New York Times on the Web Forums
Science
Technology has always found its greatest consumer in a
nation's war and defense efforts. Since the last attempts at a
"Star Wars" defense system, has technology changed
considerably enough to make the latest Missile Defense
initiatives more successful? Can such an application of
science be successful? Is a militarized space inevitable,
necessary or impossible?
Read Debates, a new
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(14682 previous messages)
rshow55
- 03:40pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (#
14683 of 14690) Can we do a better job of finding
truth? YES. Click "rshow55" for some things Lchic and I have
done and worked for on this thread.
I'm taking a rest for a little while - but I do want to say
this.
Unless logical competence at the simple level
discussed in the last few posts becomes better than it now is
- there is no solution for most of the problems
that cause us problems.
Including problems of missile defense - national defense -
diplomacy -and the challenge that the NYT has of making a
profit.
jorian319
- 03:43pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (#
14684 of 14690) "Statements on frequently important
subjects are interesting." -rshow55
I'm taking a rest for a little while
Thank God for small favors.
Unless logical competence at the simple
level discussed in the last few posts becomes better than it
now is - there is no solution
Whaaaa? Blather.
wrcooper
- 04:43pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (#
14685 of 14690)
In re: http://forums.nytimes.com/webin/WebX?8@13.sdkNb5eLMfj.0@.f28e622/16388
jorian319
Re: signatures, I don't think it would do to
just have some kind of "hot" nosecone separate at boost. It
would lack key features like superhot trail of gasses etc.
You'd have to have actual "live" burning rockets, which
would be difficult (but not impossible) to accomplish.
I don't know. But the point is that decoys or
countermeasures would be simpler and less expensive to build
and maintain than the missile defense system. In an arms race,
the attackers will almost certainly win.
I think the bottom line is that the
advantage goes to the attacker if all else is equal. In the
case of the USA, all else is not likely to be equal.
Hmm. That's a largely emotional judgement. Just look at
what's going on in Iraq right now. All the king's horses and
all the king's men...
FTR, I think there is much greater threat
from a "suitcase nuke" or cargo-container nuke than from a
missile-borne one.
Absolutely. This is one of the biggest arguments against
spending our treasure on a missile shield. Suppose we built a
system that was 100% effective--a ridiculous assumption--then
a determined foe would do exactly what you suggest. They find
a low-tech means of delivery. A container ship. Or on the back
of a horse across the Rio Grande. Or whatever.
cantabb
- 04:47pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (#
14686 of 14690)
rshow55 - 01:56pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (# 14667 of 14684)
Cantabb ( re 14664 - clearing up backlog.)
This may help you organize your clearing up. http://www.mrshowalter.net/Cantabb_Srch_to10_4.htm
- it only goes to Oct 4 - but it does organize the posts
you've made here - and organization for a purpose can be
useful.
Thank you for creating and updating this link to my posts.
But I was looking for posts or comments addressed to me
that I had not responded to.
You surely have a point that "going around
and around" can be both dangerous, infuriating, and
misleading - and for a fine example of how dangerous or
evasive it can be - a graphic connected to the Enron mess
works well ….. …There are loops within loops. A
multidimensional shell game.
There are problems with "going around and
around" - and processes that cycle but do not converge can
be funny, too. (See picture.)
I suggest you take a calm look at the suggestions made by
me and others.
But many processes do converge. Very, very
many of the solutions in applied math and and pure math,
too, involve series.
I don’t know what you mean by “converge,” and for what ?
Mathematics, one of the 3R’s. It’s how well we use it and the
rationality with which it shows and develops.
Cantabb , I am trying to work through your
posts, as well. But at my pace, in a way that seems
reasonable to me, and for my own reasons.
Take your time.
rshow55 - 03:30pm Oct 8, 2003 EST (# 14679 of 14684)
Cantabb's asking key questions - questions
like "what's data?" - in 14668 and elsewhere - and I've
spent some time searching things - in an effort to partially
respond - on the assumption that he's interested in closure
- and not just conflict without end. It’s the hard facts.
The things you need before you can see a pattern.
I suppose one CAN see patterns without the facts, but I
don’t think we’re talking about those patters.
It deals with easy issues that make the
difference between convergence and divergence - again and
again. And reasons why it is easy to take steps toward
understanding - or towards divergence and discourd - in
discourse.
I am talking about facts, “dots,” that we obtain before we
try to do anything with them. In simple terms, it’s probably
like finding a dead body (or disappearance of a person), and
collecting evidence that could be associated with causing it
and then developing a possible scenario. I guess we can all
outline our own scenarios (based on our likes/dislikes,
opinion, bias etc) but such exercises don’t go far -- unless
based on facts (Dots) and these facts are connected not
haphazardly but in a rational manner to allow a coherent
picture to develop.
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