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    Missile Defense

Keywords: lasar

n Missile Defense #6531 - rshowalter Jul 4, 2001 08:14 am
Well, gisterme, we have some disagreements, but we also have some common ground on questions of fact and reasonable probability.

Here are gisterme's words, with some emphasis added, and labeled comments, from me.

"Joking aside, your point is right, radars can't begin to approach that kind of angular resolution."

(Comment: can't begin to approach microradian accuracy -- with .1 microradian accuracy insufficient for lasar weapon aiming, along the lines the administration describes for public consumption.)

(Radars's) " best accuracy is for ranging "

(Comment: That's common ground between us, and for very low noise environments, the ranging data is as good as the ability to resolve time, which can be superb...

n Missile Defense #6480 - rshowalter Jul 3, 2001 04:16 pm
It is getting easier and easier to argue that the administration's "missile defense" proposals have no technical merit at all. That is, if these proposals are judged in terms of what can be done according to technical usages in the open literature.

To make these proposals practical, there have to be a long list of "miracles." And it is getting clearer exactly how miraculous these magical breakthoughs have to be...

n Missile Defense #6440 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 08:34 pm
I'm concerned with the fact that designs are being proposed - and proposed seriously enough to argue for the junking of key treaties -- that don't work on paper.

The missile defense proposal supported so recently by Congressman Weldon , has been put "on the back burner" in favor of lasar schemes. Here are references to the kinetic kill programs publicised by Weldon:

MD3647 rshowalter 5/10/01 7:59am

MD3650 rshowalter 5/10/01 10:55am MD3651rshowalter 5/10/01 11:58am MD3652 rshowalter 5/10/01 12:06pm

...

n Missile Defense #6428 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 06:51 pm
Spreading angle for the moon lasar distance experiment about 8x 10e-6 radians. For missile defense, 1 x 10e-7 radians would be excessive.

Do you really think that collinearity has improved THAT MUCH?..

n Missile Defense #6423 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:46 pm
I think the Bush administration is honestly, but incorrectly, putting too much trust in the "magic" of lasar weaponry. And I believe that they are mistaken about how magical these systems can be.

n Missile Defense #6422 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:44 pm
I meant "radar signitures" - not "lasar signitures" -- though there may be analogous effects with light, too.

Back in ancient days, when the speed of light was the same, and radar wavelengths also the same for many systems, people knew that a differently shaped object would have a different echo pulse -- and though you might not know where the object came from, within a milliradian -- you might know details of geometry of the object itself that would, for the range, correspond to nanoradians or less.

That tells you that radar can have wonderful geometrical and angular resolution in a sense - for a "frame of reference about a particular target" but not even remotely that resolution for telling you where the target is...

n Missile Defense #6420 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:34 pm
MD6407 gisterme 7/2/01 3:25pm

"using a line-of-sight speed-of-light weapon like a powerful laser one doesn't need to know the exact range to the target."

That's right.

But you need angular controls to be exact, at every stage, or you need to be able to tolerate the angular spread that builds up.

For the proposed systems I'm aware of, at the level I understand them, assuming basic technical performance similar to open-literature performance, that build up is far too much for practical operation of the weapon...

n Missile Defense #6418 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:26 pm
MD6407 gisterme 7/2/01 3:25pm

sets out some technical arguments clearly, but it seems to me, when I check, and you can check too, that it makes the implicit assumption that, for a lasar weapon system, "what you can see you can hit."

MD6410 http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?14@184.6HDeaurHrNN^5107088@.f0ce57b/6897.... MD6411 rshowalter 7/2/01 4:42pm
MD6413 rshowalter 7/2/01 4:53pm .... MD6414 rshowalter 7/2/01 4:56pm
MD6415 rshowalter 7/2/01 5:05pm ....

n Missile Defense #6416 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:15 pm
Indented question #3:

" What are the characteristics of the thing you're shooting -- how do properties of the bullet (or lasar beam) change with distance?

Lasar light is better than ordinary light because it is in phase -- and phase interactions don't cause it to spread as it travels -- so lasar beams can be very intense, and they can be as tight as the optics that generated them.

That optics generates a spreading angle -- and the spreading angle will be greater (for a real military lasar - which is a chemical lasar -- much greater) than the angular resolution of Space Telescope...

n Missile Defense #6415 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 05:05 pm
Indented question #2:

" How do the controls work?

The controls have to work somehow - and the nuts and bolts detail of how they are physically constructed limit what you can hit, even if you had "perfect" input information -- and even if you had a "perfect" set of properties in the projectile or lasar. And generally, the faster controls have to track something - up to a point -- the more prone they are to oscillate about the target -- until, if you turn the gain up too much, they diverge from the target -- with the kind of servo control instability shown by the con trails of a MD test last year, that was shown atop Dao's essay "Please Don't Disturb Us With Bombs" in a Week in Review piece...

n Missile Defense #6414 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 04:56 pm
The arguments for lasars in missile defense implicitly ignore this crucial distinction. There are other difficulties, also important, associated with the other indented questions in MD6410.

n Missile Defense #6413 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 04:53 pm
Indented question set #1:

"what do you mean exactly by "see"? --see what? -- see how well?..

n Missile Defense #6411 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 04:42 pm
It may be that the idea of missile defense using lasars is a beautiful idea, if there are no problems with these questions.

IF that were true, the idea might be a beautiful and brilliant one.

But with the real limitations associated with those indented questions -- the idea of missile defense using lasars looks ugly to me...

n Missile Defense #6410 - rshowalter Jul 2, 2001 04:35 pm
MD6407 gisterme 7/2/01 3:25pm is a great, constructive posting. The logic in it makes an implicit but basic assumption -- and an easy assumption to make about lasars. But the assumption as to be checked...

n Missile Defense #6231 - rshowalter Jun 28, 2001 04:28 pm
Subject to some rules of checking that we're getting close to here -- where engineers outside the security vail can "count miracles that DOD has to solve" -- it is getting harder and harder to maintain that the missile defense programs have anything worth doing.

Really good people are working their hearts out, on jobs that they can't do -- and forced to lie about it (or, at the least, to deflect attention from fundamentals.)

Whether money is being stolen or not -- it sure is being wasted.

For example, the "space based lasar" program -- for missile defense - is VERY far fetched when you look at Space Telescope resolution, and consider the much higher levels of resolution the program has to ask for technically -- for control systems, optics, and radar resolution and a stack up of related reasons ...

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