believe that most people of good will, including exalted ones, could benefit from the 21 minutes this sermon takes.

    WHEN THE FOUNDATIONS ARE SHAKING ..... by James Slatton . . . . available in RealMedia, Quicktime, and Windows Media7 formats http://www.wisc.edu/rshowalt/sermon.html

    I think any military leader, or political leader, who ever attends any kind of religious service, anywhere in the world, could relate to this work.

    I think any member of the clergy, of any faith or creed, anywhere in the world, could relate to this work. I wish religious people in a position of leadership WOULD listen to it.

    People of a more secular view might want to skip ahead to 9:27 in the sermon . Thereafter, it is a tribute to a Russian colonel, who kept nuclear war from destroying us all, during the Reagan administration. And a teaching of lessons that most people know, and live well by, that are important to the preservation of our world. I believe that people of enough good will to be human would be interested, and moved, by this part of the sermon, no matter how secular their views.


    bNice2NoU - 01:49pm Mar 3, 2001 GMT (#152 of 256)

    The world think the Taliban destruction of Afghan people and cultural history is an example of inhumanity to man.

    The issue re Isalm : mohamed couldn't write .. so the books were put together after him, and don't contain, necessarily issues being touted by Talibanimals.


    rshowalter - 04:06pm Mar 3, 2001 GMT (#153 of 256)  | 

    Taking from any book, and then applying to a real situation, requires judgements of context that don't come from the book.

    The Taliban are fine examples of human beings, finding excuses for hateful behavior in books that deserve a more respectful, decent reading.

    Or a willingness to SEE when things don't fit.


    rshowalter - 05:54pm Mar 7, 2001 GMT (#154 of 256)  | 

    The story of Henry Kissinger, great shaper of american foreign policy, setter of style, hypocrite, and war criminal, has been developing for a long time, with some major contributions from the Guardian-Observer.

    Here is a man who has lived in a COMPLICATED world - and often tried to do well. Looking at the stories I see - it isn't easy to even look.

    But here is man who had much good, and much bad, in his character. Or so we must assume - the notion of Kissinger as monster doesn't fit all we know.

    He seems to have acted naturally, by the standards of this thread, for good and ill. And so, too, did many around him.


    rshowalter - 12:08pm Mar 13, 2001 GMT (#155 of 256)  | 

    Looking at the world, there are so many cases of "unthinkable" and "unexplainable" evil and negligence, that the mind and heart recoils. People recall such behavior among the Nazis, and recoil, as well they might. How could "civilized, aesthetically sensitive, cultured people" ALSO act so monstrously, and with such clear and sophisticated murderous intent.

    I think it is probable that, in the United States, many respected men have been willing to risk the destruction of the world, and have acted in ways that have killed many innocents. They have done so in order to make money illicitly, and to cover that up.

    I haven't proved it -- but it seems consistent with the facts, and with the facts of human behavior discussed in this thread.


    rshowalter - 12:09pm Mar 13, 2001 GMT (#156 of 256)  | 

    http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1005 ends: "A strong circumstantial case for massive fraud and deception, involving massive violation of trust and law, is constructable now."

    "It is possible to show, now, beyond reasonable question, that the means for this have been in place, and that, unless you happen to defer to the ethical purity of the people involved, massive fraud, including very large conflicts of personal interest close to the current administration, are consistent with the facts."

    Concerns about Missile Defense, and nuclear disarmament, are crucial here. With Dawn Riley, I've done very extensive work on this, in many TALK threads, and in a NYT Science forum thread - Missile Defense . . . . . . . . set out in #153-162, Psychwar, Casablanca, and terror , with many hotkeys to that NYT thread.

    A basic point is that classified military expenditures are NOT REALLY SUBJECT TO CLEAR ACCOUNTING --- and so are subject to the possibility of MASSIVE fraud. ---- enough, over 50 years, to subvert the whole economy.

    . http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1011 " Now, we all know the standard usages of "front operations. . . . If one assumes those usages, what might be done with an enterprise such as the Carlyle Group , or a number of similar investment businesses?

    "one could do a great deal. . . How much would a substantial change in military policy change the current market value of Carlyles equity (currently about 3.5 billion.) ? . . . . Relatively minor changes might cut that equity by 2/3 or more. . . .. James Baker's share of that equity may be of the order of 180 million dollars. The share of the current presidents father is likely to be substantial, as well.

    "These influential people have very direct, and very specific monetary interests in military policy. They may have other interests and liabilities at stake, as well. . . . . Their interests are broad, and many --

    H"ow fast, within such a structure, would it be possible to convey information untraceably, or move money nobody knew they had?

    "How fast could you motivate a change in oil supply or price? How untraceably? How easily?

    "How fast could you buy a baseball team? How untraceably? How easily?

    Fast..... Untraceably. .......Easily.

    This isn't proof -- it is leads -- with motive, means, and opportunity. A lot of "coincidences" could be explained.


    rshowalter - 12:10pm Mar 13, 2001 GMT (#157 of 256)  | 

    Especially in the last two days,there are discussions with "almarst2001 --- who I believe to be an influential Russian, possibly Vladimir Putin.

    Highlights: 925: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1010 "China and Russia are afraid that the US is preparing a first strike, or preparing to to invade them -- because they can imagine no other explanation for what is being done.

    "And so they assume the worst.

    "They ought to imagine another explanation. A combination of a snafu, a "good" policy that involved so many lies that no one knew how to turn it off, and a fraud.

    "From the point of view of Russia, China, and many other countries -- how comforting that thought should be !

    "I'll be posting soon with more details -- enough to assist in the imagination -- an attempt at disciplined beauty to replace "explanations" that are so ugly and disproportionate that they don't seem to make sense to anyone.

    _*_*_**_*_

    953: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1038

    956: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1041 "It seems that nobody has anwers to our most basic questions about nuclear weapons, then the world needs them. . . . Answers can be gotten by press people -- more might be accomplished Goals:

    "Establishing FACTS beyond reasonable doubt - and explaining these facts very broadly.

    and

    "Crafting a fully workable, fully complete, fully explained "draft treaty proposal" for nuclear disarmament and a more militarily stable world. Such drafting would, at the least, make for stunningly good journalism -- that could be widely syndicated among papers. Useful as that would be, I think the drafting would serve a much more useful purpose. That purpose would be actually getting the points that need to be worked out for nuclear disarmament set out coherently - - to a level where closure actually occurs. That would involve a great deal of staff work done coherently, quickly, and in coordinated fashion.

    "work . . . . done IN PUBLIC --- say if some Moscow Times staff, and people from a couple of US papers, some Guardian staff, and people from some interested governments, started an OPEN dialog together.

    closing last night: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/1052

    "Historically, presidents left a power vacuum in American nuclear policy, and people like LeMay and his proteges, and people in the CIA, and some contractors, filled it. And now, that conspiracy, long past any legitimate usefulness, and long since financially corrupt, is menacing the peace of the whole world, and imposing huge costs on innocent people.


    adamlb - 01:27pm Mar 13, 2001 GMT (#158 of 256)

    Rsoh

    To get back to your original issue posting, I feel it to be a spiritual truth that those who strive towards their full potential as human beings can develop rich spiritual lives, and their potential as agents of positive change multiplies.

    But...

    They also become more vulnerable to our darkest impulses, spiritual negation, evil, call it what you will.

    In opening their hearts to the light, in creeps a bit more of the shadow.

    As CS Lewis would say, the enemy steps up his attack.

    Hence the disintegration and ruin of brilliant minds, and cultured, civilzed, aesthetic groups becoming barbaric.


    rshowalter - 04:48pm Mar 13, 2001 GMT (#159 of 256)  | 

    Yes, and when it happens, one needs to take care, to reverse the bad decisions, cleanse what one can, and establish conventions (which have to be based on facts not fictions to be safe) that let the good things in humanity function, with reasonable limits on the bad.

    In nuclear policy, it is as if the United States has made a sign change error, and joined "the Dark side." The United States is, in many, many other ways, better than that.

    Still, the mistake, and the fraud, may destroy us all. It could easily do so.


    rshowalter - 04:57pm Mar 15, 2001 GMT (#160 of 256)  | 

    Man's inhumanity, very often, is made possible by denial.

    http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/ Australian Broadcast Corporation The World Today - Thursday 15 March 2001 Pakistan's women forced to sell sex to survive

    [audio] There are many troubling problems facing Pakistan. Many of them to do with the position that women find themselves in. And not all of them so easy to talk about.

    The full transcript includes this:

      The United Nations survey of the country's notorious north-west province paints an horrific picture of widespread child abuse.
    . A third of those who took part in the survey, did not even believe child sexual abuse was a bad thing. Let alone a crime.
      Add to the mix an infamously corrupt and incompetent police force, and there's little cause for optimism.
        Islamabad's Inspector General of Police, Major Zahee Ahmad, says Pakistan must first learn to talk about its problems before it can tackle them.
          "MAJOR ZAHEE AHMAD: There's too much of hypocrisy. The majority of people are hypocrites. They don't have the courage to speak up.
            "JONATHAN HARLEY: Among the vast challenges facing Pakistan, perhaps its inability to speak openly about many of them, is the most troubling of all.
              by ABC's South Asia correspondent, Jonathan Harley.


              rshowalter - 04:51pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#161 of 256)  | 

              From "H-NET List on the History of Science, Medicine, and Technology" <H-SCI-MED-TECH@H-NET.MSU.EDU>

              REPLY: Spurling on Nikolic-Ristanovic, _Women, Violence, and , War_

              Date: Fri, 16 Mar 2001 16:09:13 +0200 From: Stowell Kessler <kessler@rtz.dorea.co.za>

              Dear Colleagues: It is, of course, questionable that such terrible atrocities against women and also men in war can be written about so soon after the events described in an objective way. But even so there is something to be said for doing it. If such quasi-emotional writings do anything they alert the other corners of the world to the ravages of war.

              Because my own work is pressing I only wish to comment on one statement regarding rape in warfare.To say that the same motivations generate rape outside of the conditions of war is blatantly in error. War-vain glorious war gives silent approval to every sin on the face of the earth. It justifies acts against the "enemy" that are precisely anti-thetical to what is accepted inside the society. Homosexual rape in prisons is made more prevalent by placing men in a situation where normal sexually activity is precluded. War also does that. No doubt some men hear war giving them permission for this terrible act of hatred toward women. And I do not doubt that at least some have a propensity to rape outside the war zone. However the conditions of war like the prison create some very different kinds of pressures. I have served in a war and I have also counseled rape victims and abuse victims. In the Korean War I never experienced a situation in which rape was taking place. I think that the nature of the Yugoslavia situation were and are quite different. In my work I bend over backwards not to engage in oversimplification. Writing about the concentration camps in the South African War I often comment to the media and other interested persons that in the case of atrocities it is sufficient to narrate what happened. The reader can see the horrible nature of warfare and the atrocities of war.

              If our purpose is to relate the history and also to interpret it, and interpret we must, we must be restrained and very ethical in our statements. And we must not make statements like this unless they are well documented in a non-selective research model. Otherwise the ho rrors we describe will be lost in a sea of our own lack of credibility. The truth is bad enough and in some respects we must allow the truth hold center stage.

              Stowell Kessler (male)


              ruth1954 - 05:10pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#162 of 256)

              The terrible things we do when we abdicate responsiblity for own actions to others. I dont know if its natural or not ...... I dont want to think it is. If love of self was acceptable in society then we wouldnt do these to ourselves would we? In many cultures (I dont know if it applies to all) to be 'yourself' has been/is unacceptable. I suppose we are all always want to put our interpretations of truth onto everyone else ............

              rhs if you do know something we dont know if there is a conspiracy .... would I be surprised ...no....... would the knowledge of it make me feel impotent ... yes ... what a tangled web we weave..


              rshowalter - 07:14pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#163 of 256)  | 

              We need to untangle many of the webs - and we can.

              But there are patterns, so common that, in a sense, we don't notice them, that make thing very, very hard.

              I can only take action, when there is SOME chance of success. I take risks, and serious ones, but I'm not suicidal.

              You'd think, from where I am, that it would be EASY to move things forward. But in some very imporant ways, I'm facing "Chain Breakers" -- and very big ones. I need help, and in a sense, the help I need looks easy -- but it is harder to get than it looks -- much, much harder to get.

              Do you know how few people, in the last year, have been willing to talk to me face to face? Or to use their real names? I need help. I'm trying to think out how to get it.

              It would seem simple. Once, it hasn't been so long ago, I thought it made sense to talk to a major newspaper. I went to their office -- used a name that should have worked, -- some conversation ensued -- and I was thrown out -- to come back at a later time. When I did so, I was greeted by the Press Secretary of the woman who was then Secretary of State of the United States of America. I had come, in the hope of smoothing out the entry, with some flowers, as a gesture of thanks at a time when I felt a certain insecurity -- this government official, and the news people around him, were so threatened by the unexpected presence of these flowers that I was escorted to the door -- in something that looked for all the world like a mix of panic and aversion -- thrown out -- and nobody let me tell them anything. They didn't want to know. They were afraid to so much as hear the first word. Their reactions were stark with fear. Not so very long ago.

              Such reactions, and themes and variations of them, are a common part of my experience, and they are personally hard to bear, and mean that I live in more danger than one might otherwise expect.

              I neeed help, to be able to do things, like talk to people, that ought to be possible. Somehow, much too often, even by people who seem to care for me, I'm treated like a monster.

              So much, that looks so possible, is barred for that reason. And the reactions that I get make me hesitate to do what might seem like easy things.

              How do I break past the "forum" level of public discourse. It is harder than it looks, because in ways that count, nobody will vouch for me.

              A poem on exactly that point, from my personal experience, is in "There's Always Poetry" in Guardian Talk. That poem, and two others of interest, are linked in the NYT Science News Poetry #265 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f1983fb/412

              the poem is CHAIN BREAKERS.

              For the Secular Redemption that is needed here, I need to get past some chain breakers that might seem, from a distance, unbelievable. These barriers, so far, have also been almost unbelievably severe. I need some help. I'm thinking hard, about how to ask for it, in a way that could actually work, in my world as it is.


              ruth1954 - 07:43pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#164 of 256)

              I havent read your poems rsh. I admit I dont even really understand the problem.

              People wont hear what the dont want to hear. I dont know how desperate this mission of yours is. You cannot take it all on your own shoulders. If your family find it hard to understand I think you're going to find it even harder to get others to take notice.

              I suggest you try meditation and allow the inspiration to come to you. If its meant to be its meant to be. If not stop torturing yourself and your family and let it pass. Things have a way of working out.


              rshowalter - 08:50pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#165 of 256)  | 

              "rhs if you do know something we dont know if there is a conspiracy ...."

              How do I know what you don't know? Anyway, maybe life is looking up.

              One thing is clear. Some problems beyond a certain level of complexity take staff work to solve. That's just how it is.

              That is especially true, for situations where the pattern by which things are hidden is "hiding in plain sight under very complicated circumstances."

              Ask the questions:

                "Who benefits?"
              "How nonrandom do the benefits appear to be?
                "What are the mechanisms, that can be seen and inferred, by which the benefits accrue?
                  and

                    "How can this seem to be proper (or improper.)"
                  I'll be thinking about ways to pursue the matter further -- but most of them have something of "detective work" about them.

                  If people take the position "we don't ever have to listen to conspiracy theories" any coordinated explanation has been classified out of existence.

                  It doesn't seem to me that there is any terrible hurry. Before "things have a way of working out" the people who "work them out" have to assimilate, and integrate what they know, and react.


                  ruth1954 - 09:09pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#166 of 256)

                  exactly I just get so fed up with everything being a conspiracy and nothing being down to plain incompetence.

                  somebody somewhere I am sure is pulling together all the purported conspiracies and putting them into an even more convoluted conspiracy which they will publish as a bestseller at some point....just give it a sexy enough title

                  and I dont see what proper and improper have to do with it. Proper and improper from what or who's perspective??


                  rshowalter - 09:11pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#167 of 256)  | 

                  People who share a paradigm, a way of thinking, can LOOK LIKE an illicit conspiracy (maybe it is helpful to think of people who share a paradigm as being part of a "licit" conspiracy.)

                  So there's always a "null hypothesis" associated with a conspiracy theory.

                  But when the issue is GROSS conflict of interest -- where people know that there are strong money reasons for distorting thought and decision --- the question of conspiracy, though it can be very impotant, isn't essential.

                  It may also be true that redemptive solutions may occur where people are allowed to "cover their tracks" when the evil that the conspiracy did is stopped, especially with adjustments that get the important things done.

                  I'll be thinking about "uncovering conspiracy" -- though, for me, by far the more important thing is getting the nukes under control -- and ideally effectively outlawed, in a workable way.


                  rshowalter - 09:19pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#168 of 256)  | 

                  Ruth, wrote my last without seeing yours. Let me respond.

                    ..." I just get so fed up with everything being a conspiracy and nothing being down to plain incompetence."
                  Me too, and the Russians have a BIG problem with this - sometimes it seems that, to them, everything is a "conspiracy" -- and they mean an illicit conspiracy -- even when they are looking at quite standard complex cooperation in Western societies. But it makes sense to ask, with disciplined beauty, whether the notion of a conspiracy happens to fit a particular circumstance -- so long as it fits, and makes financial sense, it shouldn't be ruled out.

                  You say that you

                    "dont see what proper and improper have to do with it."
                  You ask:

                    Proper and improper from what or who's perspective?
                  In general, those are the right questions, and in specific cases, those questions, quite often, have specific answers.

                  For example, if a significant number of very close associates of the President of the United States have financial stakes, in the tens of millions each, that hinge on the support of specific military expenditures that is, by very broadly shared standards, an improper circumstance.


                  rshowalter - 09:29pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#169 of 256)  | 

                  http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f1983fb/409

                  A lot can be done, pretty safely, in clear in this situation, because so much is "hiding in plain sight" -- and on the public record.

                  But it is also true that very much of it is BUILT so that it does not comfortably fit newspaper usages -- so you have to give the matter some thought.

                  Thing DO have a way of working out.


                  ruth1954 - 09:43pm Mar 17, 2001 GMT (#170 of 256)

                  :) ok rsh

                  Of course I wont disagree that it is improper for the president to be influenced by his friends on matters of state but doesnt the american process have a system for critqueing military expenditure ........

                  The electoral system itself is so expensive only rich people with rich backers can become president anyway. And who are some of the wealthiest people in the world... people connected with the arms industry.

                  The nuclear issue has become so complex now that I wonder if anyone can actually control the outcome. You may know something different but I believe its out of the US control now. The US has had its chances to exert influence on the control of nuclear power and stopped short at every instance because of the influence of money usually for short term gain.

                  No one is given the medium term never mind the long term to sort out problems every thing has to be done now immediately or its not good enough. The people influencing nuclear proliferation at the moment have longer time horizons and know how to wait. Americans need to stop and think but I dont know if they're capable of doing that. The culture is so tied up with material wealth. The links to other longer traditions have been cut. I wonder if societies with longer traditions actually see that. They maybe think a Chinese American is at a heart Chinese or an Anglo American is at heart English but of course they are at heart American and inheritors of a different tradition.

                  :) by the way the more I think about natural good and evil if you accept those concepts the more I think its nothing to do with being natural more to do with failure to understand cultural differences. The Nazi rise made sense in the context of events leading up to it in the early 1900s. It was the failure of other European governments to see that rise in the context of German culture that allowed Hitler to act out his inhuman policies.

                  :)


                  bNice2NoU - 07:08am Mar 23, 2001 GMT (#171 of 256)

                  Yes that's a point .. only the RICH can stand for president ... and to become rich might involve some sort of corruption or compromise back when.


                  rshowalter - 09:05pm Mar 28, 2001 GMT (#172 of 256)  | 

                  We need more openness. Campaign finance reform, which is making headway in the US, would help.


                  ruth1954 - 09:45pm Mar 28, 2001 GMT (#173 of 256)

                  even if there was a more open political system in the states do you think the size of the country and the diversity of populations could produce anymore choice than exists at present? I get the impression that the States is quite happy to allow the rich to inherit the earth because thats why most of their forefathers or even their current fathers and mothers went there. The freedom thing is a useful veneer to cover that basic commonality of purpose.

                  The 'evil' acts that pervade the world in the name of politics or religion are relative to the doers and recipients at the end of the day. We can look on in horror at the tit for tat evils in the Middle East or the absurdities in Afghanistan and use those examples to support a view of natural evil but I look at the vast majority of people in this world and see them trying to live thier lives and keep thier families alive. Most of those people are basically good people but their lives are never reported unless they're blown up by accident or used for propaganda by some regime or other. The majority of these people dont support the loonies in their midst or if they do its part of their culture and so from thier point of view evil is not involved.

                  Whats my point .... same as my last posting I suppose ... until as groups we are prepared to allow another group with different beliefs/cultures to coexist the acts usually carried out in the name of truth will continue... maybe as individuals we can be naturally good but as a group the sum of that good is evil. I know ....I'm probably spouting rubbish here ... just thinking aloud ! And I know I've spelt their incorrectly several times (talk about what really matters !! spelling wheres the thread for demanding spell check on the message board!!)


                  bNice2NoU - 08:07pm Mar 31, 2001 GMT (#174 of 256)

                  S I L E N C E

                  is a weapon of inhumanity ... silence is keeping people 'in the dark' ... having secrets, locking people out, keeping secrets secret.

                  Silence can be a weapon against other 'people' .. who may be taxpayers and voters --- and should have 'rights'


                  bNice2NoU - 09:02am Apr 13, 2001 GMT (#175 of 256)

                  A doco on the German invasion of Paris WWII showed examples of inhumanity to man - torture. People died rather than implicate others.

                  The torture part of the plan to re-locate the resources of France (including labour) towards fueling the German war machine.

                  Memory of better times, own culture, need for future generations to have a better future, revenge for enemy crimes etc would be motivators to overthrow an enemy driven by a 'madman'.


                  rshowalter - 08:31pm Apr 14, 2001 GMT (#176 of 256)  | 

                  Since the time of Confucious, in 550 BC, the idea of "the Golden Rule" has been enunciated --- and it may be as old as mankind itself, in one form or another. And yet, the Golden Rule has often failed. An essential reason, Dawn Riley and I believe, is that inhumanity to "outsiders" is natural, too.

                  And people are more fragile than is sometimes thought. The Nazis did degrade and exploit the Kapos as they did in the death camps. And they were able to do so. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2410

                  . http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.ee9baab/2705


                  rshowalter - 08:32pm Apr 14, 2001 GMT (#177 of 256)  | 

                  There's tangible progress in the mutual practice of "the golden rule" between the US, Russia, and other countries

                  Powell, on Balkans Trip, Warns Against Fresh Violence by Jane Perlez http://www.nytimes.com/2001/04/14/world/14DIPL.html
                    Boeing and Russia to Study Making Planes by Sabrina Tavernise http://www.nytimes.com/2001/04/14/business/14JETS.html
                      The question... "How do you create a system of international ethics that is transcultural? is being discussed, with reference to this thread and other Guardian Talk threads. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2361 and http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2383


                      bNice2NoU - 04:18am Apr 18, 2001 GMT (#178 of 256)

                      will follow up


                      rshowalter - 05:12pm Apr 19, 2001 GMT (#179 of 256)  | 

                      Here is a partial follow up.

                      I've commented on recent news on the Osprey program in the NYT Missile Defense Tread -- and the first of my postings was accepted, http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2576 while the following was not:

                      "I think the case, including Mr Augustine's involvement in it, connect well to concerns about deception, and imbalances of evidence presented and considered, with respect to some government matters, notably Missile Defense.

                      The Osprey issue hinges in large measure on an issue of vortex ring state , as Dao's piece makes clear. With Steve Kline, I've done a great deal of work on the engineering of vortex flow fields, particulary for mixing, and have several patents on the subject, and much successful technical experience.

                      The technical area involved does not lend itself, nor is it likely to lend itself in the near future, to adequate computational study for Osprey's purpose.

                      Nor is it clear now that ANY experimental fluid mechanical investigation can assure that Osprey passangers will be safe for vortex ring state caused fatalities.

                      The reasons were partialy reviewed in a recommendation letter Steve Kline wrote about me http://www.wisc.edu/rshowalt/klinerec and a visual sense of the difficulties in dealing with the matter experimentally can be gotten in reference to Van Dyke's An Album of Fluid Motion , referred to also in that letter.

                      Can the military-industrial complex evade clear answers, and, in practical effect, lie to the American people? I believe that this affair shows, rather clearly, that it can do so, and shows the essential means.

                      Casts of characters are chosen.

                      Someone of "total authority and integrity" lies, or evades in a way that has the effect of a lie, and does so in public.

                      And he is trusted.


                      rshowalter - 05:14pm Apr 19, 2001 GMT (#180 of 256)  | 

                      It seems to me that this case illustrates, rather clearly in some ways, some techniquest that can be used for diversion and deception. Used to defend against inquiry. Used to set the stage for predatory behavior, or the taking of money under false pretenses. Used to cause mechanisms trusted to make sound balanced judgements "judge the worse to be the better cause."


                      catdude - 12:23am Apr 21, 2001 GMT (#181 of 256)

                      rshowalter,

                      I think that most people have some "inherent good" in them. Yet, there are some "natural psychopaths" who are going to do terrible bad without remorse due to a terribly messed-up brain. At the same time, there are people such as the notorious Nazi doctor Josef Mengele who have what I would call "psychopathic leanings" who, given the right (wrong?) environment, are willing to commit atrocious acts. This leads to the Nazi atrocities as a whole. How could something like the Holocaust happen? It is true that in ancient and medieval societies, a lot of killing and torture wasn't exactly unknown. However, the people being oppressed or attacked generally often made good serfs or slaves. And, just as the germ theory of disease was unknown during those times, people didn't know about causes of heredity or worry about it excessively (except in crude agricultural experiments). I feel it really took the modern nation-state, subject to modern economic crises, coupled with pathological views of racial superiority and modern technology, to make something like the Holocaust possible. Modern mass communications (radio and newspapers) and modern education really helped in this regard, too, especially when they were tightly controlled by the state. Put all this in a blender, along with a "starter agent" of a minority of fanatical Nazis in the 1920s, and a populace that was largely willing to "give their program a try" in the 1930s, and you could have a Holocaust. (Anger at defeat in WWI and required reparations from it probably also helped the Nazis gain power.) Indeed, it took something wrong in Germans' thinking in the early 20th century to get the disease to germinate, but to really get it to blossom, the modern nation-state, technology, modern communication and education, and warped racial theories and rabid anger were needed, the latter also serving as a convenient scapegoat for Germany's problems as well. BTW, I'm not a Luddite; modern technology, education, medicine, etc. have brought many people wonderful things that have greatly enhanced the quality of their lives. I'm just trying to explain how these ingredients, when combined with a very sour economy and pathological thinking, could create a Holocaust. A Holocaust is the most horrible thing that an industrial revolution could produce; we found out in the late 1930s and especially in the early 1940s that indeed, it could be produced. And, it took a "modern, cultured" country with the technological know-how to carry it out. (Also, BTW, I don't hate modern Germany if anybody has drawn this conclusion.)


                      rshowalter - 09:04pm Apr 21, 2001 GMT (#182 of 256)  | 

                      Catdude -- the point of this thread, especially the first part of it, is that people are BOTH good (to members of their own group) and EVIL (to outsiders percieved in some way as threatening.)

                      In the Nazi case the homogeneity of the response of a whole nation makes it hard for me to excuse the majority of Germans -- though it was a particularly evil and monstrous groupd of bad actors who converted a whole nation to the predator band that Nazi Germany was.

                      The apparatus of nuclear war is more terrible than anything the Germans contemplated -- and so I can't give a pass to the "benevolent" americans, either.

                      Even Hitler did SOME good things, and was gracious and attractive SOME of the time. So your point that

                        "most people have some "inherent good" in them"
                      may be true, but is a limited comfort.

                      catdude - 04:07am Apr 22, 2001 GMT (#183 of 256)

                      rshowalter,

                      First of all, it takes a sensitive person to start this type of thread. And, it's true that the horrors of something like Nazi Germany and Japanese collaboration were met with the horror of atomic weapons to try to put a quick end to the war.

                      I know you may not agree here, but given the ruthlessness of the Axis, I feel that those bombs were less evil than, say, Nazis at Auschwitz dumping truckloads of children into a fire to quickly exterminate them because the gas chambers and crematoria were becoming overloaded.

                      If there is a God, I think it wants people to be happy, not miserable, despite the existence of misery in the world. I don't think we need to feel "guilty" about trying to find happiness, despite all this misery. However, in a small way, there are things that we can do to try to make the world a better place and ameliorate torture and suffering. For example, through my membership in Amnesty International, I feel I have done a small part in trying to stop torture and executions.

                      Maybe the day will come when we have such a good understanding of the human genome and environmental influence that we can truly "eliminate evil." (How much we should tamper with genes would, of course, open up a can of worms in itself to bioethicists and the public.) However, we can only work with what we have at our disposal at this time, and as I just mentioned, I think that it is morally okay to try to be happy, and that we should try to achieve this.

                      It can be most difficult for a person as sensitive as you are at first, but talking out the dilemma with others (as you are doing on this board) and helping others where you can will hopefully allow you to find peace.


                      rshowalter - 02:19am Apr 23, 2001 GMT (#184 of 256)  | 

                      I'm finding some peace, and some satisfaction -- I've been very concerned about nuclear weapons, all my life, and I've had something of an education in evil.

                      But it seems to me that things are getting more hopeful, that the number of reasons for ugliness and sufferering are basically few, and that things can be a lot more beautiful.

                      I've got some hope about finding peace -- real contentment. Some things, it seems to me, are going hopefully.

                      I believe that, if a relatively few things are understood (including the naturalness of evil - for human "hunting groups" ) we can make the world a happier and more graceful place.

                      And the last year of my life, since Dawn Riley took me in hand, has been, everything considered, the best and happiest of my life. And I've got a lot of hope that things will get better -- I hope for both of us, and ideally, for both of us, together.

                      You're sure right that "the pursuit of happiness" is vital. Thanks.

                      Fact is, I'm getting a big charge out of a lot of things, stress and all, these days.


                      catdude - 03:25am Apr 23, 2001 GMT (#185 of 256)

                      rshowalter,

                      Good to hear that last positive note! And BTW, with my own bouts with anxiety and depression, finding happiness has been difficult. However, I have improved considerably over the last two years.

                      Finding things in life that have meaning to them, which have both a creative ingredient as well as a social ingredient of helping others, has been some of the most powerful medicine available to me.

                      Someone once described the search for human meaning as trying to visualize a four-dimensional cube. We, being merely human, can only see the outlines of such a cube. These outlines were metaphorically referred to as "meaning lines." The best we mere mortals can do is travel along these meaning lines to find meaning, and ultimately happiness, in our lives.

                      And the real kicker is...no one can really do it for us. Not even the world's best therapist, although he/she can serve as mentor and guide. We have to take the journey ourselves and explore into the scary environment along those lines to catch that meaning and happiness.

                      I'll admit that with my anxiety and depression, medicine did help a hell of a lot. I don't feel it changed who I am...it simply transformed me into "the healthy version of myself," which allowed me to find the strength to walk along those meaning lines. If you feel that you are chronically anxious or depressed, you may want to talk about it with a health practitioner, who could probably be of assistance.

                      I wish you the best journey possible in your quest for meaning and happiness. I know that you can reach it and obtain it, although sometimes it can seem like trying to grab hold of a slippery snake. And, as you are doing, always feel free to talk to others when you need to...it's such a powerful healer. Take care and find peace.


                      bNice2NoU - 07:15am Apr 23, 2001 GMT (#186 of 256)

                      Sounds as if some of you guys have been to Talibhan and back .. one hell of a journey!


                      rshowalter - 02:35am Apr 30, 2001 GMT (#187 of 256)  | 

                      In these Guardian Talk threads and in the NYT Missile Defense thread, Dawn Riley and I have worked to focus patterns of human reasoning and persuasion, and problems with human reasoning and persuasion.

                      These citations deal with that: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2758 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2759 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2760

                      We believe that controversies that could not be resolved before may be resolvable now.

                      The techniques we (and so many other people on the net) are using to get things to closure are the same techniques that often work in well conducted jury trials.

                      Perhaps we're too optimistic, but we feel that, in small part because of our efforts, and in large part due to the wonderful resources of the Guardian Observer that we've been grateful to use, the risk of nuclear destruction may be coming down.

                      At least sometimes, we get that happy feeling.

                      American opinion may, alas, probably will, have to lag opinion outside America on issues here. That makes the Guardian Observer, which is respected all over the world, an especially vital force.


                      rshowalter - 02:38am Apr 30, 2001 GMT (#188 of 256)  | 

                      The death of about 20 unarmed women and children in Vietnam more than 30 years ago is a clear example of many of the issues in this thread -- including the anguish of people trying to come to terms with what they have done. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f1e4c5b/74

                        Reader Discussion: 'One Awful Night in Thanh Phong'
                      Dawn Riley and I, and some other people, including a Russian figure who seems to think like a Russian leader, have been discussing issues of nuclear balances, and missile defense, in the NYT - Science - Missile Defense Thread.

                      As readers here know, the thread is extensive, and represents an effort to set down, using techniques the internet makes possible, an open corpus, with many crosslinks, adapted to assist in the focusing of issue toward closure. A summary of the thread, which is too large for easy reading, but not for sampling, is set out in a few pages with many links from #153 on in -- International Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror rshowalter "Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror" Sun 11/03/2001 16:35

                      The Kerrey matter is related to the larger atrocity of nuclear terror through his very good NYT OpED piece ARMED TO EXCESS ... March 2, 2001 http://www.nytimes.com/2001/03/02/opinion/02KERR.html . Nuclear war involves atrocity on an almost unthinkable scale, and the Kerrey story tends to make that more thinkable.

                      http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2833 <br> http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2834 <br> http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2835 <br> http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2836 <br> http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2837 <br> http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2838

                      http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2838 ends > " If more Americans could rise to (Kerrey's) level of moral sensitivity, current grave risks to the survival of the whole world could be ended."


                      rshowalter - 02:02pm May 1, 2001 GMT (#189 of 256)  | 

                      People and things need to be checked, and some things can be. Sometimes some progress gets made. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3077


                      rshowalter - 08:53pm May 12, 2001 GMT (#190 of 256)  | 

                      I'm grateful that this thread is being left up - - it makes an argument that I believe may be essential, if we as human animals are to learn to make peace, so that it works.

                      I'm posting this note in Guardian Threads I'm personally very interested in, as a matter of pride, and to keep them current.

                      The New York Times - Science - MISSILE DEFENSE thread would total about ten 1 1/2' looseleaf notebooks by now. I summarized it, in a way you might find interesting, and could read quickly, in 3532: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3791 , which reads in part:

                        "We've had outstanding contributors -- who have furthered discussion by taking a special "stand-in" role.
                      "We've had "stand-ins" who have imitated, or tried to imitate, the thought processes of important world figures, so that the discourse here could progress, and simulate more important dialogs to be hoped for. We've had extremely well written, thoughtful, and extensive contributions with a "Bill Clinton -stand in" a "Vladimir Putin -- stand in" , and a " Bush Administration Sr Advisor -- stand in" . Sometimes I've been in personal doubt whether these people have been stand-ins, because the work of these people has been so good. If you sample the work of these people, you may agree with how good their work is.
                        Here are links to directories , each with many links and highlights summarized, for these stand-ins --- a massive amount of correspondence in all.
                          I personally believe that correspondence between senior people in communication with their governments is going on in this Missile Defense thread. My opinion is only my own. The postings are, by intention of all concerned, provisional and deniable.

                          Work on the NYT Missile Defense is ongoing, at a fast pace, and I feel things are happening that are sometimes wrenching, as deep disagreements are being made clear, but yet very constructive.

                          I believe that the Guardian-Observer , and The New York Times , using the new possibilities of the internet, are making real world progress possible. Dawn Riley and I are trying to participate in some of that.


                          rshowalter - 01:03am May 13, 2001 GMT (#191 of 256)  | 

                          http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4045 reads:

                          I feel that a great deal of progress has been made since gisterme's debut #2997: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3218

                          ....and my response to gisterme's direct question ... #2999: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3220 .

                          Especially since gisterme's 3319 - http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3563

                          ..to which I responded in .. 3327-3328 : http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/3571 with the citation http://scienceforpeace.sa.utoronto.ca/WorkingGroupsPage/NucWeaponsPage/Documents/ThreatsNucWea.html THREATS TO USE NUCLEAR WEAPONS: The Sixteen Known Nuclear Crises of the Cold War, 1946-1985 by David R. Morgan

                          We've come long way since - common ground is being established, differences are being clarified, thoughts and ideas are coming into focus.

                          Dawn Riley and I believe that, especially with the augmented memory of the internet, controversies that could not be resolved before may be resolvable now.

                          2565: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2758

                          2566: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2759

                          2567: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/2760

                          It seems to me that the NYT Missile Defense thread, and the wonderful threads here, contain steps toward showing that.

                          I've been heartened by how much progress is being made in these thread -- even in the four days, and 235 posting, since #3532 - .

                          A lot has changed about the prospects for world peace and world nuclear safety in the last 100 days, and not all of it is bad, by any means. If we're more scared than before, and more frustrated, that could be all to the good -- some people are paying attention.


                          rshowalter - 02:37pm May 13, 2001 GMT (#192 of 256)  | 

                          Cited this thread, to "Putin stand in" almarst http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4058 , who I believe is well connected to the Russian government.


                          rshowalter - 10:34pm May 14, 2001 GMT (#193 of 256)  | 

                          In NYT Missile Defense #3839 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4115 almarst_2001 , our "Putin-Stand in" asked a key question - and in context, it is an example of good faith, and of difficulties to be faced:

                            Robert,
                          As I mentioned before, the nuclear wearpons and the MAD deterrance may be the only hope of any country not ready to submit to US or being treated like Yugoslavia or Iraq.
                            Do you have any dought the Moscow would be bombed just like Belgrad a long time ago, if not for the MAD?
                              What assurances can anyone have in a current state of the conventional ballance of power and the way, the Washington politics works?
                                *****

                                A great question, that I'm trying to answer, with people listening.


                                rshowalter - 08:36pm May 17, 2001 GMT (#194 of 256)  | 

                                Many citations from Paradigm Shift .... whose getting there? Guardian Talk , Science, are cited, and are playing a crucial part, in dialog on the NYT Missile Defense thread that appears to be involving representatives of governments.

                                MD 4048: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4334

                                MD4050: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b

                                I deeply appreciate Guardian Talk -- and anything Dawn and I are lucky enough to accomplish will be, in large part, due to the the wonderful resources and readers here.


                                jihadij - 03:11pm May 20, 2001 GMT (#195 of 256)

                                Germ warfare is on the Bush agenda http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/20/world/20GERM.html


                                rshowalter - 05:40pm May 23, 2001 GMT (#196 of 256)  | 

                                Last weekend, I went to a small scientific meeting, and discussed both missile defense issues and some personal science. What I displayed is discussed and linked at NYT-Science- Missile Defense MD 4080-4081 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4366

                                I was pleased with the meeting. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4411 Paradigm conflicts are resolving on the scientific side. Some of the social-psychological-institutional conditions for workable discussions on reduction of nuclear risks seem to me to be promising.

                                Partly because they fit the MD discussions, I've reposted parts of an old thread started by Beckvaa -- "If Jesus Was Alive Today" in Detail and the Golden Rule -- Guardian Talk, Issues , and discuss it a little in MD 4159 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4456

                                The start of this tread is an organic part - now at the end, of Detail and The Golden Rule . A poster in the NYT MD thread, who I have reason to think is a thoughtful, well connected Russian, seems to have found the argument good.

                                I'm hopeful. And also very thankful for the Guardian Talk community.


                                rshowalter - 03:42pm May 25, 2001 GMT (#197 of 256)  | 

                                Mankind's inhumanity to Man and Woman -- in spades.

                                If the information here were more widely known, and faced, in the USA and the world, much good would follow, and much deception and misfortune avoided.

                                CIA's Worst-Kept Secret by Martin A. Lee May 16, 2001 http://www.consortiumnews.com/051601a.html


                                rshowalter - 12:25pm May 27, 2001 GMT (#198 of 256)  | 

                                Deception, self deception, group deception, all come easily, and can reinforce and "justify" man's inhumanity to man and woman.

                                Putting Your Faith in Science? by GINA KOLATA http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/27/weekinreview/27KOLA.html is, I believe, a fine contribution to the culture. What it says reinforces, and reinforces strongly, the arguments Dawn Riley and I have been making, about the need for checking , in Paradigm Shift .... whose getting there? Guardian Talk, Science .

                                Kolata's piece, which makes essential arguments beautifully, and takes them into the mainstream culture with a grace I could never muster, and from the commanding position of the NYT Week In Review, ought to make a dent in many minds. It ends:

                                  " Dr. McDonald said he wrote a paper 18 years ago that concluded that the placebo effect did not exist. But, he said, the New England Journal of Medicine rejected the manuscript, saying that everyone knew the effect existed. The paper was eventually published, in Statistics in Medicine. But he met with such disbelief that he gave up even talking about his findings.
                                " It wasn't the right time," he said. "But the good thing about science is that sooner or later the truth comes out."
                                  'Subject to safeguards and checking, sooner is better than later. How many doctors, in this 18 years time, have comforted themselves that they've "done something" when they've prescribed a placebo -- when, without the comfort of a misconception, they might have thought harder?

                                  sn1337: rshowalt 8/22/00 3:29pm http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1587

                                  sn1342: markk46b 8/23/00 2:44am http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1592

                                  sn1343: rshowalt 8/23/00 7:31am http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f05e1ab/1593

                                  MD4210: rshowalter "Missile Defense" 5/25/01 6:04pm http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4510


                                  xpat - 02:00am May 31, 2001 GMT (#199 of 256)

                                  This inhumanity to man thing is happening again in Macedonia ....

                                  ... are packs of men with guns 'just selfish?'


                                  rshowalter - 03:13pm Jun 2, 2001 GMT (#200 of 256)  | 

                                  The politics in the US is shifting so that the basic ideas on this thread are becoming more acceptable. If the ideas about "man and outsiders" become more widely accepted, there will be new, practical opportunities for peace. I've been heartened by political happenings this last week.


                                  rshowalter - 12:39pm Jun 6, 2001 GMT (#201 of 256)  | 

                                  A big story, with wrenching consequences, and all aspects of mankind's humanity and inhumanity -- wisdom and folly -- the ongoing tragedy and struggle with AIDS.

                                  How much better the world would be, how much less agony there would now be, if lies and self deception about AIDS could have been less, and discipline in the common good could have been greater.

                                  See an admirable NYT Special AIDS at 20 -- http://www.nytimes.com/library/national/science/aids/aids-index.html

                                  and especially a stunning graphic THE SIZE OF AIDS ON A (NATIONAL AND GLOBAL) SCALE http://www.nytimes.com/images/2001/06/05/science/sci_AIDS_010605_01.pdf


                                  jihadij - 03:25pm Jun 7, 2001 GMT (#202 of 256)

                                  Important to educate and re-educate .... that's the only protection - truth!


                                  rshowalter - 10:40pm Jun 8, 2001 GMT (#203 of 256)  | 

                                  Thoughts about getting more good done, and less bad, using internet discourse.

                                  MD4532 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4839


                                  bNice - 03:12am Jun 13, 2001 GMT (#204 of 256)

                                  Knowledge used to double every ten years .. with improved communications systems .. enabling discourse .. wonder how many years to double the volume of knowledge now ... at least some can be cyber-stored, accessed and distributed.


                                  bNice - 03:55am Jun 13, 2001 GMT (#205 of 256)

                                  Outlawing use of child soldiers ...

                                  UK USA deploy under 18's

                                  Africa - children made to go back to own villages and kill their families ... so they have no where to run back to; children raped - used as bounty.

                                  Lightweight weapons - enable children to be used!

                                  5 countries have signed international treaty re child soldiers -- including the Congo.


                                  rshowalter - 05:41pm Jun 15, 2001 GMT (#206 of 256)  | 

                                  I'm about to cite #163, this thread, on the NYT Missile Defense board, where, it seems to me, some folks may be paying attention.


                                  rshowalter - 07:18pm Jun 19, 2001 GMT (#207 of 256)  | 

                                  Some folks continue to pay attention.

                                  Since Missile Defense 4433 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/4839 there have been 906 postings.

                                  The NYT forums have now reinstalled a search function, after a long time -- and it seems to be the same one the Guardian uses, with search page lengths the same as in these TALK threads.

                                  The NYT Missile Defense thread is being extensively used, and discussion and controversy are continuing. Main contributers are:

                                  almarst_2001, previously almarstel2001 who, since March 5 has acted as a "Putin stand-in" in the Missile Defense forum, and shows extensive connections to literature, and to Russian government ways of thought.

                                  gisterme , who since May 2nd has acted as a "Senior Bush administration advisor stand in" who shows some plausible connections to the Bush administration.

                                  Posters ( beckq , cookies ) who, according to the dialog, are the same poster, who I'd interpret as "stand-ins" for former President Clinton since August 2000

                                  Me, and Dawn Riley, who have been arguing for improved communication, and as much nuclear disarmament as possible within the imperatives of military balances, since September 25, 2000

                                  Counting search pages, for characters, gives some sense of the participation. Here are the number of search pages for these posters:

                                  Putin stand-in, Almarst --- 55 search pages.

                                  Bush Advisor stand-in, gisterme ----- 35 search pages

                                  Clinton stand-in, beckq, or cookies2 ----- 7 search pages

                                  Dawn Riley - - - - 85 search pages

                                  Robert Showalter - - - - 166 search pages.

                                  I've contributed the most words to the MD thread, and Dawn the most citations and the most connection to the news.

                                  But the involvement of the "stand-ins" has been very extensive, too, represents an enormous work committment on thier part, and their postings are, I think, very impressive. The involvement of these "stand-ins" continues. I believe that their work has assisted in the focusing of problems where neither the US nor the Russians were clear about how to make contact with each other before.

                                  The thread is an ongoing attempt to show that internet usages can be a format for negotiation and communication, between staffed organizations, capable of handling more complexity, with more clarity and more complete memory, than could happen otherwise.

                                  I believe that is something relatively new, in need of development, and clearly needed.

                                  I feel that progress is being made, and that impasses that were intractable before may be more tractable now.

                                  These Guardian threads are more flexible than the NYT threads, and stylistically freer. Many of the ideas at play in the MD thread originated and were focused here, and these TALK threads are extensively cited in the Missile Defense thread. For discussing an idea, over under around and through, these TALK threads are the most impressive place for discourse that I have ever seen, and I appreciate them very much.


                                  rshowalter - 01:20pm Jun 24, 2001 GMT (#208 of 256)  | 

                                  Work on the New York Times ... Science ... Missile Defense thread continues.

                                  MD5913 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6329 includes this:

                                    " If one looks at the history of the Cold War, I believe that this issue of auditing becomes a central one -- some VERY agressive patterns, VERY different from the patterns of personal kindness and tolerance widely distributed among Americans, have been VERY well funded, and well protected, and surprisingly unquestioned, since the 1950's.
                                  " This is an issue where, for anything like workable understanding, research would have to be staffed , and consistency relations organized -- with the fundamental logical operator for research guidance the one that dominates human thought --
                                    . . .
                                      " I believe political parties, legislative groups, journalistic organizations, and nation states, in their own stark objective interest, and for moral and aesthetic reasons, too, should staff this, and see to it that the values that the people the United States and the other countries in the world share are not systematically violated, in ways that are degrading, and could destroy the world.
                                        " Is there a "vast right wing conspiracy" controlled, inspired, and funded, in decisive ways, by illicit money flows from the military establishment, and particularly the small part of that establishment that has controlled US nuclear policy since shortly after the end of the Eisenhower administration?
                                          " Looks that way to me -- though that is only my opinion, and it needs to be checked.
                                            MD5915 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6331

                                            MD5916 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6332

                                            MD5917 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6333

                                            If one wants to see the enormous usefulness of the Guardian TALK section for the NYT Missile Defense thread, go to the thread, and search "guardian" -- there are 14 search page (the same size as TALK search pages) of citations - and I'm personally grateful to be able to make those citations.


                                            rshowalter - 07:02pm Jul 1, 2001 GMT (#209 of 256)  | 

                                            There have been 461 postings since MD5917 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6333 , some that seem important to me.

                                            MD6370 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6843

                                            MD6371 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?7@@.f0ce57b/6853

                                            tell a story, from my own perspective, about the Cold War, and plans to end it with which I became involved.

                                            The connections to mankind's inhumanity to man seem direct to me.


                                            rshowalter - 04:35pm Jul 8, 2001 GMT (#210 of 256)  | 

                                            I was glad, on July 4th, our Independence Day , to have a chance to post some of the things I feel are important for the welfare of the US, UK, and the world, in these postings, many of which include other links:

                                            MD6549 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7056

                                            MD5450 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7057

                                            MD6551 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7058

                                            MD6552 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7059

                                            MD6553 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7060

                                            MD6554 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7061

                                            MD6555 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7062

                                            MD6556 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7063

                                            Some who've followed my work may find the background interesting.

                                            I'm posting them here, because I hope some may find them interesting, and because I feel that the more people read them, and the more widely this information is spread, the safer the world may be, and the safer I may be personally.

                                            Progress is continuing on the NYT Missile Defense board, and I've got hopes that, with the help of Dawn Riley, and some others, we may make a positive difference for peace.

                                            We need to reduce mankind's inhumanity to man.


                                            hayate0 - 06:31am Jul 16, 2001 GMT (#211 of 256)

                                            Rshowalter

                                            Don't see you over here on the Talk much, too bad, miss your insights.


                                            rshowalter - 07:58pm Jul 18, 2001 GMT (#212 of 256)  | 

                                            Thanks, hayate0.

                                            Since July 4th, The New York Times -- Science -- Missile Defense forum has had 611 postings - many extensive. These include useful comments from almarst , our "Putin stand in", and gisterme , our "Bush administration high official stand-in."

                                            Has the thread been influential? Worth the trouble? As successful as I'd hoped?

                                            Perhaps yes, on all these points, though the work seems inconclusive in some ways. In the end, I'm hoping to set out many arguments, like a case to a jury, subject to crossexamination, and then "pick a fight" - in some way that can work in public -- to establish truths that remain, so far "somehow too weak." The case is far along. On the MD thread, and many other places. Getting to a place where a fight in public is possible is not far along -- though progress toward that goal may not be so far away.

                                            MD7097 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7767 .. includes high praise for the Guardian-Observer , and especially its interactive specials, including

                                            MD7098 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7768 .. contains a critique and a challenge. I point out the power that one person, willing to be at risk, can sometimes have, by means of a famous picture of defiance more eloquent than any words I could muster. http://www.christusrex.org/www1/sdc/tank-1.jpg

                                            MD7100 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7770 sets out directories, and the key story set out in I'd like to post links to a Guardian thread where I've said many of the most important things I'd like people to know. Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror ... rshowalter "Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror" Tue 24/10/2000 21:57

                                            including the key story, #13.. http://talk.guardian.co.uk/WebX?7@@.ee7a163/13 ... to #23.. http://talk.guardian.co.uk/WebX?7@@.ee7a163/24 ands note #26 ... <a href="/WebX?14@@.ee7a163/25">rshowalter "Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror" Tue 24/10/2000 23:13</a>

                                            Summaries and links to the Missile Defense thread are set out from #153 in rshowalter "Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror" Sun 11/03/2001 16:35

                                            MD7144-48 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7827 contain working summaries, and a working objective of the MD thread:

                                              To clean up the messes left by the Cold War, and make better security possible, communication has to happen between the staffs of nation states. The Missile Defense thread is built as an example of what would be required to meet the needs of this staffed communication.
                                            Does the format work? Is the thread worth the effort? In some ways, I think the answer is yes.

                                            Truths, that seem perfectly clear, are not being sufficiently influential -- they remain "somehow, too weak." ...MD6670 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f0ce57b/7209

                                            Bertotdt Brecht's essay, WRITING THE TRUTH, FIVE DIFFICULTIES is in my version of his play, GALILEO , set into English by Charles Laughton, and includes this:

                                              " It takes courage to say that the good were defeated not because they were good, but because they were weak."
                                            When the truth is too weak, we have to ask: why? Was it indeed the truth? Or were there systematic barriers to the propagation of the truth -- chain breakers?

                                            Fear is a problem, and a deeply embedded one, all through the system, for journalists, for members of the government, and for people who depend on the government (that is, all of us.) And reluctance to face new ideas is, as well.

                                            I think some may enjoy "Chain Breakers" rshowalter "There's Always Poetry" Fri 08/12/2000 20:05 in this regard. Some might enjoy it more in terms of the information linked to MD6613 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7137

                                            MD6671 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7210 .... contains this phrase:

                                              " Hitler went unchecked. "
                                            Hitler subverted an entire society based on nonsense and lies, many ornately detailed, and destroyed much of the world in doing so. He hoped, in the senses that matter to most of us, to destroy the whole world. In the ways that mattered, he wasn't effectively checked at the level of ideas.

                                            Could the situation be as serious as that now? I think so -- I've long believed that the world could easily end, on the basis of things I believe I understand from a more grounded perspective than many have, that the world could end. I'm not alone in that fear:

                                            In MD6024 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6448 I asked gisterme, who I believe represents high officers of state, the following question "What have I said that is not in the national interest?" The issue was whether I had committed, or was proposing to commit, treason.

                                            gisterme replied to the question directly in these posting, and doing so conceded that issues of technical feasibility and probablility of projects, based on the open literature, can be discussed in the United States.

                                            MD6028 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6452 MD6033 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6457 MD6060 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f0ce57b/6494

                                            That concession is important, in part because of the mechanics of discourse in these affairs. The shroud of classification, even when only used as a threat, can slow discourse down to a crawl. For example, the Coyle Report, . . . NATIONAL MISSILE DEFENSE DEPLOYMENT READINESS REVIEW 10 August 2000 . . . . http://www.house.gov/reform/min/pdf/nmdcoylerep.pdf , though not formally classified, has been restricted informally. It took months for Congressman Tierney to get it released -- something plainly in the public interest. Working outside of classification rules could be much faster -- and could happen in public -- ideally, recorded in streaming video on the net, with key calculations also on the net, and the whole world invited to see and check those calculations.

                                            If this were done, and somehow made public -- some key points, now supressed, might stand out - - and some good decisions might come. I've been trying to find ways to force that checking -- with someone from the administration - with a real name, a real face, and real engineering creditials at risk - on the other side. People often will not attend to fancy arguments -- especially these, where it is so often numbers that are far fetched -- not qualitative ideas alone.

                                            Perhaps, if it could be arranged, more might attend to a umpired fight. I might lose such an umpired, public fight, but I'm prepared to risk that.

                                            The NYT Missile Defense thread is ungainly, in the same kind of way that human memory is ungainly, in the same way that trial transcripts are ungainly. In part because there is so much in it. But with the net, the details in it can be brought up -- it is a sort of "associative memory." Things come into focus -- and extensive focused evidence, subject to supplementation and critique, is there to be brought to bear. Perhaps the format can be useful.

                                            My background is unusual. It is a source of both insight and difficulties for myself and people who have to deal with me.

                                            My technical background and orientation: MD6397-99 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/6884
                                              I'm trying, with enormous and distinguished help from Dawn Riley, within the limits of my strength and resources, to get some facts checked.

                                              I'm hoping to set out many arguments, like a case to a jury, subject to crossexamination, and then "pick a fight" - in some way that can work in public -- to establish truths that remain, so far "somehow too weak." The case is far along. On the MD thread, and many other places. Getting to a place where a fight in public is possible is not yet far along -- but perhaps not be so far away as it was.

                                              I deeply appreciate the fact that these talk boards are here -- and am grateful for the existence of the Guardian - Observer


                                              hayate0 - 04:35am Jul 20, 2001 GMT (#213 of 256)

                                              Your welcome


                                              rshowalter - 05:28pm Jul 25, 2001 GMT (#214 of 256)  | 

                                              There have been 262 postings on The New York Times -- Science -- Missile Defense thread since July 18th, and I believe that things have gone well - and hopefully.

                                              Dawn and I have worked hard.

                                              Postings that may interest some of you start with this:

                                                " I've often thought, writing on these forums, about whether I've been keeping faith with Bill Casey -- doing things that, on balance, he would have thought reasonable, and right . . .
                                              and includes this:

                                                " (Dawn and I) were especially interested in dialog with almarst after we read "Muddle in Moscow" http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=533129 ..... ... When we read that story, we imagined that we really were dealing with a powerful man who had taken time, with a staff, to do some listening."
                                              MD7385 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8167

                                              MD7386 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8168

                                              MD7388 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8170

                                              MD7389 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8171

                                              MD7390 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8172

                                              Minds are opening to the possiblility that the US may be fallible. Outside the US, and in America, as well. I take that as a good sign, for the sake of the world, and the United States itself. . . . . . Pollution deal leaves US cold by Charles Clover in Bonn http://portal.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2001/07/24/wkyot24.xml

                                                " Margot Wallstrom, the European environment commissioner, said: "We can go home and look our children in the eyes. Something has changed in the balance of power between the United States and the EU."
                                              Perhaps a time is coming where it will be possible to get some key things checked.


                                              Probitas - 08:36pm Jul 25, 2001 GMT (#215 of 256)

                                              At every moment, each person choses who they are going to become, and every choice is a step away from ones animal existence and heritage.

                                              What does one choose? How does it augment or diminish creation?

                                              Nature may be 'red in tooth and claw', but personhood is not.

                                              Persons are halfway between the Animals and the Angels according to Aquinas - every person has to choose to which they aspire:

                                              Is one going to be merely human 'being' (human existing) or aspire to the realms of personhood (human living)?

                                              One knows only that the first path is easier...

                                              P.


                                              rshowalter - 10:31pm Jul 25, 2001 GMT (#216 of 256)  | 

                                              But the second more hopeful.


                                              rshowalter - 10:26pm Aug 1, 2001 GMT (#217 of 256)  | 

                                              Man's inhumanity to man might be less if we became more clear about some problems on display in the US concerning the US military-industrial complex. I'm asking for some advice.

                                              I know that I've posted a lot here, but I'd like to ask some help from any Talk folks who might be interested. I've felt, for a long time, that it should be possible to check the crucial technical issues involved with the US Missile Defense programs, in public, on the basis of what's known in the open literature. And, by doing so, show that, whatever one may think of them as strategic programs, they are also deeply flawed technically.

                                              I've been under some pressure about that, but have also gotten a good deal of attention - perhaps including some attention from people associated with governments. Perhaps some of you may be interested in some aspects of that, as background, set out in the following links.

                                              MD6809 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7377
                                                MD6811 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7379
                                                  MD6972 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/7360
                                                    I'm wondering if anyone might have comments, especially involving technical issues (but also issues of exposition) about the specific issues in the following postings, which deal with technical aspects of the space based lasar weapons programs , and refer to a dialog between me and gisterme , the NYT - Science _ Missile Defense thread's Bush Administration Official "stand-in" and almarst , the thread's "Putin stand-in."

                                                    I'm trying to make an argument that can stand in public -- that can be set out on the web, and that might be illustrated, for clarity, in the sort of detail that would work for a jury -- including perhaps the "jury of public opinion." Here are the links I hope someone might comment on:

                                                    MD7712 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8599

                                                    MD7713 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8600

                                                    MD7714 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8601

                                                    Thanks so much.

                                                    Bob Showalter

                                                    mrshowalter@thedawn.com


                                                    rshowalter - 12:36am Aug 9, 2001 GMT (#218 of 256)  | 

                                                    With more insights like those set out by Rumsfeld here, man's inhumanity might get perceptively less, and we might become both safer and richer.

                                                    U.S., Russian Defense Officials Meet By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/news/AP-US-Russia.html includes this from U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld

                                                    "WASHINGTON (AP) -- U.S. and Russian defense officials are meeting behind closed doors at the Pentagon to explore the prospects for an agreement on building missile defenses and cutting nuclear forces.

                                                    . . . . . "

                                                    " Rumsfeld said there are psychological barriers to creating a new security relationship with Russia.

                                                    "``There is an awful lot of baggage left over in the relationship, the old relationship, the Cold War relationship between the United States and the Soviet Union,'' he said.

                                                    " ``It is baggage that exists in people's minds, it exists in treaties, it exists in the structure of relationships, the degree of formality of them,'' he added. ``And it will require, I think, some time to work through these things and see if we can't set the relationship on a different basis.''

                                                    One doesn't have to approve of everything Rumsfeld has done, or even much of it, to be glad that, as a leader and working politician, he said these words. It means that many people, including military people, have these words in mind. Perhaps some things can get better.

                                                    http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8686

                                                    http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8687

                                                    http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8688

                                                    http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8689

                                                    Perhaps we'll even come to some technical clarity -- something I hope for. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8694

                                                    To really end the Cold War, the United States would have to work itself through some fictions, and Russia would have to do so as well. That may take a while, as Secretary Rumsfeld suggests

                                                    But perhaps some limited progress is being made, and more can be made, as more and more people draw reasonable conclusions from facts.

                                                    Many of those facts well reported in the Guardian Observer.

                                                    And just for beauty, and appreciation of good things, some nice sites found by Dawn Riley: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8644


                                                    xpat - 03:11am Aug 13, 2001 GMT (#219 of 256)

                                                    http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/roguestate/default.htm http://www.cpeo.org/lists/military/1995/msg00099.html Plutonium: USA : http://www.nytimes.com/2001/08/11/national/11PLUT.html


                                                    rshowalter - 02:31pm Aug 21, 2001 GMT (#220 of 256)  | 

                                                    If people understood how human beings normally treat "others" -- we'd all be safer.

                                                    Facts are essential to right action. Toward that end, I've made a proposal, that might work.

                                                    MD7935 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8873

                                                    MD7936 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8874

                                                    The proposal, for checking of key technical points by professional engineers, with writers of PE exams serving as umpires, would involve some action by people with some power and independence. I've had contacts with such people that may be promising. On matters central to world peace, and balances, there should be "islands of fact" that all concerned are morally and socially bound to respect. Hard to get, but perhaps not impossible.

                                                    MD7940 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8880

                                                    MD7944 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8884

                                                    Some things about military balances and security procedures in general could use some review.

                                                    MD7950-7951 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8891


                                                    xpat - 08:27pm Aug 21, 2001 GMT (#221 of 256)

                                                    http://www.guardian.co.uk/globalwarming/story/0,7369,539945,00.html Subsidy - can hide real costs - affecting decision making.


                                                    rshowalter - 01:30am Aug 29, 2001 GMT (#222 of 256)  | 

                                                    If the basic insight of this thread -- that "nice people" can naturally act like monsters to "outsiders" were more widely understood, the world would be a more hopeful place than it is.

                                                    A nice quote from Envisioning Information by Eward Tuftie and some illustration and explanation jobs I'm hoping to help get done.

                                                    Some standards that have evolved in court practice:

                                                    Some points by Dawn Riley need to be widely explained.

                                                    We need some "islands of technical fact" for practical and moral reasons. <br>

                                                    I'm hoping to find some resources. That is difficult in a world where I've been very effectivly blackballed for decades. Some key questions are going to have to be answered, including the question whether the NYT Missile Defense thread, for all its "deniability, has been influential or not. Given social barriers, usages in place, and legal concerns, that can be difficult.

                                                    But there is some reason to hope that, after some "due diligence" - - some resources can be brought to bear, so that some fundamental questions of fact and proportion may be prepared well enough "so that they can be put before a jury."

                                                    Well enough, perhaps, to influence events.

                                                    It seems to me that the world is polarizing. That makes this a dangerous time. But a hopeful one, as well.


                                                    rshowalter - 10:02am Sep 4, 2001 GMT (#223 of 256)  | 

                                                    Some progress, and hard work, on the MD thread. The key insight of this thread, if it were widely understood, would do great good.

                                                    Here is some great coverage: The Fortunes of Russia and China, as Told Through the Pages of The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/library/magazine/home/20010902mag-china-russia.html

                                                    The New York Times is a major source of information about missile defense. Discussion of that corpus, and the complexity, richness, and challenge of it, and link to many articles on missile defense that have been discussed on this thread. Listings of missile defense articles in the NYT, with working no-charge links MD8309 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9296 MD8310 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9297

                                                    Colin Powell, and his TIME magazine cover story MD8392 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9389

                                                    Some history, going back almost a year now, that may interest some who have been following the MD thread, and wondered about barriers to news coverage in the United States. It includes events set out in Mankind's Inhumanity to Man and Woman - As natural as human goodness? #163 http://talk.guardian.co.uk/WebX?13@@.ee7b085/193 . MD8393-8395 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9391

                                                    We shouldn't miss what even a monkey could see: MD8289 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9276

                                                    On issues of military and nuclear balances, "no solution as stated:" ... We need a reframing: MD8300-3 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9287

                                                      Perhaps it is important that the "word" of the United States, and of US military officers, comes to be discounted -- and senses of obligation to the United States, among, allies, come to be diluted with mistrust. . . . the rest of the world has to stop deferring to the US, or being intimidated in every way by the US, and handle their own responsibilities themselves. MD8317-8318 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9304
                                                    All responsible leaders elsewhere in the world have to do, to move things distinctly and clearly in the direction of peace, is to ask that essential technical facts about missile defense, that can be evaluated in public, actually get competently and clearly evaluated in public. ..... If they asked that it be done, directly or through back channels, it would happen. MD8319 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9306
                                                      Getting core technical things about "missile defense" difficulties explained well enough for American political purposes, and for wider world politics could be done in terms of the open literature -- and the explanation would establish "islands of technical fact" that are needed for reasonable decisions. MD8343 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9330

                                                      MD thread summary and background: MD8344 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9331

                                                      The world could still end -- and we could fix that -- reasons for concern: MD8377-89 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9373

                                                      Has all this work been useful? Dawn and I have tried to make it so. MD8386 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9383

                                                      In any case, some stances are being taken by Putin that are just as Dawn and I would wish. MD8243 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9230 MD8380-82 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9377

                                                      Perhaps, along with all the things there are to fear, there are reasons for hope. If some "islands of technical fact" could be established, I believe that things might go a great deal better. MD8343 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9330


                                                      Fools - 12:29am Sep 6, 2001 GMT (#224 of 256)

                                                      http://talk.guardian.co.uk/WebX?224@@c04b@.ee7b085/259 I notice you do that on many threads you post on. I find it overloading and read none of it. Maybe one URL at a time with your comments will help me see what you want to say in this case. Thank you and sorry for any hurt I may cause.


                                                      rshowalter - 07:58pm Sep 6, 2001 GMT (#225 of 256)  | 

                                                      Thank you for your comment.

                                                      One thing I'm trying to do is build an "associative case" -- where a number of things, over a period of time, fit together in a checkable, coherent whole. Sometimes a ref, cited much later, in a different and richer context, gains force.

                                                      All the same, I'm sorry for the overkill.


                                                      rshowalter - 04:02pm Sep 12, 2001 GMT (#226 of 256)  | 

                                                      Since September 4th there have been 400+ postings on the MD thread.

                                                      A few may interest some people here. I'm grateful for the chance to post links here, for the record.

                                                      Postings dealing with the current tragedy in New York and Washington, and its relations to larger risks, involve postings Dawn Riley and I have done on these wonderful Guardian Talk threads: MD8827 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9894

                                                      Points were raised by gisterme , the MD board's "Bush administration stand in" that led me to repost Detail and the Golden Rule here: MD8737 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9788 MD8743 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/9796

                                                      I made the point that American institutional and intellectual traditions, shaped by the Cold War, may be standing in the way of safety now, in

                                                      Perhaps, ugly though things are, we can find some practical ways of making them better.

                                                      rshowalter - 02:20am Sep 19, 2001 GMT (#227 of 256)  | 

                                                      The problems considered on this thread are central to world survival now.

                                                      The Big Terrible by THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN http://www.nytimes.com/2001/09/18/opinion/18FRIE.html

                                                      MD9374 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/10511

                                                      To cooperate, we must act on the basis of ideals that work for our friends, and that can convert many people, against us now, to our side. To do that, we have to be the good guys.

                                                      As a species, we are beautiful, but ugly, too.

                                                      There were 714 postings on the NYT Missile Defense board this week.

                                                      chef16 - 06:53am Sep 26, 2001 GMT (#228 of 256)

                                                      chef16 - 06:07pm Sep 25, 2001 BST (#23 of 80) | Delete mattdiamond - Here in Britain we have a collection of newspapers, regardless of their quality, most follow, or support, either of the main political parties (they have been known to change allegiance when their particular party as no possible chance.eg when labour took control from tories in 97 or whatever). In doing so they quite often paint a false picture just to further the agenda of the particular party they are supporting, this happens. Why is it therefore not possible for a media that is on the whole totally controlled by Jews to paint a picture to favour Israel? I am talking about the main media here, as I know there are some Jewish agencies that try to get at the truth. It seems even stranger to me that as soon as you mention any thing critical about Israel or mention that Israel has a hell of allot to gain by what happened in US (not least to mention the death of allot of Muslims) that they all come out with the vitroil, ignoring the truth and searching little discrepancies to which have no relevance to the big picture. Is it really so wrong of me to ask such a question? If you can answer that without the personal abuse I'd be willing to listen. AND SO TO Muzeo - 02:55pm Sep 25, 2001 BST (#16 of 17) < I would like to know if serious debate on the subject is possible? > As soon as serious debate is in sight you may be sure that we will respond. I'm still waiting for something other than cobbled together quotes from very old / obsolete articles, spurious arguments, racist slanders, etc etc. I noticed there muzeo, you may want to read yourself even, begins to chuckle, that you're not interested in old stories, even when they come from nahem Begin, David Ben-Gurion, Moshe Dayan, Chaim Weizmann. Anyway they are not really that old, are they? Do you hold even older stories in the same regard? Because if you don't where does the justificacation of the Zionist dream come from? So I'll say it again again..................................................I read on a thread, by someone else, that to be anti Zionist was to be anti Jew. Which I thought was a bit much because I know allot of Jews who don't support Zionism. But I started to think what if it is true; the media, which is mainly controlled by Jews, does not represent a true picture of what is happening. Politicians seem not to address the problem fully and I wondered if maybe it was worth some discussion. That is all, this is a very confusing time for all of us we do not know who was behind the attacks on US yet some people don't seem to worry about that as long as someone else gets out there and bombs them. We know why the problems in Palestine exist and yet no body with the ability to do so is speaking about them. The problem in Palestine could be resolved. It will be hard for Israel to accept (but possibly not for all Jews) but it has to be done or this apocalyptical spiral we are on is going to lead to something far worse.

                                                      chef16 - 06:29pm Sep 25, 2001 BST (#24 of 80) | Delete Azor When things look confusing he does help a bit. The problem with students is they think they are clever, and so they should, society tells them they are. Most know allot about a little. They have to study take exams find people to have sex with ect.........They think they are intelligent, one only has to spend time with them and that myth can soon be disproved. They are lucky; they have a potentially bright future (or so we are led to believe). They leave education; some of them go on to good jobs like a politician for example. Some may work in the media even. All the time knowing how clever they are. But seeing as the world is in the verge of a catastrophe, was the education really worth the tax payers money? Don't try and knock me for what I read it's quite pathetic of you


                                                      rshowalter - 03:08am Sep 27, 2001 GMT (#229 of 256)  | 

                                                      If the key lesson of this thread were learned, the world would be much safer.

                                                      There have been 430 postings on the NYT Missile Defense Board since I last posted here, and since this posting, which cites a number of warning references posted on the Guardian: MD9421 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/10566

                                                      Dawn Riley and I have done most of them, but there have been many interesting ones from almarst and gisterme , people we have reason to think are associated with the Russian and US governments.

                                                      In MD9757 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11037 I made the hopeful point that

                                                        in very complex systems, patterns of solutions that exist and seem at all satisfactory, within a system of constraints, are likely to be few or unique. And often easy for people to think about and focus on in ways where they all agree.
                                                      That's makes considering real complexities not just daunting, but hopeful, too.

                                                      - - - - - -

                                                      I review links discussing a proposal that I've made from time to time since March, and discussed with almarst and Dawn Riley extensively in - - - MD9842-9844 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11158

                                                      The proposal deals with the idea of

                                                        " Crafting a fully workable, fully complete, fully explained "draft treaty proposal" for nuclear disarmament and a more militarily stable world. Such drafting would, at the least, make for stunningly good journalism -- that could be widely syndicated among papers. Useful as that would be, I think the drafting would serve a much more useful purpose. That purpose would be actually getting the points that need to be worked out for nuclear disarmament set out coherently - - to a level where closure actually occurs. That would involve a great deal of staff work done coherently, quickly, and in coordinated fashion.
                                                      "I wonder how much might be done IN PUBLIC --- say if some Moscow Times staff, and people from a couple of US papers, some Guardian staff, and people from some interested governments, started an OPEN dialog together? . . .. With all the government involvement possible, from all the nations concerned, and with "shadow" governments set up when the government in power did not participate.

                                                      Conditions favorable for something like this may be ripening, among journalists, world leaders, and their publics. I personally believe that such a thing could solve a lot of problems, especially if the Russian, German and UK governments took an interest. I feel that chances of Russian interest might be substantial, though this is, of course, only a guess. If leaders were interested in such a thing, I believe some people of means, proud to support some of the expenses of the effort, would be likely to be available. I also feel that the work would be first rate journalism, justifying the effort of journalists on that basis.

                                                      _ _ _ _

                                                      Postings on the NYT Missile Defense board are often held for a while before they are displayed. People who make postings that are held can see such ongoing postings. The posting below was displayed prominantly for almost seven hours after it was removed from the ongoing (but hidden) part by the moderator. I'm sorry that it was removed, but glad that is was on display, at a time when I think people were looking, for those hours.

                                                      rshowalter - 12:37pm Sep 25, 2001 EST (#9849 of 9849)

                                                        "I've been making a working assumption, and Dawn Riley has as well, that almarst had good contacts, perhaps very close contacts, with Putin's staff. Counting postings, and looking at context, I believe it reasonable that gisterme and others have made similar assumptions. Whether the assumptions are exactly true, at the level of ideas, there are analogies that would be almost as useful as contacts, for some purposes. .
                                                        "Missile defense is one issue, a very important issue, among a number in Russian - American relations. .
                                                        "If my assumptions are correct, and I believe that they are at least reasonable, it seems to me that one can argue that this board has done good service to the interests of the United States of America. .
                                                        "And been of some help to Russia, as well. .
                                                      _ _ _ _ _

                                                      I believe that, terribly unfortunate as the WTC and Pentagon tragedy-crimes were, they have given political actors a sense of urgency and reality that may be very useful. My own view is that with more discussion, and checking of key facts, some of the ugliest and most dangerous messes in the world could be handled much better.


                                                      rshowalter - 01:08pm Sep 27, 2001 GMT (#230 of 256)  | 

                                                      The world is interconnected, and one issue recurs with monotonous, but deadly serious regularity.

                                                      It is that sequences where lies are involved are likely to go wrong in ugly, expensive, unjust, unpredictable ways.

                                                      MD9808 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11103

                                                      MD9809 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11104

                                                      MD9810 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11105

                                                      This isn't much reading, and perhaps some who looked at these pieces would find them boring. But perhaps some might be interested. I'm posting them on the off-chance that some people of responsibility, directly or indirectly, might find them interesting.


                                                      rshowalter - 11:33pm Oct 5, 2001 GMT (#231 of 256)  | 

                                                      The NYT Missile Defense board is going on, at high intensity, and I've had reason to think it may be being influential. And perhaps constructive.

                                                      Some of the dialog , which I found revealing, and that may have influenced judgements of staffed organizations, has been deleted. I think that may be just as well. The dialog was up long enough, I feel, to have served a purpose. The board is being carefully censored. Under the circumstances, I'm grateful for that.

                                                      Some movement toward closure on some technical points about missile defense has, I believe, occurred.

                                                      For all the ugliness and stress, and despite the mourning and the fear, I think we may, perhaps, be living through a time where things get better.

                                                      This thread has been cited on the MD board 5 times this week.


                                                      rshowalter - 05:38pm Oct 10, 2001 GMT (#232 of 256)  | 

                                                      Toward a New Security Framework

                                                      Remarks of Sam Nunn
                                                      Co-Chairman, Nuclear Threat Initiative
                                                      October 3, 2001
                                                      http://wwics.si.edu/NEWS/speeches/nunn.htm is a piece I find wonderful.

                                                      It is a thoughtful, proactive response to events from September 11th to date. I think some approaches different from those he now has in mind might condense from the processes Senator Nunn gracefully envisions. I've not always been 100% on Senator Nunn's side, or an advocate of his associates, and perhaps I've been unfair.

                                                      But I want to point this speech out. I feel that it is beautiful, and a beautiful integration of issues, coming form where the United States' "security elite" is, and has been.

                                                      I like Nunn's ending remarks especially:

                                                        " If the United States and Russia begin working together as partners in fighting terror and the weapons of mass destruction threat, and encourage others to join, the world will be a different place for our children and grandchildren. We face major challenges, but an historic opportunity. We must seize it now. .
                                                        " Time and circumstance have given us a chance to shape new relationships and to build a new security framework, so that the pain of today will not be known by the children of tomorrow.
                                                      .
                                                      .
                                                      .

                                                      I made a suggestion, on September 25, 2001

                                                      in a day "web meeting" that ended with an offer:

                                                      Senator Nunn would know all the reasons why the suggestion is impractical.

                                                      If only the world were that simple.

                                                      Sometimes, even now, I think it is.

                                                      I believe that if the fundamental lesson of this thread were learned, things that have gone badly in the past might go better.


                                                      rshowalter - 03:11pm Oct 12, 2001 GMT (#233 of 256)  | 

                                                      Advice I got once:

                                                        " There is no one standard, no one rule, no one pattern that fits all the time, and if you have a system that you need to check, the checking system, for complicated circumstances, has to be structurally different from the system checked, and has to "violate" some "rules" built into the other system, so as to get things that have to be checked checked." "What's the best advice you've ever been given?" Wed 10/10/2001
                                                      Checking involves doubt, but after enough checking there are some times when answers, and right actions, are clear in terms of well defined priorities. Including right answers and right actions that would never have been arrived at, without the checking.

                                                      I think

                                                      is wonderful. Hope bin Laden reads it. Hope Bush does, too.


                                                      Possumdag - 01:33am Oct 25, 2001 GMT (#234 of 256)

                                                      Mankind's Inhumanity to Man and Woman - As natural as human goodness? rshowalter " I'm trying to float and idea here - and that's something these forums are good for.

                                                      Looking at the world, there are so many cases of "unthinkable" and "unexplainable" evil and negligence, that the mind and heart recoils. People recall such behavior among the Nazis, and recoil, as well they might. How could "civilized, aesthetically sensitive, cultured people" ALSO act so monstrously, and with such clear and sophisticated murderous intent.

                                                      But is this behavior so strange? Or is it the NATURAL?"

                                                      ----

                                                      Isn't the common call 'Sometimes a military solution IS necessary' ?


                                                      SeekerOfTruth - 02:51am Nov 2, 2001 GMT (#235 of 256)

                                                      Is goodness a quality process? http://www.brint.com/wwwboard/messages/368.html


                                                      SeekerOfTruth - 10:32am Nov 9, 2001 GMT (#236 of 256)

                                                        .. same guard who wanted to listen to music was indignant when shown a propaganda leaflet dropped by an American plane. "Is this really the future you want for your women and children?" the leaflet asked. It showed a photograph of Taliban religious police beating a woman.


                                                      rshowalter - 03:24pm Nov 18, 2001 GMT (#237 of 256)  | 

                                                      I review links discussing a proposal that I've made from time to time since March, and discussed with almarst and Dawn Riley extensively in - - - MD9842-9844 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/11158

                                                      The proposal deals with the idea of

                                                        " Crafting a fully workable, fully complete, fully explained "draft treaty proposal" for nuclear disarmament and a more militarily stable world. Such drafting would, at the least, make for stunningly good journalism -- that could be widely syndicated among papers. Useful as that would be, I think the drafting would serve a much more useful purpose. That purpose would be actually getting the points that need to be worked out for nuclear disarmament set out coherently - - to a level where closure actually occurs. That would involve a great deal of staff work done coherently, quickly, and in coordinated fashion."
                                                      .
                                                        " I wonder how much might be done IN PUBLIC --- say if some Moscow Times staff, and people from a couple of US papers, some Guardian staff, and people from some interested governments, started an OPEN dialog together? . . .. With all the government involvement possible, from all the nations concerned, and with "shadow" governments set up when the government in power did not participate."

                                                      Conditions favorable for something like this may be ripening, among journalists, world leaders, and their publics. I personally believe that such a thing could solve a lot of problems, especially if the Russian, German and UK governments took an interest. I feel that chances of Russian interest might be substantial, though this is, of course, only a guess.

                                                      If leaders were interested in such a thing, I believe some people of means, proud to support some of the expenses of the effort, would be likely to be available. I also feel that the work would be first rate journalism, justifying the effort of journalists on that basis.

                                                      The rest of the world is organizing in ways that should permit the United States to be held to reasonable account - - - and in important ways, the United States is behaving in ways more accountable to world opinion than it did before September 11. - The time may be ripe for reviewing the reasons why the current nuclear terror occurred, and coming to understand how we may, responsibly and carefully, get out of that horrible situation. It makes no sense to have thousands of obsolete and terribly dangerous nuclear weapons around for decades more, when they serve (especially at such high levels) no military purpose. The misunderstandings and terrible patterns that caused these weapons to come into being should be better understood, and the reasons for them examined and deconstructed.


                                                      xpat - 06:34am Nov 27, 2001 GMT (#238 of 256)

                                                      Interesting to note the Afghan settlement gets down to basics

                                                      Food water clothing shelter

                                                      Having a job - getting an income
                                                      farming, industry, commerce, trade

                                                      Re women being accepted as equals there

                                                      The question is being raised re women in other arab countries - should they be allowed to DRIVE in Saudi - will America 'fight' for that right

                                                      The lid on an squirmy can of inequitable worms has been RAISED.


                                                      rshowalter - 12:31am Dec 5, 2001 GMT (#239 of 256)  | 

                                                      That lid has been raised -- and applications of "the golden rule" have to be considered -- in the complicated world people are actually in.

                                                      We don't, after all, have to agree about that much - but we need to communicate well enough so that economic cooperation is possible, and so that cruelties are avoided.

                                                      A set of rules "dictated" by ancient texts, interpreted by minds steeped in medieval traditions, isn't good enough.

                                                      The question

                                                        What are the CONSEQUENCES in human terms?
                                                      needs to be asked again and again. When the consequences of dicta are out of line, one needs to question the "wisdom" and "morality" of those dicta. Whatever religious tradition they happen to come from.

                                                      MalcolmMcm - 02:25pm Dec 10, 2001 GMT (#240 of 256)

                                                      Personally I believe in Evil as a direct motivating force. Humans have an appetite for destruction which isn't found in any kind of wild animal. It's a consequence of our domestication and the resultant tension between our animal instincts and our conditioned behaviour.

                                                      We resent the responsibilities that go with being human. From that resentment emerges a desire to destroy what contrains us. (See http://www.pigsty.demon.co.uk/fenris.html).

                                                      That's why individuals, or whole nations go on the rampage from time to time. That's why disaster movies are good box-office. That's why it's so easy to recruite suicide bombers.

                                                      That isn't the case with the apparent injustices of society, though. Most of those are directly traceable to the needs of society itself. For example woman couldn't be in charge of their own sexuality while child birth was such a highly dangerous excersise or there wouldn't have been further generations. Women's lib became possible only with improvements in gynocology.


                                                      OptimusPrime - 07:18am Dec 12, 2001 GMT (#241 of 256)

                                                      "Nature is red in tooth and claw." And it's only arrogance that persuades us that we're more than very clever monkeys. I feel that our capacity for inhumanity is inherent (rather than the result of some external corrupting spiritual influence), but that we can and should try to rise above it (we're professionals...).

                                                      I don't know if we're "worse" than other animals; maybe just cleverer enough, so that the difference between the consequences of our "good" and "evil" actions is a little more marked (see war, terrorism, ethnic cleansing etc. etc.). Or just a little more imaginative...


                                                      rshowalter - 03:44pm Dec 12, 2001 GMT (#242 of 256)  | 

                                                      If we were wiser, and more able to get rid of unintended consequences --- we'd do better.

                                                      After all, as a species, for all the carnage and ungliness, we sometimes do both well and beautifully.

                                                      There ought to be awareness of our limitations as "clever monkeys" -- but given the beauty and accomplishment people often achieve, hope too.


                                                      OptimusPrime - 04:29am Dec 13, 2001 GMT (#243 of 256)

                                                      I couldn't sleep last night, and thought of a bit more...

                                                      Nice Monkey; Shares banana.

                                                      Mean Monkey; Doesn't share banana.

                                                      Nice Man; Gives up life of riches and luxury to nurse in a Calcutta convent. Runs back into a burning building to save a trapped baby.

                                                      Mean Man; Flies planes into skyscrapers. Drops A-bombs. Rapes. Ethnically cleanses.

                                                      I think our intelligence just gives us greater scope to do very very nice or very very nasty things.


                                                      MalcolmMcm - 09:47am Dec 13, 2001 GMT (#244 of 256)

                                                      I think our intelligence just gives us greater scope to do very very nice or very very nasty things.

                                                      I don't think wild animals have an actual appetite for destruction. If they kill it's a matter of indifference, not pleasure.


                                                      OptimusPrime - 12:46pm Dec 13, 2001 GMT (#245 of 256)

                                                      Could be. But I wonder; I live well outside the M25, and often see lambs etc. with entrails torn out, completely uneaten, just lying in fields. Now, I'm not an animal psychologist, and maybe Fantastic Mr Fox could provide an excellent justification for his misdeed were he gifted with the capacity for speech. But it does look like they do it for fun, whatever that means for a fox.


                                                      MalcolmMcm - 11:08am Dec 14, 2001 GMT (#246 of 256)

                                                      But it does look like they do it for fun, whatever that means for a fox.

                                                      Predators kill when the oppertunity arrises. When Mr. fox gets into the henhouse you can't really expect him to count the dead chickens and think "Well that's as many as I can eat today".

                                                      And of course cats are imfamous for toying with their play. That's how kittens learn to control prey. But the cat can't be expected to empathise with the mouse. He doesn't see the mouse as something suffering, just something that reacts in an interesting way.

                                                      Humans, on the other hand, do empathise with suffering and, sometimes, do their best to maximise it.

                                                      That's genuine cruelty.


                                                      OptimusPrime - 06:22am Dec 15, 2001 GMT (#247 of 256)

                                                      True (about genuine cruelty). But maybe that's a development from the cat and mouse. Cruelty must have roots in animal behaviour, even if we can't see what we would call "genuine cruelty" among animals.

                                                      Back to Fantastic Mr Fox... I wouldn't expect him to assess the exact nutritional value of each chicken relative to his own requirements at the time. But when he's wandering through a field at night, and sees a lamb, and thinks "Well I'm not hungry*, but hey, I'll kill it anyway...", maybe that is the seed of what, in a more "developed" creature, could be seen as cruelty, or an "appetite for destruction".

                                                      I've also seen predators pass up opportunities to kill, for reasons best known to themselves, but which may include lack of hunger, self-preservation, etc. ... I don't accept that a predator will kill WHENEVER it gets the chance to do so.

                                                    • or he would have eaten something. I know he doesn't have this inner monologue. But you see my point?

                                                      SeekerOfTruth - 07:49am Dec 21, 2001 GMT (#248 of 256)

                                                      Inhumanity is often praised, or ignored and thereby approved in war.

                                                      Many wars are run by MADMEN ...

                                                      Under Madmen many men go mad ...

                                                      Inhumanity if failure to humanise and visualise the numbers .. as individuals.

                                                      Games that traumatise - should be despised.


                                                      rshowalter - 10:39pm Dec 23, 2001 GMT (#249 of 256)  | 

                                                      The fact of tragedy -- set out day by day in the "A Nation Challenged" section of the New York Times -- is serving a great purpose. Look at the faces, with enough words associated -- they are real -- and too many to comfortably count, or attend to.

                                                      In wars, especially with nukes, THOUSANDS of times that many can die --- and with nukes, with controls as they are, and vulnerabilities as they are ... MILLIONS of times more can die.

                                                      It helps to "look at" a few thousand.

                                                      And then try to count to a few thousand, one at a time - yourself -- with each a GROUP of similar tragedies.

                                                      The world could use more perspective like that -- quantitative, at least a little bit, and touched by the humanity of the lives lost and at stake.


                                                      SeekerOfTruth - 09:04am Dec 24, 2001 GMT (#250 of 256)

                                                      ah! like the wtc equates to 3 standard highschools on the numbers basis ... that's 100+ classes (30) deleted! Their near and extended famlies left void.

                                                      So if the event were nuclear then WOW ... the world would take a long time to recover.

                                                      Note the UK put the NucPowerstations up for sale ... no buyers showed .. says there's concern re the fuller aspects of accounting. 2050 is the date the UK have set to close down all NucPower ... there's a move to renewable energy.


                                                      MalcolmMcm - 01:39pm Jan 2, 2002 GMT (#251 of 256)

                                                      Cruelty must have roots in animal behaviour

                                                      I think deliberate cruelty is a perversion in the true sense of the word. A perversion is something done because you believe it to be, in some sense, wrong. An act of defiance against conscience, God or society and it's taboos.

                                                      I've also seen predators pass up opportunities to kill, for reasons best known to themselves,

                                                      In a natural situation predation is very rarely free of risk and energy expenditure. Our domestic animals, rendered incapable of effective flight or fight for the convenience of our own predation, create a special circumstance.


                                                      rshowalter - 05:36pm Jan 3, 2002 GMT (#252 of 256)  | 

                                                      From an undelivered speech by Franklin D. Roosevelt, written shortly before his death:

                                                        "Today, we are faced with the pre-eminent fact that, if civilization is to survive, we must cultivate the science of human relationships --- the ability of all peoples, of all kinds, to live together and work together in the same world, at peace."
                                                      This quote was on the last page of the American Heritage Picture History of World War II , by C.L. Sulzberger and the editors of American Heritage , published in 1966.

                                                      Fletching - 12:10am Jan 4, 2002 GMT (#253 of 256)

                                                      I don't think humans behave much different from other predatory species. It is worth watching wild life programmes to see that they all behave much the same. They will defend their own young and members of their own tribe, pride, pack, school, whatever.

                                                      We like to think of ourselves of top of the pile but perhaps only for now as in reality in behaviour we are no different. Just a bit lucky (from development) with a cortex. That can soon change especially as we still have not become sophisticated enough in our behaviour to be tolerant of our own species. Just a blip in the chemical soup that supplies us with air which we are so careless with and bye, bye homo sapiens welcome new species!


                                                      rshowalter - 12:49am Jan 4, 2002 GMT (#254 of 256)  | 

                                                      If humans "don't behave much differently from other predatory species" then the weight of responsibility of culture is very heavy.

                                                      We are animals, all right. Beautiful animals, sometimes. I hope the species goes on.

                                                      We can hope, and fear, based on the idea based things that people do. People will die and kill for ideas and ideals. Maybe, with work, they'll learn to come up with workable arrangements, too.

                                                      Often, it happens.


                                                      rshowalter - 05:01pm Jan 4, 2002 GMT (#255 of 256)  | 

                                                      I was glad to see http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12334 by gisterme , a person who I suspect has high connections with the Bush administration.

                                                      Gisterme said that

                                                        " The massive nuclear arsenals are already on their way out, Robert. That's because there's way more trust between their possesors than there was prior to 1991. Be patient. We'll both likely live to see the largest strategic nuclear arsenals no larger than a few dozen missiles or perhaps even less. Maybe none. The things are obsolete as rational tools of political leverage because they are too terrible for any sane leader to ever use except as last-ditch defense. .
                                                        " I'm entirely with you in wanting to see strategic nuclear arsenals reduced to the point where even the worst case would still allow survival of the species. That might not take as long as we may think. "
                                                      I hope not.


                                                      rshowalter - 10:00pm Jan 12, 2002 GMT (#256 of 256)  | 

                                                      The Collapse of Enron-- Moderated http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f276dbc/18 is a very interesting forum - pretty short, with excellent stuff throughout.

                                                      Postings on the MD board so far this year, though too many to interest the casual, involve things I believe ought to be of great interest to staffed organizations, all over the world, interested in military stability, and reduction of nuclear and other risks.

                                                      HOW TO SEARCH THE NYT MISSILE DEFENSE FORUM

                                                      MD9057 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/10144

                                                      MD9440 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/10594


                                                      bNice - 03:38am Jan 19, 2002 BST (#255 of 317)

                                                      Is it the Collapse of Enron

                                                      or

                                                      The Collapse of lapsed government?


                                                      rshowalter - 12:28am Jan 20, 2002 BST (#256 of 317)  | 

                                                      Here are wonderful NYT Op. Ed Pieces:

                                                      ENRON AND THE GRAMMS by Bob Herbert http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/17/opinion/17HERB.html

                                                      THE UNITED STATES OF ENRON by Frank Rich http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/19/opinion/19RICH.html


                                                      rshowalter - 12:29am Jan 20, 2002 BST (#257 of 317)  | 

                                                      MD10870 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12622 :

                                                      Last year, Russia hosted a meeting on the militarization of space - something like 104 countries attended. The United States did not. Laser weapons were centrally involved in the issues of concern. Take away the laser weapons, and the other offensive ideas for space weapons don't amount to much.

                                                      Reflective decal countermeasures (which would certainly occur to any engineer seriously thinking about defending against laser weapons) are so easy that these laser weapon systems, either on airplanes or in space - just don't make sense as weapons.

                                                      The point, long discussed on the NYT Missile Defense thread, was discussed in detail, with respect to the ABL ("AirBornLaser) http://airbornelaser.com/special/abl/ in

                                                      MD10861 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12613

                                                      MD10862 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12614

                                                      MD10864 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12616

                                                      MD10866 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12618

                                                        A quote in Hitt's article is worth noting, when judging space weapons - "it costs a bar of gold to put up a coke can." If you know that, you know that "smart rocks" proposed to intercept missiles, starting from one orbit, and intercepting some trajectory not on that orbit, aren't very "smart."
                                                      We need some "islands of technical fact" to be determined, beyond reasonable doubt, in a clear context beyond politics. MD10764 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12487

                                                      I believe that if representatives of some of the countries concerned with the weaponization of space asked for clarification, on basic technical questions of feasibility beyond politics, the clarifications would happen. If this were done, I believe that some wrong assumptions, that now stand in the way of world safety, could be swept away.

                                                      Psychwarfare, Casablanca -- and terror #207-210 , linked in MD10882 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12636 , offers background on things that might be understood, and done.


                                                      rshowalter - 06:10pm Jan 27, 2002 BST (#258 of 317)  | 

                                                      The New York Times has been doing a remarkable job covering the Enron scandal, and a collection of their coverage is linked here: http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/14/business/_ENRON-PRIMER.html

                                                      There is a moderated discussion on the topic "The Collapse of Enron." http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?50@@.f276dbc

                                                      "lchic" has many especially useful contributions.

                                                      Perhaps " enron " should become a verb. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f276dbc/709 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f276dbc/455 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12804


                                                      rshowalter - 06:27pm Jan 27, 2002 BST (#259 of 317)  | 

                                                      I was very glad to see Organizing the World to Fight Terror by IGOR S. IVANOV , Russian Foreign Minister http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/27/opinion/27IVAN.html

                                                      Much of the NYT Missile Defense thread deals with subjects related to those that Minister Ivanov speaks of. MD11068 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12865

                                                      The need for openness, and international relations built on trust is very great. Towards that end, it is useful that things be checked. MD11071 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12868

                                                      People and nations do make their systems work better. Russia has made great progress since "Muddle in Moscow" http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=533129 .....

                                                      Efforts on the NYT MD thread may not have had anything to do with any of that progress, but lchic and I have tried to be constructive. md7389 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/8171


                                                      ExGuardianReader - 11:48am Feb 5, 2002 BST (#260 of 317)

                                                      People are naturally aggressive to weaker people.

                                                      Just like wolves and our closer cousins the chimps. They have strictly, and physically enforced social heiarchies, and aggressively defend their groups from outsiders.

                                                      There is no inherent universal human kindness to the world, we can all be cruel. This is why the more utopian leftist visions of the world are so unrealistic.

                                                      I suppose you've heard of Milgram's experiment where subjects were willing to electrocute people?

                                                      http://www.new-life.net/milgram.htm

                                                      Have you heard of Zimbardo's prison experiment which gave volunteer student subjects the power of prison warders over other volunteer student subjects? The violence got so out of hand, so quickly that the experiment had to be stopped:

                                                      http://www.prisonexp.org/


                                                      rshowalter - 07:55pm Feb 6, 2002 BST (#261 of 317)  | 

                                                      Great references. Erica Goode did a good article in the NYT science section keyed off those pieces, about two years back.

                                                      There are those who think the current US defense budget proposal is excessive and misshapen, and I'm one of them. The NYT is of the same opinion. http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/06/opinion/_06WED1.html

                                                      My own special interest is nuclear disarmament,and that has meant special attention to the NYT Missile Defense message board -- which remains quite active. I believe that it is being demonstrated that the basic technical parts of the Bush administrations's MD program are tactically useless. An interesting example is the Airborne Laser system (ABL) -- which depends on adaptive optics that requires a feedback path that does not exist. Key numbers are classified, but what is possible (and impossible) can be seen from widely known data in the open literature. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13124

                                                      Some days, I feel the MD board is productive -- I'm stuck there, to some extent, because of a "credentialling problem" that can be viewed from several perspectives. http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12592

                                                      In the last week, I've had a subjective sense of progress.


                                                      rshowalter - 09:31pm Feb 13, 2002 BST (#262 of 317)  | 

                                                      The NYT MD board has been active this week -- with a great many postings by " gisterme ", a personage I've sometimes suspected of high US government connections.

                                                      Dawn Riley pointed out that

                                                      Within amorphous organisations some projects
                                                      start-up and then take on a life of their own.
                                                      The history, rational, and reasoning are lost
                                                      as the initiators move on
                                                      abandoning these ever-funded,
                                                      now orphaned projects.
                                                      http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13350

                                                      That's happened, to a significant extent, to projects in the US military establishment.

                                                      I was most interested in Margaret Thatcher's Advice to a Superpower http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/11/opinion/11THAT.html MD11481 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13351

                                                      With Enron much on the mind of the country, there have been some most interesting speeches by distinguished US Senators in http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/13/business/13TEXT.html and issues that have not been "second guessed" before, but deferred to, may be subject to more scrutiny. US credibility is being questioned, and that's being pointed out by Friedman, along with a very important point, on which Friedman and I agree with the Bush andministration -- deterrance has to be credible, and that means sometimes you do have to fight. Crazier Than Thou By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN. http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/13/opinion/13FRIE.html

                                                      MD11526-11527 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13403 Some key issues on the functionality of the US missile defense systems were set out in MD11502 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13376 , with some partial agreement (on what matters, not what the facts are) from gisterme.

                                                      For each weapons system, key questions are:

                                                        Can it see the target? .
                                                        Can it hit the target? .
                                                        Can it hit the target hard enough to kill it?
                                                      These questions apply for "best possible test conditions" and also for tactical conditions, including conditions with the existence of particular, defined countermeasures.

                                                      I don't believe that the missile defense programs could stand careful, organized scrutiny about these questions, at the level suggested in MD10764 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/12487 , and feel that it would serve the interest of virtually all people of good faith concerned with world security to get some key facts checked, in some way that went beyond "trust me" -- and got down to specific, clear cases.


                                                      TiggerTheBouncy - 09:46pm Feb 13, 2002 BST (#263 of 317)

                                                      Boinggggg!


                                                      rshowalter - 05:31pm Feb 20, 2002 BST (#264 of 317)  | 

                                                      Inhumanity is often justified, and permitted, by lies.

                                                      Concerns about the Bush administration are widespread -- very often, things are done for reasons that don't make sense, in terms that are explained. Perhaps things cannot be explained in terms that can stand the light of day. The Enron scandal may illustrate a great deal about the role of "information control" (aka fraud) in current US government policy, foreign and domestic.

                                                      The emotive slogan in "Superman" comics, and movies, is

                                                        . Truth, justice, and the American way . . .
                                                      For any workable way of life, truth has to be fundamental-- because decisions have to be made, and people have to be able to cooperate and act in good faith. An editorial and OpEd piece in the New York Times could harrdly be more serious.

                                                      Managing the News http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/20/opinion/_20WED2.html

                                                        The new Office of Strategic Influence's plans to plant false stories in the foreign press would undermine rather than reinforce the government's broader efforts to build international support for the war on terrorism.
                                                      Office of Strategic Mendacity By MAUREEN DOWD http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/20/opinion/20DOWD.html

                                                      The NYT Missile Defense thread is extensive, and represents an effort to set down, using techniques the internet makes possible, an open corpus, with many crosslinks, adapted to assist in the focusing of a complex, difficult issue toward closure. It is set up as a prototype - illustrating patterns that may be useful for communication between staffed organizations.

                                                      A fairly compact ongoing summary of this thread from September 25, 2000 to date, which is too large for easy reading, but not for sampling, is set out with many links in Psychwar, Casablanca, and Terror -- from #151 on

                                                      MD690 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/757 seems particularly appropriate here.

                                                      MD11655 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13554

                                                      MD 111656 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f0ce57b/13555

                                                      The administration's "missile defense" program is essentially a fraud - - based on what seems to be an assumption of a "right to lie and evade" built into current American arrangements in the course of fighting the Cold War. If facts, repeatedly pointed out by people with credentials, were taken into account, the "missile defense" fraud, and all its foreign policy implications, would simply be impossible.

                                                      For practical reasons, important in America, and important elsewhere in the world, there have to be limits on the "right to lie" about subject matter that is of consequence.

                                                      People need to expect decent action. It cannot be taken for granted, and has been too often - - something well illustrated in a piece today:

                                                      An Enron Unit Chief Warned, and Was Rebuffed By JOHN SCHWARTZ http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/20/business/20PIPE.html


                                                      rshowalter - 01:33am Feb 28, 2002 BST (#265 of 317)  | 

                                                      In analogy to

                                                        " Truth, justice, and the American way . . .
                                                      TRUTH, RIGHT AND THE AMERICAN WAY A Nation Defined by Its Enemies By ROBERT F. WORTH http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/24/weekinreview/24WORT.html

                                                      rshowalter - 01:33am Feb 28, 2002 BST (#266 of 317)  | 

                                                      The NYT Missile Defense thread, which now fills 28 notebooks of text, is being rebooted - continued, but without holding previous text on the database. The last ten days have been especially active, with our "Putin stand in, almarst", and the "Bush administration stand-ins" quite active. I've saved the thread. I posted the following summary of the thread to date. (MD11896)

                                                      . . .

                                                      "This thread has made some progress. The "missile defense" programs are technically much less tenable than they used to be. I think the discourse on this thread has been part of that. Very serious efforts to defend BMD have been made here - and they have taken up much space, and involved many evasions. But they have made no specific and detailed technical points that have been able to stand about technical feasibility.

                                                      The "lasar weapon" programs have been significantly discredited -- because countermeasures are easy, because adaptive optics is not easy, and because a fundamental misunderstanding about the "perfect coherence" of lasers has been made.

                                                        " Alignment good enough for lasing" has been confused with the far more difficult alignment needed for laser beam coherence for destroying targets over long distances.
                                                      "This has probably undermined every single BMD laser program in existence. (To be good enough for lasing, one needs alighnments so that the cosine of alignment angle is almost exactly 1 -- which is fairly easy -- to be good enough for aiming, alignment, already difficult for lasing - has to be thousands of times better -- probably impossible, even for a lab curiosity - certainly impossible for a high powered, tactical laser subject to system vibration.)

                                                      "There are other key errors in the laser systems, too -- including a "feedback loop" in the ABL system without enough signal to function at all.

                                                      "Whether these oversights have anything to do with a hostile takeover effort of TRW Corportion, I can only speculate -- but hostile takeovers of major US. military contractors are generally consistent with DOD policy.

                                                      "The midcourse interception program that has taken up so much diplomatic space has always been vulnerable to extraordinarily easy countermeasures. This thread has reinforced points that should already have been clear. Points much of the technical community has long insisted on. It costs perhaps a ten thousandth as much to defeat the system as it costs to build it. Perhaps much less. Some facts are based on physics of the sending, reflection, and recieving of electromagnetic radiation (light, radio waves, or any other) are now well known, and inescapable.

                                                      "Arguments on this thread recently have favored BMD as psychological warfare -- as bluff. In my view, the bluff is grotesquely more expensive than can be justified -- and fools almost no one, any more, but the American public.

                                                      I feel that the technical credibility of ballistic missile defense ought to be questioned, in detail, and to closure -- because so much diplomacy, and so much of the current rationale for Bush administration policy, hinges on it.

                                                      We need some islands of technical fact to be determined, beyond reasonable doubt, in a clear context. It is possible to do that now.


                                                      rshowalter - 12:46am Mar 7, 2002 BST (#267 of 317)  | 

                                                      Just a thought for a happy ending, based on the pattern in How a Story is Shaped http://www.fortunecity.com/lavendar/ducksoup/555/storyshape.html

                                                      Status Quo . . .

                                                      Initial Problem . . .

                                                      Exposition . . .

                                                      Complications . . .

                                                      Crisis . . . A superpower out of hand - - with plenty of muddle and danger.

                                                      Climax boom, crash -- . . . A few world leaders say, in public, "this is an intolerable mess -- there are muddles here -- we want the key facts and relations sorted out -- staffed to closure -- beyond question . . ."

                                                      to be continued .

                                                      Denouement . . .

                                                      Description of New Status Quo . . .

                                                      New Status Quo

                                                      I think some pretty satisfactory resolutions would occur, pretty naturally, once there was enough "news value" for public scrutiny -- along with formats that were able to handle the logical problems involved.

                                                      MD170 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/203

                                                      MD171 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/204

                                                      MD84 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/99

                                                      I think many of the questions raised by almarst , the NYT Missile Defense thread's "Putin stand-in" are interesting, and I've collected some of them in MD183 to MD186 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/217 are worth a lot of respect, attention, and concern.


                                                      rshowalter - 12:44am Mar 13, 2002 BST (#268 of 317)  | 

                                                      I believe, for reasons of context that you can judge for yourself below, that manjumicha2001 either is, or represents, a major player in the Bush adminstration defense establishment. That is, of course, deniable, unless some journalists do some work.

                                                      manjumicha2001's posted MD401 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/493 rather than respond, or have a cohort respond, to a challenge of mine explicit enough that it could not be run away from. MD393 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/483

                                                      In MD401 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/493 manjumicha2001 says this:

                                                        " I agree with you that NMD is a program that is 50 years old and has proven to be terminally challenged by the laws of physics.
                                                      That's a key question of fact that needs to be widely, persuasively explained , so that the people who have to make decisions relating to that fact can do so. If my guess about the identity of manjumicha2001 is correct - - the admission should be a matter of wide interest.

                                                      in MD401 manjumicha2001 continues:

                                                        "Having said that, however, I do not believe the world turns based on merits alone. Pathos (either of a nation or people) matter and more often than not, it is the driving force of the events that shape history. "
                                                      Pathos and folly may be understandable, but still regrettable, when matters of life, death, and agony are at stake. Here's a piece of my MD382 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/471

                                                        "Facts and ideas, combined together in space and time so that people can "connect the dots", as Erica Goode says in Finding Answers In Secret Plots http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/10/weekinreview/10GOOD.html form the ideas that people and groups have. -- These ideas are patterns, which work well enough to sustain action and belief in some ways, though they may be totally invalid otherwise. These ideas, constructed by "connecting the dots" may produce grossly pathological results -- . . . Or they may be correct.
                                                        "To judge that, one checks the "facts" "connected together" and one sees if the pattern conjured up fits more facts - - including many more facts. The process of judging this, like the process of putting the "explanation" together - happens in people's minds - and can't be forced. But the matching process -- the "connecting of the dots" -- is what effective persuasion is all about. And the internet offers new ways, some shown here, of connecting information in space and time that would otherwise be diffused and unconnectable.
                                                      Because the carnage and loss from "pathos" can be so serious http://www.nctimes.com/news/2002/20020310/60236.html it seems worthwhile to set out postings from manjumicha2001 - so that if anyone wishes to "connect some dots" they may form some judgements about who (s)he is, and who (s)he converses with. My sense is that manjumicha2001 is a senior Bush administration official -- you may develop your own sense on the basis of manjumicha2001's posting - linked below:

                                                      MD18 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/26

                                                      MD21 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/29

                                                      MD26 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/34

                                                      MD27 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/35

                                                      MD29 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/37

                                                      MD30 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/38

                                                      MD32 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/40

                                                      MD35 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/43

                                                      MD37 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/45

                                                      MD40 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/49

                                                      MD41 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/50

                                                      MD226 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/262

                                                      MD374 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/459

                                                      MD375 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/460

                                                      MD401 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/493

                                                      Wouldn't it be dramatic if "easy inferences" from such dot-connecting happened to be right - - and people in positions of power and trust took the stances in manjumicha2001's MD401 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?13@@.f28e622/493 ?

                                                      If people responsible for making the United States a "Nuclear Rogue" http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/12/opinion/_12TUE1.html know the technical things that they must know, and that manjumicha2001 acknowledges -- scandal ought to be fully justified.


                                                      lchic - 05:37pm Mar 16, 2002 BST (#269 of 317)

                                                      Bush didn't get the conservative judge .. what is 'conservative' decision making ... is it make the decisions that satisfy an unchanged 'yesterday' rather than the new reality of today.

                                                      Bush was disappointed !

                                                      At least. if Bush makes an 'appearance' before the bench - it won't necessarily be before one of his hench men !


                                                      rshowalter - 08:58pm Mar 20, 2002 BST (#270 of 317)  | 

                                                      Lead article in MIT's Technology Review Why Missile Defense Won't Work by Theodore A. Postol April 2002 http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/postol0402.asp

                                                      From -GEN. GEORGE LEE BUTLER former commander, Strategic Air Command http://www.mindfully.org/Nucs/Nuclear-Lighthouse-Hertsgaard.htm

                                                        " Nuclear weapons are irrational devices. They were rationalized and accepted as a desperate measure in the face of circumstances that were unimaginable. Now as the world evolves rapidly, I think that the vast majority of people on the face of the earth will endorse the proposition that such weapons have no place among us.
                                                      The technical issues are clear - missile defense is a sham. The arguments have been well presented for a long time, by many people. But the US military-industrial complex has its own reasons to want to continue the fraud. To get to closure, there has to be a fight about facts and relations. Some of the analogies to the Enron case are close. Enron was dominant - deferred to -- respected -- on the basis of a pattern of ornate but blatant deceptions. But the lies were unstable - - and once some key facts solidified - with clarity - and with many of the facts presented together in space and time, so people could see -- the fraud collapsed. An admirable collection of facts and circumstances, contributing to that instability is here: http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/14/business/_ENRON-PRIMER.html

                                                      Some key aspects of the US military-industrial-complex deserve analogous scrutiny. For it to happen, for it to be news, world leaders are going to have to ask for checking.

                                                      MD708 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/879

                                                      MD709 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/880

                                                      There may be some reason to hope for that.

                                                      I misjudged manjumicha2001 MD717 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/892 - - - and may have underestimated the amount of hard work, and brilliance, that NYT people are putting into the MD thread.


                                                      rshowalter - 07:37pm Mar 28, 2002 BST (#271 of 317)  | 

                                                      Debate? Dissent? Discussion? Oh, Don't Go There! By MICHIKO KAKUTANI http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/23/arts/23STUD.html contains a lot of wonderful stuff -- I was struck especially with this line:

                                                        " the Internet, which instead of leading to a global village, has created a multitude of self-contained tribes - niche cultures in which like-minded people can talk to like-minded people and filter out information that might undermine their views."
                                                      That explains a great deal about how the optimistic, bouyant argument in Thomas L. Friedman's The Lexus and the Olive Tree falls short -- and the optimistic, simplistic claims for "globalization" have fallen short. Friedman and many others didn't think enough about the barriers to communication that the new communication technologies do not strip away.

                                                      We have to think about them now.

                                                      When groups of people can "filter out" key pieces of information, the truth can be too weak, and results can be disastrous.

                                                      When things are complicated enough, truth is our only hope of finding our ways to decent solutions. That means we have to find ways to keep people from "filter(ing) out information that might undermine their views."

                                                      Challenge, questions, and invokation of the need for force:

                                                      Counterchallenge:

                                                      Comment and response:

                                                      Betraying Humanity By BOB HERBERT http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/28/opinion/28HERB.html

                                                        . . . ultimately the many tribes that inhabit this earth are going to have to figure out a way to forge some workable agreements on how we treat one another.


                                                      rshowalter - 01:26am Apr 5, 2002 BST (#272 of 317)  | 

                                                      All Roads Lead to D.C. by EMILY EAKIN http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/31/weekinreview/31EAKI.html

                                                        " Today, America is no mere superpower or hegemon but a full-blown empire in the Roman and British sense"
                                                      Britain's Imperial Lessons by ALAN COWELL http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/31/weekinreview/31COWE.html

                                                      Almarst , the NYT Missile Defense thread's "Putin stand-in" has been asking "why so much American military power?" - - since March a year ago. Questions of "why?" and "in whose interest" are vital, in the old sense of "matters of life and death" because some of the easy answers, that Americans have been comfortable with, aren't working in America's interest, and aren't pleasing the other governments in the world.

                                                      The question of a "vast right-wing conspiracy" is raised, and given focus, in .

                                                      The Smoke Machine http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/29/opinion/29KRUG.html and Connect the Dots by PAUL KRUGMAN http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/02/opinion/02KRUG.html

                                                      I believe that the "American Empire" is as large as it is, and has some of the characteristics that it does, because the interest of the United States, as a nation, has diverged from the interests of a "military-industrial-political complex" constructed to fight the Cold War, that has taken a dangerous degree of control over US government affairs since that time. The American "missile defense" program is interesting for some of the same reasons that the Enron affair http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/1/Transcripts/721/4/business/_ENRON-PRIMER.html . . . is interesting. The "missile defense" programs are nonsensical and corrupt, in the senses that ought to matter either technically or militarily, and illustrates broader corruptions that concern the whole world, because American power is as great as it now is, and is used as it now is.

                                                      Checking on these issues is important - but for it to happen, some leaders of nation states are going to have to be interested - as I believe they should be, because it is risky to be led, and to defer, to an administration that is taking positions that go wrong, and produce unnecessary risks, costs, and fighting, again and again.

                                                      MD1076 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/1369

                                                      MD1077 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/1370 contains references to a Guardian talk, and ends with this:

                                                        "I believe that I'm doing, as nearly as it possibly can be done, exactly what Bill Casey would want me to do now, for the good of the United States of America and the decency of the world.


                                                      JudgeJustice - 10:58pm Apr 6, 2002 BST (#273 of 317)

                                                      Some people are born sick, some are not. Some people become twisted, others live outside London. Some people are sheep and follow the mass hysteria.


                                                      rshowalter - 09:56pm Apr 12, 2002 BST (#274 of 317)  | 

                                                      Movie makers have to "play god". http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/1574


                                                      rshowalter - 10:49pm Apr 25, 2002 BST (#275 of 317)  | 

                                                      To sort out problems, including problems of peace (and the smaller related muddles of the missile defense boongoggle) people have to face the truth, tell the truth, and avoid misinformation. When right answers really count, they have to "connect the dots" ( MD1055 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/1344) so that patterns emerge -- and to check those patterns.

                                                      Here are some OpEd pieces by Paul Krugman quoted on the NYT Missile Defense thread:

                                                      The Big Lie http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/27/opinion/27KRUG.html

                                                      Bad Heir Day http://www.nytimes.com/2001/05/30/opinion/30KRUG.html

                                                      The Great Divide http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/29/opinion/29KRUG.html

                                                      The Smoke Machine http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/29/opinion/29KRUG.html

                                                      Connect the Dots http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/02/opinion/02KRUG.html

                                                      At Long Last? http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/05/opinion/05KRUG.html

                                                      The White Stuff http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/12/opinion/12KRUG.html

                                                      Losing Latin America http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/16/opinion/16KRUG.html

                                                      The Angry People http://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/23/opinion/23KRUG.html

                                                      A number of links discussing Krugman's pieces are set out in MD1741 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2181

                                                      I'm so glad Guardian Talk is back!


                                                      rshowalter - 10:54pm Apr 25, 2002 BST (#276 of 317)  | 

                                                      Hatred - and LIES.

                                                      MD1755 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2201

                                                      http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/001/165xqyni.asp

                                                      Revenge - book review http://www.sacbee.com/content/lifestyle/story/2319783p-2747920c.html

                                                      MD1756 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2202

                                                      MD1759-60 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2205


                                                      rshowalter - 10:51pm May 3, 2002 BST (#277 of 317)  | 

                                                      The NYT Missile Defense thread has been very active, and I sometimes think that it may have been influential.

                                                      U.S., in Surprise, Announces Global Talks for Mideast By TODD S. PURDUM and DAVID E. SANGER http://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/03/international/middleeast/03CAPI.html

                                                      shows a situation where, if complications can be faced - - and resolved, enormous good could come. lunarchick's MD1972 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2454 includes key questions:

                                                        "In one years time - where do we ALL want to be?" .
                                                        "In five years time - where do we ALL want to be?" .
                                                        "In ten years time - where do we ALL want to be?" .
                                                        "In twenty years time - where do we ALL want to be?"
                                                      "Planning should match the aspirations of those publics with a visionary future."

                                                      For that matching to be possible, there have to be mechanics in place that make it possible, for the real people involved. I've suggested simple things, practical things -- mechanically easy things -- that I believe would increase the chances for real success in the middle east. They involve internet usages, for communication, condensation, clarification, and closure. For all sorts of complex cooperation, we need to do better getting to closure than we have done. We can.

                                                      MD1956 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2437

                                                      MD1959 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2440

                                                      MD1961 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2442

                                                      MD1962 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2443

                                                      Opportunities for a safer, more prosperous world are very great -- but they depend on openness, and correct decisions. I believe some of the most essential opportunities were set out eloquently and well in Organizing the World to Fight Terror by IGOR S. IVANOV , Russian Foreign Minister http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/27/opinion/27IVAN.html . The reasons that the hopes expressed there have been lagely dashed (or at least postponed) bear looking at. U.S. and Russia Fall Short on Nuclear Deal by THE ASSOCIATED PRESS http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/national/AP-US-Russia.html . . . I think that important hopes Ivanov expresses, and patterns or human cooperation he expresses, could be revived if the mechanics of complex negotiation were improved.

                                                      If our techniques improved --- and they could, if people used the net as it can be used - - we might learn to deal more humanely and effectively with each other.


                                                      rshowalter - 02:39pm May 6, 2002 BST (#278 of 317)  | 

                                                      I've asked

                                                        " When large news organizations such as The New York Times or the Guardian-Observer cannot solve problems by covering the facts about them -- why don't the solutions happen, when they often seem very clear?
                                                      A lot of the time, the problems can't be solved because the "dots" are not collected so that people, as they are, can actually connect them.

                                                      MD2045 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2544

                                                      Lchic and I just had a two hour, 70 post session on negotiation in the middle east in the Guardian thread Anything on Anything from lchic "Anything on Anything" Mon 06/05/2002 02:39 to rshowalter "Anything on Anything" Mon 06/05/2002 04:37 that includes many links to this thread.

                                                      We considered the question -- if Thomas Friedman wanted to use web resources (with a staff) to facilitate the search for peace in the Middle East, what could he do?

                                                      MD2043 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2540 MD2047 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2546


                                                      MalcolmMcm - 04:44pm May 7, 2002 BST (#279 of 317)

                                                      A lot of the time, the problems can't be solved because the "dots" are not collected so that people, as they are, can actually connect them.

                                                      More often the problems of the world are based on genuine conflicts of interest and the solution is that one side gets screwed.


                                                      rshowalter - 04:49pm May 7, 2002 BST (#280 of 317)  | 

                                                      Genuine conflicts of interest do in fact happen a lot -- and sometimes there "has to be a fight."

                                                      At some level.

                                                      But limitless, escalating conflicts - such as wars - almost always involve "terrible oversimplification" - or costs and moral positions that can't stand the light of day.

                                                      I stand by what I said, particularly about soluble problems that are not solved:

                                                        A lot of the time, the problems can't be solved because the "dots" are not collected so that people, as they are, can actually connect them.
                                                      Solutions often aren't found because they can't be seen, and agreed to. With better communication and specification - they often could be.

                                                      You can't "change human nature" - but sometimes better ways of "collecting the dots" and "connecting the dots" can be found. In fact, over then last few years, better ways are being found - and we there's more progress to be made in that direction.


                                                      rshowalter - 12:18am May 17, 2002 BST (#281 of 317)  | 

                                                      A Wider Atlantic: Europe Sees a Grotesque U.S. by TODD S. PURDUM http://www.nytimes.com/2002/05/16/international/europe/16NATO.html illustrates some of the challenges.

                                                      "To travel across the Atlantic with Secretary of State Colin L. Powell is to catch a brief glimpse of the unilateralist America seen by many European eyes."


                                                      lchic - 02:52pm May 20, 2002 BST (#282 of 317)

                                                      ... Secretary Powell came to a meeting of North Atlantic Treaty Organization foreign ministers here to press Europeans to modernize their military machinery and spend more on defense

                                                      In a speech at the Brookings Institution in Washington last week, Mr. Straw offered some reasons for the differing world views. "Americans, correctly and rightly, consider that it is they as Americans who created the modern world's greatest democracy," Mr. Straw said.
                                                        But Europeans, he added, tend to see "a U.S. born out of Europe, born from those with the courage, imagination, iconoclasm to break away from the straitjacket not just of poverty but of institutional and political constraints in Europe, to form what has long represented, in an almost idealized form, the best of European values and institutions."
                                                        As an example of "what might have been," Mr. Straw said, "the U.S. is a source of more absorbing fascination to Europeans than ever an individual European country could be to the U.S."


                                                      rshowalter - 12:26am May 24, 2002 BST (#283 of 317)  | 

                                                      I believe that Erica Goode has made a contribution to the culture, and that the NYT Missile Defense thread may also have done so. I'm only basing my jugement on statistics, and what I myself have noticed, and may be wrong. But the matter could be checked, pretty readily, by searching the net. It concerns the phrase "connect the dots." -- and whether that phrase has gained in meaning, and frequency, since Erica Goode's Finding Answers In Secret Plots http://www.nytimes.com/2002/03/10/weekinreview/10GOOD.html . . which speaks of:

                                                        "a basic human urge to connect the dots and form a coherent picture."
                                                      MD2346-2347 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/2915

                                                      lchic - 12:38am May 28, 2002 BST (#284 of 317)

                                                      http://www.lizardpoint.com/fun/java/dinodots/dino1.html


                                                      lchic - 04:45pm Jun 6, 2002 BST (#285 of 317)

                                                      War is the culdisac

                                                      Climbing out - how to?
                                                      Moving on - when to?

                                                      Why 'war' ... sheer waste!


                                                      lchic - 01:14pm Jun 13, 2002 BST (#286 of 317)

                                                      War Crimes - Afghanistan

                                                      USA (Taliban)


                                                      rshowalter - 08:25pm Jun 20, 2002 BST (#287 of 317)  | 

                                                      Work on the NYT Missile Defense thread has been busy, and I feel that some of that work might interest many readers of the Guardian-Observer, and participants on this thread. In that thread, Guardian articles, and TALK threads, are often referred to, and are important and much appreciated sources.

                                                      A number of pieces have run in the NYT that I've been glad to see, perhaps this one most of all:

                                                      Playing Know and Tell by John Schwartz http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/09/weekinreview/09BOXA.html .

                                                      Schwartz's piece ends:

                                                        " Listen."

                                                      I sent a fax to an officer at the C.I.A., and at the same time, sent the identity of that officer to some senior NYT people. That officer and I have not conversed since - but a phone call between us was almost certainly recorded. That conversation contains nothing at all that can concievably justify classification. I think that conversation also involved a sort of "voice stress analysis" -- a sort of "lie detector test" over the telephone. It would be interesting to see what the test showed, and on what basis. For the record, during that conversation I was VERY disappointed, VERY upset, VERY scared, and too busy being careful to bother about being angry. MD2621 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3265

                                                      MD2629-2631 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3275

                                                      MD2631 cites MD262, which includes this:

                                                        "I'm thinking that a very few simple things, not embarrassing, not expensive, not difficult, would be good to do now. If some journalists could hear some recordings -- one from last week, between me and the C.I.A. - which NYT could get to if it wished -- and another that I'm guessing exists of a meeting between me and a trusted officer of the University of Wisconsin, Madison - - that could set things up for some graceful, simple steps."
                                                      Gisterme responded in MD2633 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3279 and the response was especially interesting in light of the statistical argument about gisterme's interest embodied in postings MD2574-2590 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3212

                                                      I think people who follow "missile defense" and related military and geopolitical issues, or any work of mine, might be interested in MD2637 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3284 to MD 2641http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3288 today.

                                                      MD2637 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@@.f28e622/3284 includes this:

                                                        I think that my concerns, and the reasonable concerns of the other parties in interest co