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    Missile Defense

Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI all over again?


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rshowalter - 06:48pm Mar 7, 2001 EST (#862 of 864) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

Although people get terribly concerned about problems of financial control everywhere else in government, the minute you mark "secret" on a project, accounting becomes unaccountable. If you cannot tell the auditor what you are doing, the auditor cannot check whether the money was actually spent on the doing of "whatever it was you were doing."

Is there a potential for corruption here? You bet there is -- and hundreds of billions of dollars have been involved, every year, for half a century.

How much unaccounted and unaccountable money could have been stolen, and how organized could the control of that money be? There aren't many limits. This is clear -- at the levels where money is actually spent, Congress has no oversight at all, when it matters, about honest use of funds in classified projects.

As Bob Kerry recently pointed out in an OpEd piece, no Senator or Congressman can even get briefed on targeting maps (not to carry away the maps, but just to see them.)

Years ago, I knew a guy who had an estate, in California, worth maybe 30 million dollars -- and all I could find out of his source of wealth was that he'd been a VP for Westinghouse, in nuclear weapons research and manufacturing.

It seems ex politicians can make upwards of 100 million dollars, giving investment advice, these days . . . .

Is there a potential for corruption? Enough to bias the judgement of people involved, and their relatives?

It would seem so.

If CLASSIFIED research actually had valid auditing, that would be NEWS --- a real scoop ?

How on earth would anyone ask the questions such auditing would take.

Is there EVER a price per vehicle, or per part, that gets people to feel something has been stolen?

I don't think American journalists ever seem to ask the question. Perhaps someone else knows this answer.

The Clintons, in an unguarded moment, spoke of a "vast right wing conspiracy." I don't know that any such conspiracy exists, of course -- but sometimes things happen that don't seem to make any sense -- and here would be a motivation for such a conspiracy, and a source of BIG SCALE money for it.

Anywhere else in government, journalists assume that powers that go unsupervised will eventually be corrupted. They're matter of fact about this - as Menken was. Why the assumption hasn't been ubiquitous in reporters looking at the defense industry, I surely don't know. There is a LOT of money, a LOT of backscratching, and inside information, and "clout" seem to count for a lot.

rshowalter - 06:57pm Mar 7, 2001 EST (#863 of 864) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

Ambiguous words can be sources of confusion, or can be the basis for deceptions.

The word "threat" - which was a decisive word in President Bush's statement about N. Korea today, is a very problematic word.

Lunarchick (Dawn Riley) - searched the dictionary of military terms under threat , and got 36 entries. Each a http citation, not a clear definiton. rshowalter 2/17/01 2:05pm

But suppose you use the word "threat" in the way people usually understand it.

To ask nation states to stop treatening each other is a completely unrealistic and dangerous idea. That's what military forces largely do, and have to do.

To argue that we can't talk to North Korea because they are a "threat" makes no sense.

We need force balances where threats, and logic sequences under threat are STABLE, or involve SURVIVABLE COSTS. rshowalter 2/17/01 2:07pm

rshowalter - 07:18pm Mar 7, 2001 EST (#864 of 864) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

On January 17, 1961, President Dwight D. Eisenhower have his FAREWELL ADRESS

It begins:

"Good evening, my fellow Americans: First, I should like to express my gratitude to the radio and television networks for the opportunity they have given me over the years to bring reports and messages to our nation. My special thanks go to them for the opportunity of addressing you this evening.

"Three days from now, after a half century of service of our country, I shall lay down the responsibilities of office as, in traditional and solemn ceremony, the authority of the Presidency is vested in my successor.

This evening I come to you with a message of leave-taking and farewell, and to share a few final thoughts with you, my countrymen.

On this occasion, a time he cared deeply about, he warned the nation of the grave danger of a military-industrial complex, out of reasonable control. That was forty years ago.

The controls never seem to have occurred. Perhaps, though they were unsupervised, the military-industrial complex has kept faith entirely, and maintained a perfect perspective. But if so, that would be a very special thing in American history.

In Eisenhower's Farewell Address, he says this, near the end:

" Disarmament, with mutual honor and confidence, is a continuing imperative. Together we must learn how to compose differences, not with arms, but with intellect and decent purpose. Because this need is so sharp and apparent I confess that I lay down my official responsibilities in this field with a definite sense of disappointment. As one who has witnessed the horror and the lingering sadness of war--as one who knows that another war could utterly destroy this civilization which has been so slowly and painfully built over thousands of years--I wish I could say tonight that a lasting peace is in sight.

In Eisenhower's time, it is easy to understand how far away reasonable hopes of peace were. But it seems much less clear, forty years later. Where are our enemies? What size are they, what capacities do they have, and what do we have? Why isn't peace in sight now ?

And how is it possible for "investment advisors" specializing in the defense industry to make upwards of a hundred million dollars each?

We don't live in an open society, as far as these questions go.

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